Good facts i have been betting MMA for years here are so more tips .
Fighters that fight in the UFC and big shows tend to clamp up the first time and Gas quicker , Not used to the big shows 13k filled arenas , Experience in the Octagon means alot look some guys that failed ( Cro cop , Shogun , Wand ) even Rampage first fight in the UFC was tough he admitted he was a little overwelmed .
FIGHT CAMPS - This is very important for betting on MMA , you are only good as the guy you train with . Camps like ATT , Xtreme Couture , Chute boxe , Team Quest ,BTT ect ect . You want guys that have the best in the world training partners , alot of times there are good guys that just havent made it big but with there Camps they are more likely to succeed in there fights , Compared to John Doe who is training a local MMA / boxing gym .
Watch fights on the Internet ( if possible ) - See what both fighters are good and bad at .
How Much time Did the fighters have to Train for the fights - Its MMA alot of people get hurt training . alot of time they have to pull out and a replacement steps in with a few weeks notice .
Are Both fighters Healthy - Did he just come back from Surgery ? any major injuries during training ?
Watch the Weighs or Weigh in Pics - Did the fighter make weight ? how much weight did he have to cut ? ( Travis Lutter ) the fighter that is over a little in weight cut more weight , means the fighter is really deheydrated and is going to affect his cardio and strength for the fight . Also see how the fighter looks . does he look bigger this time or smaller than last fight ? ( BJ penn weigh in pics will tell alot , if he is kinda cut , that means he is ready and will have a great shot to win his next fight )
Look at Stats - Rashad Evans 11-0 but how many fighters are Elite fighters he has beat ? Rampage is 29-6 , key wins against Liddell 2 times, Lindland , Arona ,Henderson , Losses Against W Silva 2times ,Shogun ect .Rashad is a good fighter but not Elite Records sometimes dont tell all the facts about the fighters.
Matchups are big also - Wrestler vs Striker , Striker vs Submission guy ect , Example Matt Hughes is -260 against Thiago Alves +200 , We all Know Matt hughes a great wrestler and super strong, has over 40 mma wins and only loses are to Penn , GSP 2 times , Hallman 2 times . Thiago Alves is a very strong guy , Great striker , great takedown defense ( watch the Karo fight ) Matt Hughes is old now doesnt train with Miktech camp know more , ALVES is Great Dog at + 200 i see Alves taking it .
Its MMA anything can happen .alot more upsets than boxing ( Serra was +800 the first GSP fight ) Dont lay down anything over -400 on a straight bet it just isnt worth it , With fighters throwing kicks , knees , punches or Elbow that cuts and stops the fight ,or one wrong move and you get submitted .
I have more tips but thought i share a few .