LAST WEEK: OFFICIAL PICKS 1-3-1 (14-11-1 Season)
BEST BETS 1-0-1 (3-0-1 Season)
STRONG OPINIONS 3-1 (added these "save my ass" picks after WV and KSU cost me big)
Before this week's selections, some advice to certain folks out there--
W.V. offense: Call your own plays like in elementary school. Huddle up, draw up a play with a stick on the ground. Nothing could be any worse than the play calling of Bill Stewart and his team of 'coaches' in the Colo. game
Tennessee Fans: Salvage something from this season. Start betting against your team. You won't even make a bowl game this year and may not win more than 1 SEC game. It's great autumn weather in Knoxville too. Don't waste your Saturdays watching football, go hike the Smoky mountains.
Vandy Fans: Savor the moment. It may never happen again. Yes, VANDY is the best college football team in the state of Tennessee.
Arkansas Fans: see advice given to Tennessee fans, only go boating in Hot Springs on Saturdays instead
PAGS Followers: The guy deserves credit, but there are MANY good cappers on this site. Shop around. Maybe this week will put me back on that list.
Selections to be added all week, Best Bet to be decided in a couple days. All Lines Legendz.com or betonline.com. All spreads given were used in bets I made.
OHIO ST. -18 vs. Minnesota BEST BET
With Wells returning, Ohio St. is in prime shape for a breakout week. Minnesota's 4-0 cupcake record sets up extra line value. Minn. doesn't traditionally perform well in Columbus (44-0 loss in '06) and has always played better on turf than grass. OSU may have been overrated before the seaon started, but they're a darn good football team and play an inferior opp. this week. Plus, they're 0-3 ATS so far and are due to finally beat the number. And if the BCS ratings are as screwy TY as LY, they could end up back in the championship game! OHIO ST. 45-7
AUBURN -6 vs. Tennessee
If Auburn has a letdown after the tough loss to LSU, then this game may be close. And by close I mean 10 points. UT has done nothing to warrant us to feel confident in their ability to stay competitive. They catch Auburn at the right time, but that's like saying Paraguay picked the right time to start a war with China. It still won't matter when the final body count comes in. AUBURN 31-10
ALABAMA +7 @ Georgia
Georgia may or may be not overrated, and Bama may or may not be underrated. These inquiries will sort themselves out over the course of the season. TWO THINGS are certain though in this game: 1) Georgia isn't all that effective in Athens. Three home losses the past 2 years, and a near defeat to a winless Colorado team as a 4TD FAV. 2)High profile SEC games tend to be close. 'Bama played 6 SEC games LY with spreads of 7 pts. or less, UGA played in 3. Too many points here. UGA 28-24
TEXAS -27.5 vs. Arkansas
This would have been my pick of the year three weeks ago, but oh yeah, that hurricane thing. The spread went up a few points but the outcome should be the same. Ark. is pathetic with QBs who have a fetish for INTs and absolutely no confidence right now. Plus, the rescheduling doesn't help, as they are probable more focussed on SEC games ahead. Texas is rolling and has it's eyes set on a 5-0 record heading into the Red River Shootout. No Mercy on the hapless Razorbacks. TEXAS 49-7
LSU -24 vs. Miss St.
Like Auburn, LSU could be in for an emotional letdown after last week's game. But unlike Auburn, they are now playing with realistic hopes of a National Championship. With that said, I don't see them letting up this week against a team like Miss. St. that is in complete disarray. After last years bowl season, Miss St. has taken several steps back with their offense, and have developed an allergic reaction to opponents' red zones. MSU will be lucky to score at all, which leaves LSU only in need of scoring 24-28 points. I'll take a chance that happens. LSU 31-0