Not sure how Aaron Khalid keeps winning his fights but they seem all to be due to mental errors of his opponents. First of all, the guy gets muscled around even at 155. At 170, it looks like anyone can just take him down at will and stay on top if they wanted. Adam Proctor and Phil Wells basically neutralized Khalid for all of the first round. Then the same thing happens to both of them in the 2nd. They are in dominant position and Khalid goes for a leglock. they decide to play the game with him and then in a scramble Khalid locks up a submission. Almost the same thing happens in both fights.
Think Houston will be better everywhere here unless he gets lazy and gifts a sub to Khalid. Houston's boxing is pretty damn good for this level of mma. It's better than most guys fighting in the UFC actually. Khalid leaves his lead left hand out and low during exchanges and constantly gets tagged. Khalid does have some nice kicks which might land to Houston's body since this will be orthodox vs southpaw, but he doesn't move out of range fast enough after landing not to get hurt or thrown down to the canvas after. If I were Houston I'd just keep it standing and light Khalid up. Even if a grappling exchange is initiated, I wouldn't worry because Khalid tries some really lazy head/arm throws. Against Houston this probably means getting his back taken.
Just don't see how Khalid wins this. Might have value at even -190. I just hate betting low level chalk but man. Does anybody see this fight going differently here?