Nice kick in the balls last week....Still up nicely for the year but need a nice bounce back today....Sucked, but I'll take 6 of 7 winning weeks every time.
Early games for 10/22
3 Units- KSU -10
3 Units- Arkansas -16.5
Games that I LOVE are later today and will post them in a couple hours. Still doing some research, not going to half ass it like last week. GLTA.
6 Units- Miss St -10
5 Units- Over 61.5 USC Stanford
4 Units- UGA -2.5
3 Units Wake Forest +7
3 Units- Tenn +4
3 Units- Baylor/Okla St under 82
2 Units- UGA/UF under 49
YTD Stats: 8 of 9 winning weeks....+37 Units --33-24(58%)
My system is to bet $100 per unit, so it's been a great season so far(+$3700)...
Saturday's Plays:
10 Units- Arkansas -5.....This is my favorite play so far this season. Line is low because of Arkansas unimpressive showing the last 2 weeks, but this week is completely different. The last 2 weeks Arkansas played 11am road games @Ole Piss/Vandy. This week they have a home night game against a highly ranked team, and they won't be coming out flat. South Carolina is just not that good now that Lattimore is gone. No RB or QB and Alshon isn't playing to the level he played at last season. People keep talking about how great their d is? BS, the only comparable QB to Tyler Wilson they have played all season threw 4 TDs and put up 42 pts against them...Last week they just were lucky enough to play a Tennessee team that doesn't have a warm body at QB. Same could be said for MS St/Aub. Precition: 31-10 ARK
4 Units- UGA/NMST UNDER 56.5........UGA doesn't have any of their top 4 RBs or their top WR this week....Gonna be a game where UGA just plays to get out of the stadium and look forward to Auburn next week....I see it being a 35-7 type game coming well under the total..Only reason I'm not betting NM ST is b/c I could see a shutout happening for UGA's D. They are playing unreal, only allowing one first down the entire second half against UF.
2 Units- Stanford -20.5....Honestly Oregon St sucks, bottom line. Not much to say here except I believe Luck throws all over Oregon St covering the spread with ease. Only reason it's a 2 unit play is because weird stuff has happened at Oregon St the last 10 years. Just don't see anything happening to keep this one closer than 3 TDs this yr.
Going to up the UGA/NM St under to 7 units....Wind has picked up in Athens and will affect UGA's passing game.....UGA is down to 2 walk on running backs. Shouldnt even come close to 56.5.....GLTA.
Wow, Ark should have won that game by 40 pts...2 dropped TDs, 2 missed FGs and not getting any pts with 2nd and 1 on the 2 yard line and Ark still covers by 11....Crazy game.
3-1 for week 10....9 of 10 winning weeks and +41.3 Units on the season....Seeing some great lines this week also.
So far this season: 9 of 10 winning weeks, 60% picks, +45.3 Units....Using my system of plays between 1 and 10 units, and betting 100$ per unit, I am up $4,530....Great season so far.
Saturday's Plays:
UF +3.5 - 9 Units....People are underrating UF big time b/c of their bad losses but what you have to realize is they are a completely different team with John Brantley....They went into the Bama game undefeated and #12 in the nation, and actually played Bama tough until Brantley went down. The embarrassing losses came when they didn't have a warm body at QB....USCe on the other hand doesn't have a warm body at QB now, and they also don't have Lattimore......Both DLines should do well against the opponents OLs, but the difference will be Brantley over Shaw, combined with the struggling play of USCe's DBs.......I like UF 23-10 in this game.
6 Units- Vandy -13......Vegas still hasn't adjusted to Vandy with Jordan Rodgers at QB....Let's recap: Played UGA close, outplayed a top 10 Arkansas team, and played UF close last week.....Jordan has been getting better with each game and they will roll a terrible UK team at home by 21+
5 Units- ARK/Tenn under 55....Tennessee's lack of a QB/RB should help Arkansas's average D keep Tennessee from scoring much. Arkansas on the other hand comes out flat in non-big games, just look at the Ole Miss game...Plus Tennessee's D hasn't been all bad....Shut Bama down in the first half before lack of depth showed up...I see this being a 27-10 type game.
4 Units- Southern Miss -9....Another team Vegas has yet to adjust to...8-1 and only loss was early in the season....been playing great ball and should win this game by 14+....UCF has been a major disappointment this season after a solid year last yr.
4 Units - Boise/TCU over 58...TCU's D is young and Boise eats inexperience alive...I see Boise scoring early and often with TCU throwing a few scores in also...Don't forget this Boise D isn't as tough as in years past...Even UNLV moved the ball very well against them last week....I see 70 total points being scored here.
3 Units- UGA -12.....In AU's 3 biggest games, what has happened? Blowouts....UGA is playing at home for a shot to go to Atlanta for the SEC championship so i see no way they come out flat...Getting Malcolm Mitchell and Crowell back will be huge for the O....D is ranked #7 in the nation against an inexperienced QB in a hostile environment with a sub-par OL.....I see this being a 17+ win for the Dawgs.
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TheGOAT's 2011 season picks...
Love this one!
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