1. #71
    mackave
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    Streamendous ( search on Google ) you will be about 40 seconds behind though from what most UFC events have been

  2. #72
    AliMMA
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    Quote Originally Posted by UncleChael View Post
    I will make a parlay for you and SBR tomorrow.
    Thanks man!!

  3. #73
    AliMMA
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoshKnows46 View Post
    Agree with most of this exept omie over, that fight is finished early. I'd go with Breese itd...anderson.. goes the. Distance in khabilov fight.. jotko....and rivera, do that same parlay for equal price with Lietes instead of rivera...or you can take any one of those 5 out and put mcgregor in if you care to wait 2 weeks. Also it doesn't matter if you have only 30 bucks, your better off betting 5 dollars a play till you get to a 100, then 15 a play till u get to 200, then 25 a bet till you get to 500, so on and so forth, straight bets are the way to win money, but I hope that parlay hits for u, good luck
    Thanks Josh, I will start to bet single fights on a different betting book!

  4. #74
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoshKnows46 View Post
    My full card:
    Anderson Silva -325 $325 to win $100
    Anderson Silva wins inside the distance -131 $131 to win $100
    Thales Leites +290 $1000 to win $2900
    Thales Leites wins inside the distance +574 $300 to win $1722
    Francisco Rivera -235 Risking $705 to win $300
    Francisco Rivera wins inside the distance +100 $300 to win $300
    Krzysztof Jotko -135/-155 risking $900
    Anderson/Bisping Over 2.5 -140 $450 win $321.43
    Anderson to finish in round 3 +650 $130 to win $845
    Anderson to finish in round 4 +1050 $100 to win $1050
    Anderson to finish in round 5 +1650 $70 to win $1155
    Marlon Vera +155 $300 to win $465
    Marlon Vera inside the distance +290 $150 to win $435
    Parke wins by 3 round decision +335 risking $300
    Parke/khabilov goes 3 round distance -245 risking $1500
    Daniel Omielanczuk -120 risking $1000
    Gouti/pack under 2.5 +145 risking $300
    Amirk/Wilkinson under 2.5 -155 risking $600

    Parlay
    Anderson -320
    Mcgregor -400
    $900 to win $576.56

    Im not digging that Leites pick at all. I dont think Leites is the better striker. A bet on Leites is justified considering the odds, but not 3000 dollar / 9-10 units, on a fighter which has a disadvantage where the fight takes place, on the feet. Leites is also considerably slower, so im not sure what you have seen who makes you have this much confidence in Leites. Faulty dec or not, i do think this is an unnecessary wager, no need to potentially loose 3000 just because you see value. Its like the tj bet, its sound put money on him on paper, but not go totally crazy here josh. Would much rather put those 3000 dollar on mcregor inside distance or more on silva and mcregor. At least make a wager on Mousasi decision to buy back some of the loss. Seriously.

  5. #75
    BELM0NT
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    Silva line dropped quite a bit, I think over 2.5 is best way to play that fight. I could really see that fight going either way

  6. #76
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by BELM0NT View Post
    Silva line dropped quite a bit, I think over 2.5 is best way to play that fight. I could really see that fight going either way
    Its not the best way to play the fight, because youre fakked if anderson gets the 2.round tko, Rockhold did, henderson did and belfort. Fight can go many ways, and its likely that it goes over 2.5 rounds but..why risk it, if you can bet anderson silva inside distance hegded with silva dec. You can also go bisping split dec small. Covers more ground of the likely events happening in the fight. Bisping tko isnt likely. Bisping doesnt ko people, onlly the absolute garbage fighters in bad shape, or old and shopworn fighters. He has never finished a high caliber fighter, no need to believe he will finish this time either. If that was to happen then fine, variance. On to the next.

  7. #77
    rabun
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    I don't think lines movement indicate anything important in Ufc. The volume of bets is smaller comparing to other sports so it doesn't take a lot of moneyto move them. Second it could be that guys from Europe especially in UK start to put their bets and unloading on their guy. It's past 2 in most of europe and bets on soccer are being finalized.BOL...

