1. #36
    bjpenn85
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    UFC FN 91 - Macdonald vs Lineker

    7 units on Lineker @ 1.6 to win - 4.2 units
    2,5 units on M.Lopez @ 1.7 to win - 1.7 units

  2. #37
    Ty$
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    UFC FN 91 - Macdonald vs Lineker

    7 units on Lineker @ 1.6 to win - 4.2 units
    2,5 units on M.Lopez @ 1.7 to win - 1.7 units
    These are both plays I'm goin against. I feel maybe usada could affect Lineker and Macs speed and reach should be a big problem. I want to like Lopez but I personally know 1 of the last 2 guys he fought and the dude is super green. So it's hard to judge how Lopez will do w a seasoned vet. Especially since Lopez has wrestling. But Yaya really doesn't care he will pull guard. Def tough calls but gotta go + $ with how the dogs been barking.

  3. #38
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Best of luck BJ. Lineker will smash McDonald

  4. #39
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ty$ View Post
    These are both plays I'm goin against. I feel maybe usada could affect Lineker and Macs speed and reach should be a big problem. I want to like Lopez but I personally know 1 of the last 2 guys he fought and the dude is super green. So it's hard to judge how Lopez will do w a seasoned vet. Especially since Lopez has wrestling. But Yaya really doesn't care he will pull guard. Def tough calls but gotta go + $ with how the dogs been barking.
    I will have to agree to some extent here. Rewatching tape now. I actually think im going against my own principles here. Now that Yaya is +140, im maybe bying back what i have one this one.

    Regarding lineker, he has a huge reach disadvantage in every fight, but he doesnt seem to care that much. Font is on par with macdonals striking and he couldnt stick and move.

  5. #40
    bjpenn85
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    Final bets : UFC FN 91 - Macdonald vs Lineker

    7 units on Lineker @ 1.60 to win - 4.2 units

    Its to risky at this point to bet on lopez. His fights are too short and there is no data to evaluate if he can beat the quality of opposition of Yaya. He is athletic, smart guy and all that, but i think its correct, you cant bet on a fighter that have fought 1 minutes every fight with people having 5-2 record. I saw something in Lopez, but yeah once again i have to cancel another bet. Sometimes you just want someone to win, but i cant back that mf here. He appears to be a scrambler, and in exchanges with yaya, you know what yaya do. He has a bunch of tricks. At the same time, yaya is crap at this point as well, so you fading him is tempting, but i need to see a little bit more from someone to go against him here

    I think Lineker will be the likely round winner in this affair, if macdonald can KO or submit him, sure, ille guess he can. But i think the most likely scenario is that Lineker drops bombs on Macdonald the whole fight. Lineker has a pretty good chin, and he has actually a really fast jab as well. He tagged Rob Font multiple times during that, seemingly just out of nowhere. I think the person that beats lineker takes him down, and controls him. Im not sure Macdonald is the guy to take Lineker out. So many have tried, and very few has managed to even make it close. No split decisions, only unanimous dec or straight KOs.
    Last edited by bjpenn85; 07-13-16 at 01:43 PM.

  6. #41
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    I will have to agree to some extent here. Rewatching tape now. I actually think im going against my own principles here. Now that Yaya is +140, im maybe bying back what i have one this one.

    Regarding lineker, he has a huge reach disadvantage in every fight, but he doesnt seem to care that much. Font is on par with macdonals striking and he couldnt stick and move.
    I'm on Yahya already. Since I've followed you you've been correct on every buyback. Let's hope that trend continues.

  7. #42
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Final bets : UFC FN 91 - Macdonald vs Lineker

    7 units on Lineker @ 1.60 to win - 4.2 units

    Its to risky at this point to bet on lopez. His fights are too short and there is no data to evaluate if he can beat the quality of opposition of Yaya. He is athletic, smart guy and all that, but i think its correct, you cant bet on a fighter that have fought 1 minutes every fight with people having 5-2 record. I saw something in Lopez, but yeah once again i have to cancel another bet. Sometimes you just want someone to win, but i cant back that mf here. He appears to be a scrambler, and in exchanges with yaya, you know what yaya do. He has a bunch of tricks. At the same time, yaya is crap at this point as well, so you fading him is tempting, but i need to see a little bit more from someone to go against him here

