1. 09-02-11 04:22 PM #36
    TodaysLocks
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    Quote Originally Posted by thetrinity View Post
    lol at the line being 13 15 17 etc. personally i dont really trust this baylor team who seemed to get worse as the year went on last year. tcu so depleted IMO though. im gonna sit out and root for tcu and have air force next week against them for sure.
    Be here at 1130pm to back up your words big boy.
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  2. 09-02-11 04:26 PM #37
    BathingApe
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    **** is he going for the reverse jinx or what?
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  3. 09-02-11 04:26 PM #38
    jalein
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    I like TCU too. Never been a fan of an ALL IN play though. Wish you the best. I am there with you just will NEVER do an ALL IN.
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  4. 09-02-11 04:34 PM #39
    BigDofBA
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    Fade this play. This guy never picks winners.

    He claimed the Padres were a lock the other day.....

    He had another lock of the century that lost and before the game he said if it lost he was done.
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  5. 09-02-11 04:43 PM #40
    antifoil
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    the only right bet on the game was baylor +6 and maybe baylor +4.5. if you don't beat the closing line, you are going to be a losing bettor long term.
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  6. 09-02-11 05:02 PM #41
    phillybadboy
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    i'm also all in
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  7. 09-02-11 05:06 PM #42
    TodaysLocks
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    Quote Originally Posted by antifoil View Post
    the only right bet on the game was baylor +6 and maybe baylor +4.5. if you don't beat the closing line, you are going to be a losing bettor long term.
    Gonna be a blowout dude.
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  8. 09-02-11 05:16 PM #43
    ramones951
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    Week 1 all-in!!!! Start out with double your normal bankroll, how have I not thought of this strategy before!!!
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  9. 09-02-11 05:51 PM #44
    antifoil
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    Quote Originally Posted by TodaysLocks View Post
    Gonna be a blowout dude.

    you can't be a winning bettor betting on the closing line long term. if you think you can, you don't understand gambling and market efficiency.
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  10. 09-02-11 06:15 PM #45
    TodaysLocks
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    Quote Originally Posted by antifoil View Post
    you can't be a winning bettor betting on the closing line long term. if you think you can, you don't understand gambling and market efficiency.
    Wasn't my post dude, I laid down my wager early.
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  11. 09-02-11 08:14 PM #46
    phillybadboy
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    need this
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  12. 09-02-11 08:34 PM #47
    riskyProps
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    where is the D in this game?
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  13. 09-02-11 08:36 PM #48
    Love The Action
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    Quote Originally Posted by antifoil View Post
    the only right bet on the game was baylor +6 and maybe baylor +4.5. if you don't beat the closing line, you are going to be a losing bettor long term.
    Quote Originally Posted by antifoil View Post
    you can't be a winning bettor betting on the closing line long term. if you think you can, you don't understand gambling and market efficiency.


    Exactly! Some meatball actually tried to debate me on this in my baseball thread. You wanna know what his argument was..."the only thing that matters is picking winners." Classic meatball take without even thinking of the long term effects of consistently beating the closing line.

    Good post
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  14. 09-02-11 08:55 PM #49
    phillybadboy
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    reload
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  15. 09-02-11 08:57 PM #50
    gambling god
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    This clown is 0-6 with his all in plays and anyone who follows this clown off a cliff deserves to lose because he only bets monopoly money or robs alot of banks to pay his bookie.
    Win,lose or draw your a useless tool but makesure you post tomorrow so i can start the season 3-0.
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  16. 09-02-11 08:59 PM #51
    harlee71
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    Not to stir the pot, but I thought Todays Lock was going to be here watching the game. Crickets since 715. I was indifferent on the game and took Baylor ML. TCU could still win it's only half time. My plays cashed though Baylor TT O24.5 and O52. That is where my real money was. Hitting anything over the closing line here tonight is gonna be tough.
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  17. 09-02-11 09:22 PM #52
    Aussiecapper101
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    That kicker sucks they couldn't have snapped it any better
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  18. 09-02-11 09:34 PM #53
    riskyProps
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    Beatdown City
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  19. 09-02-11 09:36 PM #54
    LockPickMaster
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    Quote Originally Posted by gambling god View Post
    This clown is 0-6 with his all in plays and anyone who follows this clown off a cliff deserves to lose because he only bets monopoly money or robs alot of banks to pay his bookie. Win,lose or draw your a useless tool but makesure you post tomorrow so i can start the season 3-0.
    I think he got chased off the covers board for posting his locks over there.
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  20. 09-02-11 09:53 PM #55
    MUHerd37
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    Some people getting buried and it's day 2.
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  21. 09-02-11 09:58 PM #56
    Sabear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Love The Action View Post


    Exactly! Some meatball actually tried to debate me on this in my baseball thread. You wanna know what his argument was..."the only thing that matters is picking winners." Classic meatball take without even thinking of the long term effects of consistently beating the closing line.

    Good post

    Could you guys please elaborate on how "market efficiency" and taking the closing line always fails in the long-run? That would suggest that betting the early line somehow improves ones odds over the same period.

    So what is the correlation between early / late lines and winner / loser?

    Thanks
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  22. 09-02-11 10:02 PM #57
    krk1030
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    Easy Baylor ML winner.
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  23. 09-02-11 10:09 PM #58
    BigDofBA
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Fade this play. This guy never picks winners. He claimed the Padres were a lock the other day..... He had another lock of the century that lost and before the game he said if it lost he was done.
    Thanks for the fade again you loser.

    I tried to tell you guys. This clown trolls other people's threads talking shit and I have yet to see him post a winner.


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  24. 09-02-11 10:11 PM #59
    LockPickMaster
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    Quote Originally Posted by krk1030 View Post
    Easy Baylor ML winner.
    Holy Shit Don't go to Sleep yet
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  25. 09-02-11 10:13 PM #60
    DR225
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    Spoke a little too soon? It'll be hard for them to cover but I think they win this game.
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  26. 09-02-11 10:24 PM #61
    bigsmitty
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Thanks for the fade again you loser.

    I tried to tell you guys. This clown trolls other people's threads talking shit and I have yet to see him post a winner.


    Well I've basically given up the TCU spread but it's not that major to me. Scored a CFL bet which for me was nice but they may send it to OT which would be a shocker. Haven't seen much of the game but looks so far super entertaining. Cheers
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  27. 09-02-11 10:25 PM #62
    bigsmitty
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    Wow so I guess you have to get the two here...
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  28. 09-02-11 10:26 PM #63
    JMUplayer
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    Gottlieb on ESPN radio was all over Baylor
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  29. 09-02-11 10:35 PM #64
    phillybadboy
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    need this
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  30. 09-02-11 10:48 PM #65
    drfunkmaster
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    Lol loser!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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  31. 09-02-11 10:50 PM #66
    Foggy
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    Quote Originally Posted by LolsMcwinsey View Post
    Been waiting for this line all year no way it loses
    Haha Kharma bitch
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  32. 09-02-11 11:00 PM #67
    D3 Mighty Ducks
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    Over was the easy play in this one
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  33. 09-02-11 11:17 PM #68
    drfunkmaster
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    I hit the 2 teamer over and baylor... HAHAHAH...
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  34. 09-02-11 11:18 PM #69
    postal warrior
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    Day 2 of football and your broke. Lmao.
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  35. 09-02-11 11:28 PM #70
    Stompin_Tom
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    ALL IN play. lock of the season. TCU -3.5
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