I'm actually second guessing my Elkins play when reading write ups like this below.. I'm not to proud to admit that now.. I've won money on Skelly in the past and I'm aware of his skill set... Skelly does gas a bit late in fights and that's really the only reason I gave Elkins a very slight chance for the finish.... A completely gassed out fighter is typically a beaten fighter...
MMAmania write up (copy and paste)
145 lbs.: Darren Elkins vs. Chas Skelly
Since starting his UFC career with a 6-1 run, Darren Elkins (19-5) has alternated losses and wins, starting with a 2013 stoppage loss to Chad Mendes. Most recently, he rebounded from a loss to Hacran Dias by overwhelming Robert Whiteford in Dublin.
He has stopped 10 opponents overall, five each by knockout and submission.
Chas Skelly (15-1) had the unenviable task of facing top prospect Mirsad Bektic in his Octagon debut, but managed to take the American Top Team product the distance before dropping a majority decision. He has since won four straight, including stoppages of tough customers Jim Alers and Edimilson "Kevin" Souza.
Eight of his professional wins have come by submission.
All signs point to Elkins having a really, really bad time come Saturday. Skelly’s longer, stronger, and the superior grappler. By all rights, he should outclass Elkins, who has no perceptible advantages outside of cardio.
The real question here is not whether Skelly will win, it’s whether Elkins’ submission defense can keep him alive for the full 15 minutes. Skelly grinds him into the mat for either a rear-naked choke finish or dominant decision.
Prediction: Skelly via unanimous decision