Originally Posted by
Shagdogy
Long layoff between UFC events. Did just a little bit of digging to look for some value on this card. I only have lines for the last 3 fights...
Aguilera vs. Seixas is pretty evenly lined, but Seixas is undefeated, looks jacked, and fights at Kings MMA. I would lean him but literally can't find any video so it's just supposing.
Simon vs. Zani: Simon is a beast wrestler with excellent motor. Just took out Chico Camus in a 5 rounder. I like him to win with his cardio, 5 round experience, and relentless wrestling. However, he is hittable and his lone loss came after he was dropped by a strike. Zani is a nice MT fighter with good standup. He's not long however, and I doubt his TDD (based off very little video evidence). Not enough here to play Simon -300 but I think he wins.
Emmers vs. Faria: Faria is a nice MT fighter with an advantage in power in this fight. Will likely be the more damaging, imposing fighter on the feet and we have seen Emmers lose to more physically imposing strikers before. I think Emmers is a good fighter, and could see him landing crisp jabs and a lot of TDs to outpoint Faria, but at +202 I took Faria to win 1u for kicks.
Faria +202, .5u. Only play.