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Cincinnati @ Miami-Ohio - Fawkes Write-Up
Posted picks 2-0-0 +15.5u
Hey again SBR forums! I had a great time last week posting a write up and cashing in on a big ticket with ULL, thought I'd try it again this week. I don't see any huge dogs I like so far, but there are definitely some lines leaping off the books for me. No +600 picks this week I'm afraid. As always, feel free to read and form your own opinions.
Cincinnati @ Miami-Ohio
Cincinnati is looking very impressive so far this year. Collaros (QB sr.) is really fun to watch and proving himself to be a great option QB running with Pead (RB sr.) Pead ran for an average of 6.2 yards per carry (167 in total) against a flagging NC State defense last week and I look for him to do more of the same this week. Collaros also went to the air for 263 yards going 25 for 34 last week. In their last five meetings, Cincinnati has beaten Miami-Ohio by an average of 28.4 points per game. With the most recent score being 45-3. The major concern in this game is that Cincinnati is giving up an average of 281 yards through the air to very mediocre teams (most notably allowing over 400 in the Bearcats loss to Tennessee). Cincinnati is not afraid to run up the score on inferior teams, winning by an average of 45.7 points in their 3 wins this season.
Miami-Ohio is searching desperately for their first win this season after losing by 11 to Mizzou, 6 to Minnesota and most recently 14 to Bowling Green. Zac Dysert (QB jr.) has impressed this season and thrown for 784 yards this season, completing 61.9% of his attempts. Last season, Dysert was sacked 50 times. While the Redhawks have improved, they have already allowed 10 sacks in three games this season, 6 of them coming last week against Bowling Green. The Redhawks rotate a myriad of very bad RBs, none of which have rushed for over 150 yards for the season. Dysert has thrown at least one interception in every game this season. Look for this streak to continue as Cincinnati puts pressure on a QB used to eating dirt and tossing the ball away.
Personal Notes Look for Cincinnati to savor this game and Bearcats to be invading the pocket all afternoon.
Miami-Ohio will not find an answer for Collaros and Pead running the ball; Pead should have a career day.
This will not be a low-scoring affair, I look for Miami-Ohio to put up between 14 and 24 points and Cincinatti to have between 40 and 50.
My Picks
Cincinnati -13 @ 2u
Cin/Mia Over 55.5 @ 2u
I may post more as I find time this week. Hope you enjoyed reading and as always everyone is welcome to disagree.
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Originally Posted by guy Fawkes