    I think Lineker will be the likely round winner in this affair, if macdonald can KO or submit him, sure, ille guess he can. But i think the most likely scenario is that Lineker drops bombs on Macdonald the whole fight. Lineker has a pretty good chin, and he has actually a really fast jab as well. He tagged Rob Font multiple times during that, seemingly just out of nowhere. I think the person that beats lineker takes him down, and controls him. Im not sure Macdonald is the guy to take Lineker out. So many have tried, and very few has managed to even make it close. No split decisions, only unanimous dec or straight KOs.
    Lineker -5.5 also looks good at (-110)

  8. #43
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    I'm on Yahya already. Since I've followed you you've been correct on every buyback. Let's hope that trend continues.
    Listen, this guy wins over the likes of kanehara, bedford etc. Hes not thaaaat bad. I think this line is getting out of hand. Cardio is a big issue, but now the line is +150. Im taking a small stab on this regardless of how good this lopez dude is. My main play is on lineker, so i can afford to loose a a little on what now appears to be the correct play.

  9. #44
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Lineker -5.5 also looks good at (-110)
    Macdonald doesnt throw punches, guess how his striking frequency going to end after lineker hits him a couple of times...pretty low. Font didnt dare to hit lineker for three rounds after getting hit in round 1. Macdonald will loose every round of this matchup, and he needs to find a home for a finish. Ill give macdonald max 5-10% chance of winning a dec. I mean how can you, when you throw one punch for every round?

  10. #45
    Hugo de Naranja
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    The streak continues with Yahya! I think that's 4/4

  11. #46
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    The streak continues with Yahya! I think that's 4/4
    We were right. Excellent change of bets! +150 for the better ground specialist, thank you public!!

  12. #47
    ufcfan2016
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    The streak continues with Yahya! I think that's 4/4
    good stuff bud i was on rani +150 3u.

    now cody +225 3u lol.

  13. #48
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by ufcfan2016 View Post
    good stuff bud i was on rani +150 3u.

    now cody +225 3u lol.
    Its hard to understand how someone would make that bet. Just look what i bet next time.

  14. #49
    ufcfan2016
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    lol stanciu is a penetrating can

  15. #50
    ufcfan2016
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Its hard to understand how someone would make that bet. Just look what i bet next time.
    lol @ u laying 7u on lineker we will see what happens

  16. #51
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by ufcfan2016 View Post
    lol @ u laying 7u on lineker we will see what happens
    Its risky, im going to admit that but after putting a couple of units on Yaya, my loss will significantly reduce in size though.

  17. #52
    ufcfan2016
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Its risky, im going to admit that but after putting a couple of units on Yaya, my loss will significantly reduce in size though.
    i had 3u on rani +150 also,

    cody was a value bet, didnt look bad but clearly lost.

  18. #53
    Mxs1332
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    Big boy fight coming up.

  19. #54
    bjpenn85
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    Final bets : UFC FN 91 - Macdonald vs Lineker

    7 units on Lineker @ 1.60 to win - 4.2 unit

    Event result: + 4.2 units

    Ty$ where you at? CAN YOU SEEE ME NOW!!! I have clearly understood something a lot of people on this forum havent. What is the one thing im looking for on a card? Why am i winning almost on every card?

    Results since 7th. may 2016:
    +31.48 units AKA 3148 dollars

  20. #55
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Best of luck BJ. Lineker will smash McDonald
    We did it!

  21. #56
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    We did it!
    We fakking did di Naranja!!! Oh boy that was an exciting fight. Linekers short arms are a massive advantage inside. He can time his flurry perfect. And the best part is, he can take a couple of shots without getting rocked. Its a beautiful strategy that works everytime. People need to stop fighting his fight, but they continue to do so haha. Every fighter lacks the emotional ability to hold back "do not engange in this.....must resist BRAWL BRAWL BRAWL".

    And boy did the public come in on the wrong side first on lopes from 2.15 all the way down to 1.57, and macdonal from 2.50 down to 1.87. Fade the public people!
    Last edited by bjpenn85; 07-14-16 at 01:24 AM.