  8. #78
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by rabun View Post
    I don't think lines movement indicate anything important in Ufc. The volume of bets is smaller comparing to other sports so it doesn't take a lot of moneyto move them. Second it could be that guys from Europe especially in UK start to put their bets and unloading on their guy. It's past 2 in most of europe and bets on soccer are being finalized.BOL...
    Line movement can mean an abundance of different thing. Bad line? right. hype? def. or just normal activity people betting on both sides. Large line movement very often indicate something, Rampage went from 1.30 against ryan bader to 1.90 or 1.80 after he failed weight, and he also lost clearly. So line movement may indicate that some information, or in this case, new information that should def influence the result of the fight is present. If someone goes from 1.30-1.38 thats not considered in my book at at least as a significant line movement. Dada 5000 line droppes as a sack of potatoes last weekend without that having any impact of the result, but that turned many kimbo backers off, as such a line drop logically had to mean something, although it didnt. But, even 5Dimes took that line down, just based on the large drop, so that tells you something about that at least large line movements absolute indicate something.

  9. #79
    rabun
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    I would agree interms of weight cutting but we are past that. I'm not talking about silly bellator. Last week line on Cowboy started too move in favor of his opponent and look how that turn up.

  10. #80
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by rabun View Post
    I would agree interms of weight cutting but we are past that. I'm not talking about silly bellator. Last week line on Cowboy started too move in favor of his opponent and look how that turn up.
    Well as i said, small line movement doesnt mean anything, as you also stated earlier. If you understand the reasons why a line move, its easier to understand if one should care or dismiss it. It can be a fighters condition, looking bad, or even smaller, not as muscular as before, bad performances, hometown advantage etc etc. Line movement means something if you understand shit. Maybe drop in the line was to do the public believed cerrone had recently got Koed by RDA in his last fight while oliveira had just KOed hallman? Size advantage? That line drop was obviously not something you needed to pay attention to because you knew the reasons for line movement was weak, made by amateurs and hobby bettors on fight day.

  11. #81
    rabun
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    Seems to me that we agree more than not. Maybe my post was not clear enough. Regardless I for one am happy that the line on Silva keeps getting up and maybe I'll bet on him later. BOL to you whoever you bet...

  12. #82
    mirinquads
    Eat my enormous ballsack boys
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    Teymur 3 units to win 2
    Amirmakwani 3,3 units to win 2
    Marlon Vera 2,5 units to win 4,5 units
    Leites 2,5 units to win 7 units
    Allen/Rustam Over 2 units to win 1,6 units
    Allen/Jotko 2 units to win 2,2
    Silva/Bisping Start rd 3
    Silva/Bisping Start rd 4
    Silva/Bisping Start rd 5
    Bisping Dec 0,75 +455
    Omielanczuk 2,2 units to win 2
    Omie RD 3 0,3 units +1400
    Jarjar Dec 0,3 units +500
    Breese RD 2, 0,3 +425
    Pickett RD 2, 0,3 +1600
    Askham Rd 2 0,25 +450
    Gouti 2,14 to win 2 units
    Pascal/Breese/TJ 1 unit to win 1 unit (Old play)
    Pickett +3,5 0,5 105
    Leites +3,5 0,5 +120
    Leites/Mou Over 3 units to win 2,5 ish units
    Wilk/Ami not rd 2
    Wilk/Ami not rd 3
    Jotko 0,5 -109
    Jotko 0,5 -126
    Rivera 1,12 units to win 0,75
    Pickett/Rivera FOTN 0,25 +600
    Khabilov No scorecards 2,9 units to win 1 unit
    Omie No Scorecards 1,35 units to win 1
    Amir Sub 1 unit to win 2,4
    Vera Sub 0,35 +450
    Meza Sub 0,45 +975
    Anderson ITD 1,18 to win 1 unit
    Anderson Rd 2
    Anderson Rd 3
    Anderson Rd 4
    Pickett ITD 0,5 +600
    Breese TKO 1,35 unit to win 1
    Vera/Grant GTD 1 unit to win 1,35 unit
    Gouti Dec 0,7 +240
    Silva/Conor/BreeseITD/Rustam GTD 2,5 unit to win 4,6 unit
    Svenson Sub 0,3 +685
    Svensson RD 0,3 +2225
    Teymur TKO 0,5 +225
    Jotko/Scott GTD 1,65 to win 1 unit
    Points Awarded:

