1. 01-10-17 06:03 AM #1
    CubanLinx
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    Boxing Picks 2017 Thread

    Figured I'd try this out. I can usually spot decent lines, though I only wager 1-2 times per month on this sport. Let's see if I can put some wins together...
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  2. 01-10-17 06:08 AM #2
    CubanLinx
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    Mikey Garcia to win (-200): 10 units to win 5.

    NOT Frampton inside distance (-312): 15.5 units to win 5.
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  3. 01-11-17 01:08 AM #3
    THE_RUDESTER
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    These are 2 very solid bets.
    I'm on Mikey Garcia as well.
    Also no way Santa Cruz will get finished inside the distance. This fight has a controversial decision written all over it.
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  4. 01-18-17 05:24 PM #4
    CubanLinx
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    Miguel Cotto wins INSIDE THE DISTANCE (-150): 15 units to win 10.
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  5. 01-25-17 01:36 AM #5
    CubanLinx
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    NOT Zlaticanin inside distance (-545): 30 units to win 5.5.
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  6. 01-25-17 01:37 AM #6
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by CubanLinx View Post
    NOT Zlaticanin inside distance (-545): 30 units to win 5.5.
    That seems like a pretty aggressive play. Out of curiosity, what's your unit size?
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  7. 01-25-17 02:18 AM #7
    CubanLinx
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    That seems like a pretty aggressive play. Out of curiosity, what's your unit size?
    $2,000 boxing bankroll. $20 = 1 unit. Not a large chunk of money by any means but I bet in large portions...so it sort of evens out. 70% of my bankroll on 4 fights already lol.

    I have my probability breakdowns completed weeks before these lines open. Prop bets for this fight just dropped an hour ago.
    This line is at an 84.5% probability...my assessment says it should be 88% (or -733).

    Lines of my first 3 bets have already moved from:
    -200/-240
    -312/-440
    -150/-188

    I have a feeling this line may move against me, given that Zlat can punch. But late money seems to be favoring Garcia thus far so who knows. Anyways, I pulled the trigger just based off the gap between odds/probability. My strategy is to bet well priced favorites. You'll rarely see an underdog bet here.
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  8. 01-25-17 11:41 AM #8
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by CubanLinx View Post
    $2,000 boxing bankroll. $20 = 1 unit. Not a large chunk of money by any means but I bet in large portions...so it sort of evens out. 70% of my bankroll on 4 fights already lol.

    I have my probability breakdowns completed weeks before these lines open. Prop bets for this fight just dropped an hour ago.
    This line is at an 84.5% probability...my assessment says it should be 88% (or -733).

    Lines of my first 3 bets have already moved from:
    -200/-240
    -312/-440
    -150/-188

    I have a feeling this line may move against me, given that Zlat can punch. But late money seems to be favoring Garcia thus far so who knows. Anyways, I pulled the trigger just based off the gap between odds/probability. My strategy is to bet well priced favorites. You'll rarely see an underdog bet here.
    Cool. Thanks for the reply!
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  9. 01-29-17 05:22 AM #9
    CubanLinx
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    Quote Originally Posted by CubanLinx View Post
    Mikey Garcia to win (-200): 10 units to win 5.

    NOT Frampton inside distance (-312): 15.5 units to win 5.
    Quote Originally Posted by CubanLinx View Post
    NOT Zlaticanin inside distance (-545): 30 units to win 5.5.

    (3-0) +15.5 units.
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  10. 01-29-17 01:20 PM #10
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by CubanLinx View Post
    (3-0) +15.5 units.
    Nice wins Cuban. Garcia's KO of Zlaticanin was absolutely brutal.
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  11. 01-29-17 11:49 PM #11
    CubanLinx
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Nice wins Cuban. Garcia's KO of Zlaticanin was absolutely brutal.
    Thanks man. Great performance from Garcia. Good start to the boxing year too thus far.
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  12. 02-02-17 03:55 PM #12
    CubanLinx
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    Vasquez-Callazo OVER 6.5 rounds (-275): 7 units to win 2.55.
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  13. 02-02-17 09:24 PM #13
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Looks like Cotto/Kirkland is off due to a Kirkland injury
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  14. 02-03-17 07:08 AM #14
    CubanLinx
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    Quote Originally Posted by CubanLinx View Post
    Vasquez-Callazo OVER 6.5 rounds (-275): 7 units to win 2.55.
    Callazo by STORM. old bastard.

