It was a fairly ho-hum week 4 in the OUA, without any real surprises. The McMAster/Guelph game was a doozy, with two fairly even teams who are both fringe contenders going at it. McMAster pulled off two late touchdowns to snatch the victory away from Guelph on their homecoming weekend.
We've learned a lot about these teams so far, but without any parity in the league at all, it's hard to decipher which results are truly meaningful and which aren't.
For instance, the York Lions are so bad that virtually any team that face them can dictate the score. It's not how good a team is that produces the score, it's how much they want to beat them by. We pretty much have to throw all York games out the window when capping.
Common opponents are helpful, but you run the risk of putting too much emphasis on one or two games rather than the entire body of work. If two teams only have one common opponent, and one team played particularily well that day while the other played unordinarily bad, you're running into a trap.
All that said, here's what I came up with this week.
.56* Laurier/WATERLOO over 49(-113)
.525* Ottawa -38 over WINDSOR(-105)
.525* Ottawa/WINDSOR over 55(-105)
1.05* GUELPH -26 over Toronto(-105)
1.05* QUEENS -3.5 over Western(-105)
YTD: 5-3, +1.475 units