1. #1
    Redwing41
    Redwing41's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-29-16
    Posts: 71
    Betpoints: 72

    Counting cards baccarat?

    In 3 different shoes when the starting (has to be the first 10 to 20 bets) was 60-80% in favor of the player, the banker will have a 4+ banker streak and 60-80% banker win rate right following it. I think if you play 10 shoes you may get 3 shoes that has a majority of low cards in the first 10-15 bets giving an advantage to the player, after the low cards are removed it helps with the banker. I believe the way the hitting system is with the banker and the elimination of low cards it gives banker a 60% edge.

    Real example from 3 shoes in a row that follows roughly 60% player win rate.(still testing).

    Shoe 1: First 13 hands. 10 player, 3 banker. 77% in favor of player. 14th to 21st bet = 7 banker losses in a row. Remaining hands including 7 banker losses = 12 player, 29 banker. 70% banker.

    Shoe 2: First 17 hands. 11 player, 6 banker. 64% in favor of player. 18th to 23rd bet = 5 losses in a row. Remaining hands including 5 losses = 15 player, 21 banker. 58%

    Shoe 3: First 17 hands. 11 player, 6 banker. 64% in favor of player. 18th to 24th bet = 6 losses in a row. Remaining hands including 6 losses = 15 player, 26 banker 63%
    Total banker wins = 76 out of 118 = 64% banker wins. This is only in 3 games. The nature of the immediate switch from player to banker wins is similar to the optimal result when counting cards in Blackjack. Over 10-50 games I can get a better read on it, but I still can not pin point why yet.
    Last edited by Redwing41; 06-12-16 at 02:28 AM.

Top