[mfins]

Can anyone find odds on Bellator 195? I can not find them and it seems they haven't been posted yet less than 24 hours to fight time..

[Sanity Check]

Maybe books thought the outcomes were too predictable and chose not to offer support?

Would be interested to know what happened.

[JIBBBY]

Bellator 195 - Bantamweight 5 rounds - WinStar World Casino - Thackerville, Oklahoma - Paramount
Fri 3/2		3001 Leandro Higo		+230
11:00PM		3002 Darrion Caldwell		-290
Bellator 195 - Bantamweight 3 rounds - WinStar World Casino - Thackerville, Oklahoma - Paramount
Fri 3/2		3101 Joe Taimanglo		+135
10:30PM		3102 Joe Warren		-165
Bellator 195 - Flyweight 3 rounds - WinStar World Casino - Thackerville, Oklahoma - Paramount
Fri 3/2		3201 Kristina Williams		+250
10:00PM		3202 Emily Ducote		-325
Bellator 195 - Featherweight 3 rounds - WinStar World Casino - Thackerville, Oklahoma - Paramount
Fri 3/2		3301 William Joplin		+400
9:00PM		3302 Juan Archuleta		-550

[JIBBBY]

MMA mania write ups...




135 lbs.: Darrion Caldwell (11-1) vs. Leandro Higo (18-3)
Four years ago, “The Wolf” Darrion Caldwell’s ascent to the top began at Bellator 112 in Hammond, Indiana. After submitting Lance Surma with a guillotine choke in just 50 seconds, Caldwell immediately went from an unknown undercard fighter to a former collegiate national champion who had added devastating submissions to his wrestling game. His upward momentum continued from there, culminating in a dominating victory over Joe Warren in Thackerville. A world title shot seemed next for Caldwell, but one mistake against Joe Taimanglo briefly slowed his roll.

Caldwell rebounded from that loss to defeat Taimanglo in a rematch and then take the belt from Eduardo Dantas in the same venue as Friday’s fight. Waiting for him there will be “Pitbull” Leandro Higo, a fighter who was relatively unknown outside Brazil until he took Dantas to a split decision in a non-title fight. Having made his name off that match he returned to Bellator and soundly defeated Taimanglo on the same night Caldwell won gold, setting up an eventual showdown between the pair.
The greatest strength for Caldwell has thus far proven to be his only weakness. His wrestling pedigree gives him both the confidence and ability to take down almost any opponent — even decorated wrestlers like the aforementioned Warren — but a technique better-suited for collegiate wrestling often leaves his neck exposed when he shoots for a double leg. An experienced Brazilian jiu-jitsu practitioner can do exactly what Taimanglo did — let Caldwell’s weight and momentum carry him right into a guillotine choke when he completes it. The bad news for Caldwell is Higo has gotten 56 percent of his wins by submission (10 of 18). The good news is that none have come via guillotine.
Caldwell has a size advantage going into this contest, standing 5’10” with a 74-inch reach, while Higo comes either 5’6” or 5’8” (it depends on who you believe) with a 72-inch reach. That makes Higo almost small enough to be a Flyweight and Caldwell almost large enough to be a Lightweight. While the submission skills of Higo should not be taken lightly, Caldwell will almost certainly own the distance between the two and land first in any exchange. And if he softens up Higo standing the way Dantas did, the takedowns that follow should come easily. Unless Caldwell makes a foolish mistake like telegraphing a takedown from a mile away or pulling guard to ice a round this should go his way.
Final prediction: Darrion Caldwell wins via unanimous decision

135 lbs.: Joe Warren (15-6) vs. Joe Taimanglo (23-8-1)

Our preview of the main event has established who both of these men are so let’s get down to brass tacks. Joe Warren has not lost two MMA fights in a row since Bellator 60 in 2012, having most recently defeated Steve Garcia in Thackerville. Taimanglo, on the other hand, has been on a skid, losing back to back bouts to the aforementioned Caldwell and Higo. While Taimanglo certainly has the heart and experience with over 30 fights on his resume and 17 of 23 wins (74 percent) coming by submission (12) or knockout (5), his diminutive stature at 5’4” with a 65” reach comes up short compared to Warren at 5’6” and 69.” Even though Warren relies heavily on his Greco-Roman wrestling with 10 out of 15 wins (66 percent) coming by decision, there’s no reason for him to not take advantage of the reach differential and box Taimanglo then ice rounds with takedowns late.
Final prediction: Joe Warren wins via third round technical knockout

125 lbs.: Kristina Williams (1-0) vs. Emily Ducote (6-3)