    JIBBBY gave mirinquads 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  13. #83
    mackave
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    bam

  14. #84
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Im not digging that Leites pick at all. I dont think Leites is the better striker. A bet on Leites is justified considering the odds, but not 3000 dollar / 9-10 units, on a fighter which has a disadvantage where the fight takes place, on the feet. Leites is also considerably slower, so im not sure what you have seen who makes you have this much confidence in Leites. Faulty dec or not, i do think this is an unnecessary wager, no need to potentially loose 3000 just because you see value. Its like the tj bet, its sound put money on him on paper, but not go totally crazy here josh. Would much rather put those 3000 dollar on mcregor inside distance or more on silva and mcregor. At least make a wager on Mousasi decision to buy back some of the loss. Seriously.
    Its the best bet on the board, he's the favorite, and I'm risking 1000, read that again. 3.3 units invested, pay attention, it doesn't matter if you dig the bet or not, no one's opinion matters but mine when making this money.

  15. #85
    JoshKnows46
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    Added
    Silva -230 $1200
    Silva -210 $600
    Rivera -150 $300

  16. #86
    STAY STRONG
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    In it to win it.

  17. #87
    Shagdogy
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    Ref is an absolute joke in this Vera fight.

  18. #88
    visualrealism
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    lol... they said fantastic performance by brad. Lol

  19. #89
    Z-Fly
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    There is no way Rivera lost that fight.

  20. #90
    mohye1980
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    Wow what a bullshit decision. Rivera landed way more clean punches. Don't know how he lost.

  21. #91
    pilebuck13
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    Thales Leites sitting at +265 on 5d got it at 280 hour ago bol guys

  22. #92
    pilebuck13
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    +250 now lets get this

  23. #93
    JoshKnows46
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    I added anderson -245 $2500, and anderson by ko +120 $500

  24. #94
    bjpenn85
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoshKnows46 View Post
    Its the best bet on the board, he's the favorite, and I'm risking 1000, read that again. 3.3 units invested, pay attention, it doesn't matter if you dig the bet or not, no one's opinion matters but mine when making this money.
    Hope you had mousasi decision. I warned you and i told you why this was a bad bet. Leites has always had horrible takedowns as well, i seriously dont know what you ever saw in leites. Good bet with Jotko though, i tailed you there.

  25. #95
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Hope you had mousasi decision. I warned you and i told you why this was a bad bet. Leites has always had horrible takedowns as well, i seriously dont know what you ever saw in leites. Good bet with Jotko though, i tailed you there.
    Leites fought like trash, he's better than that, but no excuss, this bet and the amirk under were both shit bets by me,.nice hit on mousasi dec, I didn't bet it.

  26. #96
    Shazzadude
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    Yawn, he gets one wrong and people are on his ass.

  27. #97
    jordanft19
    Ottawa, ON Canada
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    Do you recommend a bisping decision hedge? These British judges have been screwy

  28. #98
    JoshKnows46
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    Quote Originally Posted by jordanft19 View Post
    Do you recommend a bisping decision hedge? These British judges have been screwy
    I'm not personally because I don't think it makes the judges, but if you want to play it safe, doesnt hurt to throw 25 each on bisping split and dec.

  29. #99
    jordanft19
    Ottawa, ON Canada
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    I had a feeling this was going to happen..

  30. #100
    JoshKnows46
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    Unfuckin real, anderson is a idiot, no way this shoulda went the distance, fukin clown

  31. #101
    hcfightgear
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    Sad

  32. #102
    pilebuck13
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    Man rough card for many

  33. #103
    latarianmilton
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    You'll get them next week man

  34. #104
    GoodSun
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    i agree silva should have finished it off.

    we'll have a better day on march 5th.

  35. #105
    Thor4140
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thor4140 View Post
    i wouldn't bet any of these Brazilians their first fight off the ped ban. McGregor was spot on when he said "Ped seems to be a way of life
    for these Brazilians. Most of them look like shit
    Again they look like shit

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