1. #36
    Hugo de Naranja
    Hugo de Naranja's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-16
    Posts: 14,140
    Betpoints: 621

    UFC Fight Night 96 Draftkings Double Up Lineup:
    Louis Smolka ($9,400)
    Kelly Faszholz ($8,600)
    Keita Nakamura ($8,400)
    Curtis Blaydes ($8,300)
    John Lineker ($8,100)
    Alex Oliveira ($7,200)

    UFC Fight Night 96 Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
    Louis Smolka ($9,400)
    Kelly Faszholz ($8,600)
    Keita Nakamura ($8,400)
    John Lineker ($8,100)
    Nate Marquardt ($8,000)
    Jonathan Wilson ($7,500)

  2. #37
    Thrilla
    Goater a Legend
    Thrilla's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-10-15
    Posts: 13,811
    Betpoints: 17711

  3. #38
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    I've got a counter-offer. Just 50 bet points straight up this time. I'll give them the day of the fight if I lose. Would that work?
    Sounds good Hugo, but unless you go PRO you'd be the first non SBR PRO to do that 50 point transfer in one day.

    If you can't I'll take 2 points a day for 25 days as that's as much as a non pro is allowed to transfer per day..

    50 point bet on... I got Dodson you got Lineker...

  4. #39
    Thrilla
    Goater a Legend
    Thrilla's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-10-15
    Posts: 13,811
    Betpoints: 17711

    Jibbby do you know who has the speed advantage now? Johnson or Poirier ?

  5. #40
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    Quote Originally Posted by Thrilla View Post
    Jibbby do you know who has the speed advantage now? Johnson or Poirier ?
    Thrilla killa what are you talking about?

    Last UFC event I suffered a rare loss, won't happen again anytime soon.. Can't keep a good man down for more then 1 event... You guys know how Jibs rolls.. I hit a speed bump every now and then but I never crash.. You especially should know this thrilla..

    I'm on this event like flies on shiiit.....
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-01-16 at 04:41 PM.

  6. #41
    Thrilla
    Goater a Legend
    Thrilla's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-10-15
    Posts: 13,811
    Betpoints: 17711

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Thrilla killa what are you talking about?

    Last even I suffered a rare loss, won't happen again anytime soon.. Can't keep a good man down for more then 1 event... You guys know how Jibs rolls.. I hit a speed bump every now and then but I never crash.. You especially should know this thrilla..

    I'm on this event like flies on shiiit.....
    I asked in the Poirier vs Johnson thread how much credit to give to Johnson's speed advantage you were the only one to answer and concluded neither had a speed advantage. I know you hedged with Johnson KO, all good so don't start explaining that. But you of all people should have known the rule when in doubt.

    Points Awarded:

    JIBBBY gave Thrilla 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  7. #42
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    I am a firm believer at the top levels always fade Asians and always bet on black..

  8. #43
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Either guy could definitely get KO'ed. I've got no illusions about Lineker's striking defense and Dodson hits very hard. That said, I think Lineker will be able to drag Dodson into a brawl and Lineker pretty much always wins that type of fight.
    I'll take the guy who found TJs chin.

  9. #44
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    mmafighting.com - I agree with this guys predictions for the most part.. Except for Lineker and Walt Harris..

    John Lineker vs. John Dodson
    This is a really tough one to call. Lineker isn't merely a powerful puncher, but has a rock chin and massively-improved takedown defense. Dodson has heavy hands, but is also very fast. Some have suggested Dodson could strike from the outside, stick and move and generally work his way to a decision. I certainly see that as plausible, but even as he routinely misses weight, Lineker's improvements are hard to overlook. There's a question about both fighters' abilities to go the distance over five rounds, although it's hard to tell how badly. All the way back to the Pat Runez fight, Dodson faded in the championship rounds, but Lineker hasn't fought in a fourth or fifth round ever. In the end, I'm going to lean towards the fighter who has been active and on a tear.
    Pick: Lineker

