1. #1
    Fire in da hole
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    UFC Fight NIGHT: Alverez Vs. Poirier

    Alverez vs. Poirier
    Joanna vs. Torres
    Aldo vs. Stephens

    We got us a fkn card tonight boys

    Take Joanna to the bank
    Aldo over stephens
    Poirier over Alverez

    See you mutha fuckas at the cage


  2. #2
    Mackballs
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    On the same

    Little suspect on JJ though. Still think she hasn't learned much from both those losses to 🌹. She tends to have trouble with shorter, more compact fighters because they're able to get in on her since she likes to stay at range with long strikes. Claudia and Andrade both had success in their fights. Gotta go with her though.

  3. #3
    Fire in da hole
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    I’m not completely sold on JJ overall, but I don’t think about Tores’ striking like she did in her two losses. I don’t think Torres can knock JJ out, so for that, I’m going with JJ

    Poirier is just in a roll and is a complete fighter. Alvarez is no slouch, but just going with the hot hand.

    i don’t think Stephens has fought as good comp as Aldo

  4. #4
    Beantownmatt
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    good luck tonight fellas

  5. #5
    Chi_archie
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    Matt, you related to Jim?

  6. #6
    KVB
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    Money update.

    These fights commanding more volume that CFL games..lol.

    Torres/Edrzej has from my samples and sources, more bets on Edrzej but more money is on Torres. Surprisingly, this is not really reflected in the line as, even though there were -400's out there, this line really stayed in the 270's , after opening around 275 or 285.

    Books may be hiding the money here.

    As I typed this, I see the money getting more even and the line moving to around -280, at least at 5 D.

    The money is pretty split now, with what looks like more bets on Edrezej.

  7. #7
    KVB
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    For Steph/Aldo, it's heavily bet from what I can see. Tickets are on Stephens and the money looks to be on Aldo.

    This money conditioned flipped with the moneyline crossing 0.

    In excess volume, the books have attracted money on each dog. Stephens was legitimately bet up, with transactions to become the favorite but as that occurred, the money came in on Aldo as the Dog.

    We could easily, with this volume, have the some groups holding both fighters as dogs.

    Nice spot for them...



  8. #8
    SilverSpoon111
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Money update.

    These fights commanding more volume that CFL games..lol.

    Torres/Edrzej has from my samples and sources, more bets on Edrzej but more money is on Torres. Surprisingly, this is not really reflected in the line as, even though there were -400's out there, this line really stayed in the 270's , after opening around 275 or 285.

    Books may be hiding the money here.

    As I typed this, I see the money getting more even and the line moving to around -280, at least at 5 D.

    The money is pretty split now, with what looks like more bets on Edrezej.
    Points Awarded:

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  9. #9
    KVB
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    Finally, for Alvarez/Poirier, money and tickets showing on Poirier and it is reflected in the line movement.

    I wouldn't be surprised if this fight went Under, but as we get closer to fight time, the picture will be more clear. I think some Total information is old and it is delayed industry wide for the books.

    Bastards.


  10. #10
    BIGDAY
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    Aldo could suck here.

    Mein should win with ease.

  11. #11
    KVB
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    Yeah, right now the books are content to take Aldo dog money.

    This could go over the 2.5 rounds, and it is juiced that way.

  12. #12
    SilverSpoon111
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    Aldo could suck here.

    Mein should win with ease.
    I agree no way i could take Aldo here unless he was back on the roids because hes been on a steep decline and not getting younger and taking a beating last 3 fights he could easily get mopped in the first round here Stephens is no push over.

  13. #13
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by SilverSpoon111 View Post
    I agree no way i could take Aldo here unless he was back on the roids because hes been on a steep decline and not getting younger and taking a beating last 3 fights he could easily get mopped in the first round here Stephens is no push over.
    Line really moved against him, that's for sure and the books content right now.

    I agree, my forecat freaks out at the thought of Aldo...

    Points Awarded:

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  14. #14
    BIGDAY
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    Points Awarded:

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    Nomination(s):
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  15. #15
    SilverSpoon111
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post

    That's what i like to see spreadsheets with actualy real numbers! Well done so far sir!

  16. #16
    Fire in da hole
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    Bigday buying the Stephens hype

    guy hasn’t fought anything but second rate comp

  17. #17
    BIGDAY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fire in da hole View Post
    Bigday buying the Stephens hype

    guy hasn’t fought anything but second rate comp
    Watch n learn suhn.

  18. #18
    Fire in da hole
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    Watch n learn suhn.
    I’m taking notes

    loser drops their pants and jumps in the nugget pool butt ass naked

    lets go Bigday, man up

  19. #19
    BIGDAY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fire in da hole View Post
    I’m taking notes

    loser drops their pants and jumps in the nugget pool butt ass naked

    lets go Bigday, man up
    Cake Walk.

  20. #20
    KVB
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  21. #21
    Fire in da hole
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    Cake Walk.
    So you agreeing to the bet?

  22. #22
    SilverSpoon111
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fire in da hole View Post
    So you agreeing to the bet?

  23. #23
    KVB
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    Fire is on a roll with side bets BigDay, watch out!!

    He schooled me out of a hundred points last night.


  24. #24
    Fire in da hole
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    He skerd

  25. #25
    Fire in da hole
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    Bigday hiding under the bed right now

  26. #26
    BIGDAY
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    Thought I already agreed?

  27. #27
    Fire in da hole
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    Thought I already agreed?
    It was one of those agree if you win, but deny if you lose type of agreements

    now we have it in stone

    dont do me wrong here Aldo

  28. #28
    KVB
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    I'm on Alvarez/Poirier UNDER 2.5 (-120)


  29. #29
    KVB
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    Books just taking that Aldo plus money. I would imagine we see more like -120 than -125 here.

    The line should drop, if not...uh oh Aldo.

    And Fire...


  30. #30
    Fire in da hole
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    1-0

    take notes boys

    going 3-0 tonight

  31. #31
    Fire in da hole
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    If lightning strikes and Aldo loses I’m going to troll his ass on Twitter and Facebook for weeks

  32. #32
    SilverSpoon111
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Books just taking that Aldo plus money. I would imagine we see more like -120 than -125 here.

    The line should drop, if not...uh oh Aldo.

    And Fire...

    Big late money in UFC is "usually" smart money.

  33. #33
    SilverSpoon111
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    Especially when odds are as close as they have been.

  34. #34
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by SilverSpoon111 View Post
    Big late money in UFC is "usually" smart money.
    Not really big and late, been coming in all day, books just freezing the line. The "late" move, in my opinion, wasn't a late play, just the market build up releasing.

  35. #35
    SilverSpoon111
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    Quote Originally Posted by SilverSpoon111 View Post
    Big late money in UFC is "usually" smart money.

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