  22. #57
    Ty$
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    We fakking did di Naranja!!! Oh boy that was an exciting fight. Linekers short arms are a massive advantage inside. He can time his flurry perfect. And the best part is, he can take a couple of shots without getting rocked. Its a beautiful strategy that works everytime. People need to stop fighting his fight, but they continue to do so haha. Every fighter lacks the emotional ability to hold back "do not engange in this.....must resist BRAWL BRAWL BRAWL".

    And boy did the public come in on the wrong side first on lopes from 2.15 all the way down to 1.57, and macdonal from 2.50 down to 1.87. Fade the public people!
    Lineker has super long arms for a guy that is 5'3"... 67.5" reach ... And hits like a mac truck ... Props guys

  23. #58
    Ty$
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Final bets : UFC FN 91 - Macdonald vs Lineker

    7 units on Lineker @ 1.60 to win - 4.2 unit

    Event result: + 4.2 units

    Ty$ where you at? CAN YOU SEEE ME NOW!!! I have clearly understood something a lot of people on this forum havent. What is the one thing im looking for on a card? Why am i winning almost on every card?

    Results since 7th. may 2016:
    +31.48 units AKA 3148 dollars
    👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻 please don't act like Josh and I'll keep giving you due cred... Didn't you bet Hunt??? Cmon

  24. #59
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ty$ View Post
     please don't act like Josh and I'll keep giving you due cred... Didn't you bet Hunt??? Cmon
    I was on Hunt initially, then changed my bet to Lesnar.

  25. #60
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ty$ View Post
    Lineker has super long arms for a guy that is 5'3"... 67.5" reach ... And hits like a mac truck ... Props guys
    Yeah, i was mistaken, he has huge reach. Ill guess this is another advantage for lineker though. If your short you pack more muscle or more weight, and if you then have long arms as well youll get best of both worlds.

  26. #61
    bjpenn85
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    Adding play,UFC FN 93:

    5 units on Jack Hermansson @ 2.0 to win - 5 units

  27. #62
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Adding play,UFC FN 93:

    5 units on Jack Hermansson @ 2.0 to win - 5 units
    What do you like about Hermansson? It looks like he has an impressive record but I haven't watched any tape on him yet.

  28. #63
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    What do you like about Hermansson? It looks like he has an impressive record but I haven't watched any tape on him yet.
    Hes good everywhere, not by a lot in this matchup though, but i think the odds should be -130 on hermansson. Askham is very good though, so it might be close. Hermansson is better at wrestling, bjj and movement, not so cris hands as askham if you were to stack every discipline against each other. Hopefully the combination of the slight edge everywhere cashes.

  29. #64
    bjpenn85
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    Adding:

    UFC ON FOX: Holm vs Shevschenko

    10 units on Barboza @ 1.45 to win - 4.5 units
    3 units on Barboza/Melendez over 2.5 rounds @ 1.5 to win - 1.5 units

  30. #65
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Adding:

    UFC ON FOX: Holm vs Shevschenko

    10 units on Barboza @ 1.45 to win - 4.5 units
    3 units on Barboza/Melendez over 2.5 rounds @ 1.5 to win - 1.5 units
    I like the over here a lot. I think I'll play Barboza Decision or -3.5 when they come out but I don't quite trust him enough at -210.

  31. #66
    bjpenn85
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    Its expensive as shit + melendez at least was very good at some point. Lately melendez has looked so bad its hard to see how he suddenly is going to perform. I think he needs to KO barboza, because nobody takes him down, or outstrick him so it should be very straight forward. Often times it gets complicated though....

  32. #67
    bjpenn85
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    Adding:

    1.25 unit on A.Yakovlev @ 3.15 to win - 2.68 units

    This line gets out of hand. Usman is not the overall better MMA artist, and its certain how much better mma grappler he is compared to a savy vetaran like Yokovlev. Line shouldnt be +215, bottom line.
    Last edited by bjpenn85; 07-21-16 at 06:11 AM.

  33. #68
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Adding:

    1.25 unit on A.Yakovlev @ 3.15 to win - 2.68 units

    This line gets out of hand. Usman is not the overall better MMA artist, and its unsure how much better a grappler he is in MMA against a quite savy vetaran like Yokovlev. Line shouldnt be +215, bottom line.
    Good value here. I'm on this as well

  34. #69
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Good value here. I'm on this as well
    good

  35. #70
    bjpenn85
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    adding:

    2 units on Valentino Schevchenko @ 3.25 to win - 4.5 units

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