    Will Brooks
    vs. Alex Oliveira

    Oliveira's coming in overweight, which isn't new, but he won't be allowed to be above 175 pounds tomorrow. That hurts him as he might not be fully rehydrated and rested. In addition, Brooks will have the ability to physically push the pace. That won't happen at a break-neck speed, but as just enough of a clip to wear him down slowly over time against the fence or in top position. A game Oliveira can usually do a lot from his back as a submission threat, but Brooks is pretty disciplined there as well. This should be the American's fight to lose.
    Pick: Brooks

    Josh Burkman
    vs. Zak Ottow

    Ottow looks like a promising prospect. I don't think winning here is beyond the realm of possibilities by any stretch. He's significantly improved his striking technique over the years, but is still fundamentally an offensive MMA grappler at heart. Burkman lacks for any number of critical elements to successful fighting, but typically, takedown defense isn't one of them. Combine with that an unusual willingness to wildly exchange with very heavy punchers and that just seems like a bridge too far for Ottow. Then again, Burkman is known to routinely enter fights with illnesses or various distractions. If he's off his game, Ottow has an opportunity here.
    Pick: Burkman

    Louis Smolka
    vs. Brandon Moreno

    Moreno is tough, and has a fair amount of skill in virtually every department of the game, but he's a few steps behind Smolka, particularly on the mat. The Hawaiian gets into positions backwards, has an endless ability to keep scrambling and uses submission attempts as either fight finishers or ways to dominate position. Moreno is athletic and quick, but technically far behind. Add in the fact that Smolka is physically durable as well and one quickly realizes Moreno is overmatched.
    Pick: Smolka

    From the preliminary card
    :

    Luis Henrique da Silva def. Joachim Christensen
    Hacran Dias def. Andre Fili
    Walt Harris def. Shamil Abdurakhimov
    Keita Nakamura def. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
    Tamdan McCrory def. Nate Marquardt
    Jonathan Wilson def. Ion Cutelaba
    Curtis Blaydes def. Cody East
    Kelly Faszholz def. Ketlen Vieira

  10. #45
    THE_LOCKSMITH
    THE_LOCKSMITH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-08
    Posts: 7,237
    Betpoints: 5218

    Quote Originally Posted by THE_LOCKSMITH View Post
    Wow Marquardt nearly +200 against McCrory, both were ko'd in their last fights Tamdan brutally.
    Marquardt down to +120

  11. #46
    Thrilla
    Goater a Legend
    Thrilla's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-10-15
    Posts: 13,811
    Betpoints: 17711

    - Fast rising lightweight Will Brooks journeys to Chicago to revisit his harrowing past where he battled his family’s struggles and homelessness while developing the mental fortitude necessary for a UFC title run.

  12. #47
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    This is the one fight I can't get a grip on with this card.. Anyone have any ideas?

    Fili coming in on 3 weeks notice makes me want to fade him but he's a solid fighter.. Hacran has been dropped before in the past as well... Just scratching my head with this one fight??? May take a pass...

    Thinking maybe taking a shot at the fight won't go the distance prop at those + odds as my only play.... Try small on the Fili KO prop as well..

    1504 Fight won’t go 3 round distance
    +160


    UFC Fight Night 96 - Featherweight 3 rounds - Moda Center - Portland, Oregon - FS2
    Sat 10/1 1501 Andre Fili +155 o2½ -230
    10:00PM 1502 Hacran Dias -175 u2½ +190




    FS2



    Hacran
    Dias
    vs
    Andre
    Fili
    "Touchy"

    BRAZIL
    Country
    USA

    23-4-1
    Record
    15-4-0

    17%
    KO/TKO
    53%

    35%
    SUB
    20%

    48%
    DEC
    27%

    68 in
    Height
    70 in

    145 lbs
    Weight
    145 lbs

    69 in
    Reach
    74 in

    40 in
    Leg Reach
    40 in
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-01-16 at 03:13 PM.