    (3-1) +8.5 units.

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Looks like Cotto/Kirkland is off due to a Kirkland injury
    Confirmed. Wager refunded, bet canceled. Shame too I got that at a really good price, probably won't even bet it once they reschedule.
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  15. 02-09-17 08:52 AM #15
    The_Money_T3am
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    What do you think of a parlay with Rau'shee Warren(-450) and Adrien Broner(-300)?
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  16. 02-09-17 09:46 AM #16
    JC2008
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    Quote Originally Posted by The_Money_T3am View Post
    What do you think of a parlay with Rau'shee Warren(-450) and Adrien Broner(-300)?
    Broner is not a fighter I would want to be laying a price with, especially against a pressure fighter, the style which gives him fits. He's fighting at home so he SHOULD win and get the decision if it comes to that, but there's obviously always the possibility of a draw. Warren SHOULD win but I honestly haven't seen a lot of him. I know there's some hype behind him though. You could bring the -185 odds down to -149 or so if you throw Charlo on there over Charles Hatley.
    Last edited by JC2008; 02-09-17 at 10:13 AM.
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  17. 03-02-17 02:59 PM #17
    CubanLinx
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    Quote Originally Posted by JC2008 View Post
    Broner is not a fighter I would want to be laying a price with, especially against a pressure fighter, the style which gives him fits. He's fighting at home so he SHOULD win and get the decision if it comes to that, but there's obviously always the possibility of a draw. Warren SHOULD win but I honestly haven't seen a lot of him. I know there's some hype behind him though. You could bring the -185 odds down to -149 or so if you throw Charlo on there over Charles Hatley.
    Sorry just saw this. Yeah Broner is too complacent in the ring...I'd never bet him.
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  18. 03-02-17 03:02 PM #18
    CubanLinx
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    Garcia-Thurman goes distance (-185): 19 units to win 10.2.
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  19. 03-02-17 03:53 PM #19
    JC2008
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    Quote Originally Posted by CubanLinx View Post
    Garcia-Thurman goes distance (-185): 19 units to win 10.2.
    Garcia by decision +400 is mad, you could hedge with Thurman decision +130 as well. Odds are it goes to the cards, either way. Of course a small sprinkle on the draw.
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  20. 03-02-17 06:24 PM #20
    kobejoshy
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    I agree with this fight going the distance. I don't think either guy will get in too much trouble and I doubt that a stoppage will come from a corner or referee. I'm currently on Garcia-Thurman Over 10.5 at -205. Great boxing and UFC this weekend!
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  21. 03-02-17 06:57 PM #21
    JC2008
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    Quote Originally Posted by kobejoshy View Post
    I agree with this fight going the distance. I don't think either guy will get in too much trouble and I doubt that a stoppage will come from a corner or referee. I'm currently on Garcia-Thurman Over 10.5 at -205. Great boxing and UFC this weekend!
    Absolutely!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=koeQE2dNKPc
    Last edited by JC2008; 03-02-17 at 07:59 PM.
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  22. 03-05-17 05:52 PM #22
    CubanLinx
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    Quote Originally Posted by CubanLinx View Post
    Garcia-Thurman goes distance (-185): 19 units to win 10.2.
    (4-1) +18.7 units.
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  23. 03-08-17 09:11 PM #23
    The_Money_T3am
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    What do you think of Amir Mansour vs Travis Kauffman?

