1. #1
    TPowell
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    Join Date: 02-21-08
    Posts: 18,842
    Betpoints: 331

    TPowell's Fight Night 83 plays

    Have been starting to tail Josh lately but have a few other plays as well. I really trapped myself in with the big 4 units bet on the Bermudez fight going the distance. I wish I would have bet 1.5-2 on it and have been able to put more on the Bermudez NO CARDS play because I just can't see Kawajiri finishing this fight and the odds say that (over +800 and +1100 respectively for each finish for Kawajiri). I also feel like I went too big on Reneau, but I just don't see how Evans Smith comes back from that layoff to win here. Lastly, I think it's a good idea for those Cerrone backers to lock in at least a small bet on Oliveira to win in Round 1. I got nearly +1200 earlier this week.


    Donald Cerrone and Derek Brunson Parlay (10 units to win 7.25 units)
    Donald Cerrone and Cory Garbrandt Parlay (3 units to win 2.1 units)

    Donald Cerrone (10 units to win 3.5 units)
    Donald Cerrone ITD (1.5 units to win 1 unit)
    Donald Cerrone in Round 2 (0.3 units to win 1.5 units)
    Donald Cerrone by SUB (0.3 units to win 0.75 units)
    Alex Oliveira in Round 1 (1 unit to win 10.75 units)

    Cory Garbrandt ITD (2 units to win 2.1 units)

    Dennis Bermudez/Tatsuya Kawajiri GOES THE DISTANCE (4 units to win 3 units)
    Dennis Bermudez CARDS MEAN NO ACTION (3.1 units to win 1 unit)

    Alex Garcia/Sean Strickland OVER 2.5 rounds (1.75 units to win 1.25 units)

    Oluwale Bamgbose by TKO (0.75 units to win 1.8 units)
    Oluwale Bamgbose in Round 1 (0.25 units to win 1 unit)

    Marion Reneau ML (3.8 units to win 2 units)

    Lauren Murphy (3.25 units to win 1 unit)
    Lauren Murphy wins in Round 2 (0.25 units to win 1.6 units)
    Lauren Murphy wins in Round 3 (0.1 units to win 1.25 units)

  2. #2
    JoshKnows46
    JoshKnows46's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-27-12
    Posts: 3,691
    Betpoints: 2151

    Good luck brother, hope you sweep em. Feel really good about this card. Good thought on alex Olivera 1st round, I'm gonna put my pride to the side and bet that one as well, I agree it's his only shot because sometimes cerrone starts slow, and takes sometime to get his distance down and Olivera has a big reach. Good eye, it's hard to see him koing cerrone, but stranger things have happen.
    Last edited by JoshKnows46; 02-20-16 at 09:48 PM.

  3. #3
    TPowell
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    With literally 25 units riding on Cerrone in one way or another, I really wanted some kind of cheap hedge and I think obviously the only way Cerrone loses is if he starts slow like normal but AO swarms him and get him out of there early (like first 1-2 minutes early)

  4. #4
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    With literally 25 units riding on Cerrone in one way or another, I really wanted some kind of cheap hedge and I think obviously the only way Cerrone loses is if he starts slow like normal but AO swarms him and get him out of there early (like first 1-2 minutes early)

    I agree, it's worth it, I regret not playing cruz split when bj Penn brought it to my attention, this hedge makes sense. We gonna clean up tommorrow, might as well throw the books a few crumbs back. I put a unit on it at +1100. Covers 11 units of the 28 I have invested in cerrone.
    Last edited by JoshKnows46; 02-20-16 at 10:09 PM.

  5. #5
    TPowell
    TPowell's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-08
    Posts: 18,842
    Betpoints: 331

    ADDING: Leonardo Augusto Leleco (1 unit to win 1.25 units)

  6. #6
    TPowell
    TPowell's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-08
    Posts: 18,842
    Betpoints: 331

    ADDING: Daniel Sarafian ITD (0.75 units to win 0.75 units)

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