  13. #48
    Hugo de Naranja
    Hugo de Naranja's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-16
    Posts: 14,140
    Betpoints: 621

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    This is the one fight I can't get a grip on with this card.. Anyone have any ideas?

    Fili coming in on 3 weeks notice makes me want to fade him but he's a solid fighter.. Hacran has been dropped before in the past as well... Just scratching my head with this one fight??? May take a pass...

    Thinking maybe taking a shot at the fight won't go the distance prop at those + odds as my only play.... Try small on the Fili KO prop as well..

    1504 Fight won’t go 3 round distance
    +160


    UFC Fight Night 96 - Featherweight 3 rounds - Moda Center - Portland, Oregon - FS2
    Sat 10/1 1501 Andre Fili +155 o2½ -230
    10:00PM 1502 Hacran Dias -175 u2½ +190




    FS2



    Hacran
    Dias
    vs
    Andre
    Fili
    "Touchy"

    BRAZIL
    Country
    USA

    23-4-1
    Record
    15-4-0

    17%
    KO/TKO
    53%

    35%
    SUB
    20%

    48%
    DEC
    27%

    68 in
    Height
    70 in

    145 lbs
    Weight
    145 lbs

    69 in
    Reach
    74 in

    40 in
    Leg Reach
    40 in
    I just bet Fili R3 but don't see too much value on this fight. Think Hacran probably grinds out a close decision.

  14. #49
    Snowball
    Snowball's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-15-09
    Posts: 30,019
    Betpoints: 3732

    josh samman in a coma and critical
    his friend dead
    probably overdose

  15. #50
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    I just bet Fili R3 but don't see too much value on this fight. Think Hacran probably grinds out a close decision.
    It could very well go to a decision Hugo but at +160 fight not going distance I think I'm gonna try that.. Both fighters are capable of finishing, not sure how much Fili will have in the gas tank to go the full 3 rounds either.. I'm betting small on this fight not going the distance as I don't see much value in it either..

  16. #51
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    josh samman in a coma and critical
    his friend dead
    probably overdose
    Yeah I saw that Snowball.. Has to be drugs what else could it be? http://www.mmafighting.com/2016/10/1...rtedly-in-coma

  17. #52
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    Playing this card conservative but confident I will come out winning money with this event.. Alot of hedge play...

    Let's start off with the chick fight. Small stuff.. Just looking to win $75 after all is said and done with this.. Or a $50 spot on the flip..

    Fight #1

    $100.00 $100.00 Pending 10/1/16 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2101 Ketien Vieria +100* vs Kelly Faszholz

    Hedge

    $25.00 $149.30 Pending 10/1/16 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2131 Faszholz wins by submission +597* vs Any other result




    Kelly
    Faszholz
    vs
    Ketlen
    Vieira
    "Fenomeno"

    USA
    Country
    BRAZIL

    3-1-0
    Record
    6-0-0

    0%
    KO/TKO
    33%

    100%
    SUB
    50%

    0%
    DEC
    17%

    68 in
    Height
    0 in

    135 lbs
    Weight
    135 lbs

    67 in
    Reach
    0 in

    40 in
    Leg Reach
    0 in

  18. #53
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    Fight #2 -

    I like the value on the under with these 2 big boys..
    $110.00 $104.80 Pending 10/1/16 7:30pm UFC Fighting 2001 Curtis Blaydes/Cody East Under 1½ -105*

    Decided to fade Nate Marq.. as he's washed up and I think he gets KO'd.. Hit the Tamdan by KO prop as well.... I had to do it..

    SO I have this 2 team parlay in play with Curtis for this fight.. This is kinda of a hedge on my U1.5 if Blaydes lays and prays to a decision win..