    Also over/under 7.5 rounds for the GGG fight?
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  24. 03-13-17 10:38 PM #24
    kobejoshy
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    Gennady Golovkin v. Daniel Jacobs Under 7.5RDS at (-135) is my play for the HBO PPV. I think Jacobs will be very aggressive and that Triple G will do some damage in the early rounds.
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  25. 03-13-17 11:18 PM #25
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by kobejoshy View Post
    Gennady Golovkin v. Daniel Jacobs Under 7.5RDS at (-135) is my play for the HBO PPV. I think Jacobs will be very aggressive and that Triple G will do some damage in the early rounds.
    I'll be at that fight. Have the under as well. GL Kobe!
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  26. 03-14-17 06:43 PM #26
    JC2008
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    I think the fight goes at least 8 but that's just my opinion. Jacobs at home will bring it.
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  27. 03-18-17 12:53 AM #27
    CubanLinx
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    Quote Originally Posted by The_Money_T3am View Post
    What do you think of Amir Mansour vs Travis Kauffman?

    Also over/under 7.5 rounds for the GGG fight?

    Again sorry for the delay. Good win for Mansour. Probably wouldn't have touched the fight due to Mansour's age...guy is tough though. Whooped Breazale before biting off his own tongue lol.

    7.5 is such a perfect o/u for the GGG fight. Damn the bookies. I'm seeing it at -/+150. If anything the over would tempt me, simply because it's the +. But I play good odds not good props, so I'm inactive (again) this weekend.
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  28. 03-19-17 12:46 AM #28
    The_Money_T3am
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    Np what do you guys think of the Jorge Linares vs Anthony Crolla Fight?
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  29. 03-19-17 01:39 AM #29
    CubanLinx
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    Quote Originally Posted by The_Money_T3am View Post
    Np what do you guys think of the Jorge Linares vs Anthony Crolla Fight?
    Rematches are never good odds wise. Not sure why a rematch is even happening, Linares beat him soundly the first time out. I'd say goes the distance (-150) isn't a bad play. Might throw a small amount down, not sure yet.
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  30. 07-01-17 12:59 PM #30
    CubanLinx
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    Pacquiao to win (-500): 25 units to win 5.
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  31. 07-02-17 12:04 AM #31
    CubanLinx
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    Quote Originally Posted by CubanLinx View Post
    Pacquiao to win (-500): 25 units to win 5.
    Robbed down under. Crikey.

    (4-2) -6.3 units.
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  32. 07-02-17 12:49 AM #32
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by CubanLinx View Post
    Robbed down under. Crikey.

    (4-2) -6.3 units.
    Australian judges are known for that shit. Sorry man
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  33. 09-16-17 07:33 PM #33
    CubanLinx
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    Missed posting for the Mayweather fight. I'll take some screen shots and update. Card netted me +7.75 units, but anyhow...

    Canelo/GGG over 7.5 (-326) 5 units to win 1.5

    Canelo/GGG No points deducted either fighter (-600) 15 units to win 2.5
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  34. 10-06-17 04:12 PM #34
    CubanLinx
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    Quote Originally Posted by CubanLinx View Post
    Missed posting for the Mayweather fight. I'll take some screen shots and update. Card netted me +7.75 units, but anyhow...

    Canelo/GGG over 7.5 (-326) 5 units to win 1.5

    Canelo/GGG No points deducted either fighter (-600) 15 units to win 2.5
    452391655-1
    8/25/17 3:50pm $40.00 $33.33 $73.33 Win 8/26/17 7:00pm Boxing Props Fighting 453 Dulorme / Ugas goes distance -120* vs Fight won't go distance
    452333597-1 8/24/17 9:41pm $100.00 $15.63 $115.63 Win 8/26/17 11:59pm Boxing Props Fighting 1161 McGregor / Mayweather starts round 3 -640* vs Fight won't start round 3
    451783360-1 8/19/17 2:21pm $500.00 $106.38 $606.38 Win 8/26/17 11:00pm Reduced Fighting 502 Floyd Mayweather Jr -470* vs Conor McGregor


    Ok, sorry for the lag here. Mayweather card gets me 7.76 Units, Canelo/GGG gets me 4 units.

    (9-2) +5.46 Units
    Last edited by CubanLinx; 10-06-17 at 04:18 PM.
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  35. 10-13-17 10:38 PM #35
    CubanLinx
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    Charlo/Lubin OVER 8.5 rounds (-200) 5 units to win 2.5.

    NOT Lubin inside distance (-380) 7.6 units to win 2.

    Hurd/Trout goes distance (-190) 9.5 units to win 5.
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