The brash upstart Kristina Williams surprised the mixed martial arts (MMA) world with a one-sided massacre of Heather Hardy at Bellator 185 that required the boxer-turned fighter to get plastic surgery on her nose. We’ve been waiting to see what else Williams could do since that day, but while Hardy was a great boxer who had to learn on the job the hard way, the hard-nosed “Gordinha” Emily Ducote has already stacked plenty of MMA experience. She’s 4-2 in six Bellator appearances and has not lost two in a row in her entire career to date. The Oklahoma City native will have the crowd on her side and an arsenal of submissions in her back pocket, picking up 50 percent of her wins to date via one form or another. Williams could surprise us again by keeping Ducote at range and messing up her face with kicks, but it’s a safe bet Ducote read the scouting report and won’t make that same mistake.
Final prediction: Emily Ducote wins via rear-naked choke in the second round

145 lbs.: Juan Archuleta (17-1) vs. William Joplin (15-14)

It seems as though Bellator is making a habit out of putting at least one of its prospects on the card each time now. Although that ramps up the pressure on younger, more inexperienced fighters who are just getting their feet wet, it also gives Bellator a chance to make new stars. There’s definitely a lot to like about Archuleta, whose only professional loss was at WSOF 19 back in 2015. He’s a heavy hitter with 47 percent of his wins (eight of 17) coming by knockout. Joplin, on the other hand, is 2-3 in his last five and was knocked out in all three of those losses. You do the math.
Final prediction: Juan Archuleta wins via first round knockout

[JIBBBY]

I'm still hoping basic props come out for a few of these fights.. I'm holding off on betting the straight plays for now..

[mfins]

They were posted this morning. Thanks!

[Sanity Check]

Does anyone remember if Leandro Higo took the fight with Eduardo Dantas on short notice?

I seem to remember him being dominated in that fight.

Edit: Looks like Higo took the fight with Dantas on 1 month notice and he didn't have to make weight. It was a catchweight bout of 139 lbs. Not certain how that will factor in to things.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Bellator 195: Caldwell vs. Higo

Williams (+255) 1u

[Richard Clock]

Bellator 195: Caldwell vs. Higo

Williams (+255) 1u

Tailing with you for half a unit at +265. Gl

[Thrilla]

Lol @ the write- up about Ducote VS Williams.
Never lost 2 in a row. 9 fight record sample.
Crowd will cheer for her, doubt about the intensity of that.
Ducote wont make the same mistake like Hardy. Subjective assumption.

Is that it?

[Sanity Check]

Good call on Williams.

She's doing a good Jessica Andrade(if Andrade threw kicks and had a height advantage) imitation on Ducote. lol

Edit: Doh. That pesky takedown near the end of the round. Don't know who won this 1. Williams might have got rounds 1 and 2. Not certain on that.

[Richard Clock]

Good call on Williams.

She's doing a good Jessica Andrade(if Andrade threw kicks and had a height advantage) imitation on Ducote. lol

Good call by Hugo. Easy value play, even if Ducote takes this. I'm 0-2 on betting underdogs on Bellator main cards, but both times was on the right side. The dogs will eventually hit in these spots (hopefully they will tomorrow!).

[Richard Clock]

EDIT: duplicate post

[Richard Clock]

WOW it hit! Shows what a sham these types of fights are. Should we double down with a bet on the dog here? Warren is 41 years old.

[Sanity Check]

Joe Warren shows no signs of slowing down from old age.

His opponent Joe Taimanglo is a good counter wrestler he beat Darrion Caldwell via sub awhile back.

I think Warren has this via his wrestling but Warren always tries to find ways to cut corners and costs on his training so that leaves the door open for his opponents to capitalize.

[Thrilla]

Boom! Williams!

Hahaha

Quickest MMA bet descision capping ever.

Was occupied betting other sports. Not knowing Bellator was on. Suddenly MMA popped up on my live sports radar. Checked the fights on bookie. Immedately went to check the forum. Started reading MMA Mania write-up post by Jibbbs. Bells started ringing during Ducote vs Williams. Thinking what BS reason to pick Ducote. Checked the fight page on tapology. Noticed the height difference. Googled the weighins to confirm. Followed by quick highlight vids from both.

Yes! Value! Bet @+250

And then scrolled down seeing Hugo picking Williams. Which felt reassuringly.

All within 15 min span. Bet placed maybe few seconds before start of fight.

[Richard Clock]

Boom! Williams!

Hahaha

Quickest MMA bet descision capping ever.

Was occupied betting other sports. Not knowing Bellator was on. Suddenly MMA popped up on my live sports radar. Checked the fights on bookie. Immedately went to check the forum. Started reading MMA Mania write-up post by Jibbbs. Bells started ringing during Ducote vs Williams. Thinking what BS reason to pick Ducote. Checked the fight page on tapology. Noticed the height difference. Googled the weighins to confirm. Followed by quick highlight vids from both.

Yes! Value! Bet @+250

And then scrolled down seeing Hugo picking Williams. Which felt reassuringly.

All whitin 15 min span.

I'm surprised that the rowdy OKC crowd didn't will Ducote to victory

[Thrilla]

I'm surprised that the rowdy OKC crowd didn't will Ducote to victory

That 30-27 judge should be fired.

[Sanity Check]

Sherdog scored it 30-27 Taimanglo.

Don't know about that.

Warren looked terrible.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Nice to hit that Williams bet!