    $65.00 $96.30 Pending 2 Team Parlay
    Pending 10/1/16 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Tamdan McCrory -135* vs Nate Marquardt
    Pending 10/1/16 7:30pm UFC Fighting 2001 Curtis Blaydes -235* vs Cody East


    UFC Fight Pass Early Prelims



    Cody
    East
    "The Freight Train"
    vs
    Curtis
    Blaydes
    "Razor"

    USA
    Country
    USA

    12-2-0
    Record
    5-1-0

    75%
    KO/TKO
    100%

    17%
    SUB
    0%

    8%
    DEC
    0%

    75 in
    Height
    77 in

    245 lbs
    Weight
    265 lbs

    74 in
    Reach
    80 in

    41 in
    Leg Reach
    46 in
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-01-16 at 04:53 PM.

  19. #54
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    Fight #3 -

    Couple of strong finishers and bruisers that come out swinging looking for the KO.. I think Cutelaba has a slightly better chance at getting the KO.. Also don't see this fight getting past the 2nd round.. Odds were doable on U1.5 as the main play...

    $50.00 $77.50 Pending 10/1/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1933 Cutelaba wins by TKO/KO +155* vs Any other result

    $125.00 $100.00 Pending 10/1/16 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1901 Jonathan Wilson/Ion Cutelaba Under 1½ -125*




    Jonathan
    Wilson
    "Jonny Bravo"
    vs
    Ion
    Cutelaba

    USA
    Country
    REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA

    7-1-0
    Record
    11-2-0, 1NC

    86%
    KO/TKO
    82%


    0%
    SUB
    18%

    14%
    DEC
    0%

    73 in
    Height
    73 in

    205 lbs
    Weight
    205 lbs

    75 in
    Reach
    75 in

    42 in
    Leg Reach
    41 in

  20. #55
    Hugo de Naranja
    Hugo de Naranja's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-16
    Posts: 14,140
    Betpoints: 621

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Yeah I saw that Snowball.. Has to be drugs what else could it be? http://www.mmafighting.com/2016/10/1...rtedly-in-coma
    Yeah I heard it was a heroin OD. Hope he recovers.

  21. #56
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    ^^^Sounds like it is Heroin Hugo.. Can't see how anyone can jab a needle in their arms to get high, especially a pro sports athlete.. Just stupid... That should be rule number one in life is NEVER stick a needle in you to get high as that's the kiss of death.. Just don't go there!!!! I would never do that, I can't even jab a needle in my ass to take steroids.. Oral or bust for Jibs..

    Ok to round off the early prelims... This is how I played it..

    Fight #4 -

    I originally wanted to take Nate at +200 but just didn't have the stones to play it... Since Nate has been getting dropped lately the smart play has to be Tamdam by KO at +350 odds... McCrory does win the majority of his fights by KO as well... I tried it for a benny... Along with that 2 teamer I mentioned in the above post.. Nate just ain't that Great anymore

    $100.00 $350.00 Pending 10/1/16 8:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1833 McCrory wins by TKO/KO +350* vs Any other result

    UFC Fight Pass Early Prelims



    Nate
    Marquardt
    "The Great"
    vs
    Tamdan
    McCrory
    "The Barn Cat"

    USA
    Country
    USA

    37-16-2
    Record
    14-4-0

    32%
    KO/TKO
    57%

    38%
    SUB
    36%

    30%
    DEC
    7%

    72 in
    Height
    76 in

    185 lbs
    Weight
    185 lbs

    74 in
    Reach
    78 in

    42 in
    Leg Reach
    0 in
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-01-16 at 04:38 PM.

  22. #57
    Rich Benjamins
    Rich Benjamins's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-15-15
    Posts: 831
    Betpoints: 3698

    I'm confident with Blaydes. Maybe the over is a good bet on Blaydes/East? If Blaydes keeps just wrestling him to the ground. I also like Brooks and of course, Smolka. Passing on Dodson/Lineker, just going to enjoy watching that one.

  23. #58
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    Quote Originally Posted by Rich Benjamins View Post
    I'm confident with Blaydes. Maybe the over is a good bet on Blaydes/East? If Blaydes keeps just wrestling him to the ground. I also like Brooks and of course, Smolka. Passing on Dodson/Lineker, just going to enjoy watching that one.
    Yep on Brooks by decision and Smolka by Sub myself...

  24. #59
    Hugo de Naranja
    Hugo de Naranja's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-16
    Posts: 14,140
    Betpoints: 621

    Looks like we're pretty much opposite on all of the early fights Jibs

  25. #60
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Looks like we're pretty much opposite on all of the early fights Jibs
    Well may the better man win then Hugo.. Lol.. It happens...

    I think I got a good grip on this event but we see? You've been pretty hot lately and I struck out in that last event so who knows?... I'm looking to rebound hard though.. I usually do after a bad event loss..

    I feel happy, confident and ready to go, unlike the last event.. I could feel there was something a miss going into that last event..
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-01-16 at 05:20 PM.
    Points Awarded:

    Hugo de Naranja gave JIBBBY 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  26. #61
    Snowball
    Snowball's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-15-09
    Posts: 30,019
    Betpoints: 3732

    da silva and ottow here.

  27. #62
    Rich Benjamins
    Rich Benjamins's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-15-15
    Posts: 831
    Betpoints: 3698

    I've got da Silva too, hoping it wasn't the wrong pick. Christensen might outbox him but he's got a mean clinch game. I've got Da Silva and Brooks as my biggest bets tonite.

  28. #63
    Snowball
    Snowball's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-15-09
    Posts: 30,019
    Betpoints: 3732

    early fight - Cutelaba..

  29. #64
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    da silva and ottow here.
    I'm leaning Burkman but didn't like the - odds.. Tough fight to call actually.. I surrendered and just went with the U2.5 at even odds.. Both are VERY capable of finishing the fight..

    I may still take Burkman ITD if I'm up on the card myself.. Ottow has a chance though, boy is solid..

    1309 Burkman wins inside distance
    +159


    UFC Fight Night 96 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Moda Center - Portland, Oregon - FS1
    Sat 10/1 1301 Zak Ottow +210 o2½ -115
    11:00PM 1302 Josh Burkman -250 u2½ -105
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-01-16 at 06:07 PM.

  30. #65
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    OK here we go!!! Start time in a few minutes!! Let's get that pay dirt fellas....




  31. #66
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    Some high level MMA going on between these ladies. Dana must be impressed.

  32. #67
    Hugo de Naranja
    Hugo de Naranja's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-16
    Posts: 14,140
    Betpoints: 621

    One of the more frustrating fights I've watched recently. Faszholz just refusing to stand up despite having countless opportunities to do so.

  33. #68
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    I'll take this small $75 win.. Just win baby!!!.. Fight 1 down unless a robbery happens with this decision... Onto the next now...


    Fight #1

    $100.00 $100.00 Pending 10/1/16 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2101 Ketien Vieria +100* vs Kelly Faszholz


    Hedge

    $25.00 $149.30 Pending 10/1/16 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2131 Faszholz wins by submission +597* vs Any other result

  34. #69
    Hugo de Naranja
    Hugo de Naranja's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-16
    Posts: 14,140
    Betpoints: 621

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    I'll take this small $75 win.. Just win baby!!!.. Fight 1 down unless a robbery happens with this decision... Onto the next now...


    Fight #1

    $100.00 $100.00 Pending 10/1/16 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2101 Ketien Vieria +100* vs Kelly Faszholz


    Hedge

    $25.00 $149.30 Pending 10/1/16 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2131 Faszholz wins by submission +597* vs Any other result
    Don't know that it would have been a robbery as Vieira did almost no damage in R1 despite controlling top position for most of the fight

  35. #70
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 82,903
    Betpoints: 11478

    Well Hugo myslelf and DC announcing had those first 2 rounds for the winner.

    One judge scored that for Faszholt, lol...

    Ok we are already off to some shaky judging early on..

First 12345 ... Last
Top