1. 06-10-15 08:14 PM #71
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,072
    Betpoints: 11850

    Quote Originally Posted by Killer_Demo View Post
    Cathal Pendred's winning by decision-streak ends this weekend. Guy has been gifted 2 wins by decision
    Sometimes it's better to be more lucky then good.. I won those two last fights betting on him.. Lord those were miracle wins if I ever saw them.... The guys gotta gift of winning and that's tough to bet against as a dog going in against someone that is relatively unproven yet..

    http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Augusto-Montano-41494

    This guys only notable fight was a loss by decision to the slow footed Sam Alvey when Sam Alvey was crap back in 2011.. To Pendred's credit he's never been KO'd and this Mexican wins most of his fights by KO.

    Montano's training camp in Mexico City is a bunch of Mexican no names as well just for the record.. His first fight in the UFC was against a bum in 8-3 Heatherly...

    I'm gonna play Pendred straight again and by decision also for small in a prop play me tinks...
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-11-15 at 05:48 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 06-10-15 09:50 PM #72
    Killer_Demo
    209 Street-Tough
    Killer_Demo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-15-08
    Posts: 8,409
    Betpoints: 4201

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Sometimes it's better to be more lucky then good.. I won those two last fights betting on him.. Lord those were miracle wins if I ever saw them.... The guys gotta gift of winning and that's tough to bet against as a dog going in against someone that is relatively unproven yet..

    http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Augusto-Montano-41494

    This guys only notable fight was a loss by decision to the slow footed Sam Alvey when Sam Alvey was crap back in 2011.. To Pendred's credit he's never been KO'd and this Mexican wins most of his fights by KO.

    Montano's training camp in Mexico City is a bunch of Mexican no names as well just for the record.. His first fight in the UFC was against a bum as well in 8-3 Heatherly...

    I'm gonna play Pendred straight again and by decision also for small in a prop play me tinks...
    he lost to Sean Spencer in my opinion. Pendred has the nerve to call out Joe Rogan, Rogan calls it like he sees it.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 06-10-15 11:34 PM #73
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    Quote Originally Posted by imadegen View Post
    The only bet I'm making on this card is whether or not kevin gastelums fat Ass makes weight
    Are you on the no?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 06-11-15 03:59 AM #74
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Thinking of taking a stab at this Irish lad in Cathal Pendred at +135... Cathal is probably more lucky then good but the dude finds ways to win.. About the only dog play I sniffed out so far and feel reasonably comfortable betting on. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Cathal-Pendred-64373

    I think this is going to be FAVORITE heavy card IMO... Just can't see or envision alot of the dogs landing in this event..
    I'm with ya Jibbs. Cathal Pendred to the Moon!!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 06-11-15 11:28 AM #75
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,072
    Betpoints: 11850

    The Henry Cejudo line has jumped out of the building and is now at -1100 or more on most bookies.. It's getting absurd..

    Chico Camos will probably lose but he's not a horrible fighter http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Chico-Camus-42850... Henry Cejudo will probably plant Chico on his back the entire fight but still Henry is only 8 fights deep into his pro MMA career and could make a mistake.. I don't see those odds flying against a durable vet like Chico anyways...

    Thinking about placing a 10 spot to win 110 to hedge just for giggles and kicks myself... Along with this Cejudo wins by decision prop....
    Sat 6/13 1511 Cejudo wins by 3 round decision -160


    Oddsbeast -

    Henry Cejudo -1100 -2000 -950 -1000 -1000 -1006 -1100 -1100 -975 -1000 -1100 -1667
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-11-15 at 11:42 AM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 06-11-15 11:43 AM #76
    BELM0NT
    BELM0NT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-19-15
    Posts: 1,132
    Betpoints: 104

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Just play this then to play it safe both ways.. No need to hedge either way..
    1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance -195


    I played big "the fight won't go 5 rounds" in the last UFC main event with Hendo/Boetsch and that was the easiest money I ever won.. I don't see why that same theory can't be applied to this main event with the big boys fighting..

    The Derrick Lewis/Jordan HW fight in the last UFC event I also played "the fight won't go the 3 round distance".. That hit as well with the big boys... Easy pay off again....
    These bets are solid jibbs, I'm with you on fight won't go the distance between Cain vs Werdum
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 06-11-15 11:59 AM #77
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,072
    Betpoints: 11850

    Quote Originally Posted by BELM0NT View Post
    These bets are solid jibbs, I'm with you on fight won't go the distance between Cain vs Werdum
    Yep very solid bet Belmont.. Cain fights vey aggressive and at a pace faster then any other HW in the UFC so something should give before the end of 5 rounds one way or the other.. Also don't see Cain playing around on the ground with Werdum that much either.. So the Cain V. lay and pray for 5 rounds is not likely to happen...

    I may be loading up on this safe play myself....
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-11-15 at 12:06 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 06-11-15 03:16 PM #78
    Killer_Demo
    209 Street-Tough
    Killer_Demo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-15-08
    Posts: 8,409
    Betpoints: 4201

    Only play for me this card is -185 Gil Melendez 1 unit, Good luck everyone
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 06-11-15 07:04 PM #79
    Giants007
    Giants007's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-03-15
    Posts: 801
    Betpoints: 10

    what do you guys think of Tumenov wins by TKO/KO -175 ?

    worth the risk at that juice?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 06-11-15 08:13 PM #80
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,072
    Betpoints: 11850

    Quote Originally Posted by Giants007 View Post
    what do you guys think of Tumenov wins by TKO/KO -175 ?

    worth the risk at that juice?
    I like it but not at that -175 odds.

    Was really hoping for the prop to land around even odds or better for me to play... Like the under 1.5 better at -115 perhaps if I am to plaly this fight.. Might be a pass not sure yet for this guy..... Small parlay with that under probably...


    UFC 188 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Arena Cuidad de Mexico - Mexico City, Mexico - UFC.TV
    Sat 6/13 2101 Andrew Todhunter +400 o1½ -105
    6:30PM 2102 Albert Tumenov -500 u1½ -115
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 06-11-15 08:24 PM #81
    Giants007
    Giants007's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-03-15
    Posts: 801
    Betpoints: 10

    another one I have looked into is Efrain Escudero +130, this has the possibility of some mexican judging home cooking
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 06-11-15 11:24 PM #82
    El Nino
    October 2014 POTM
    El Nino's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-03-12
    Posts: 18,426
    Betpoints: 1868

    Don't really see how Dober is a fav here. PK type fight, goes to a decision. If fat ass Escudero makes weight, he should be a play. Dumb Hecho in Mexico BS...he better win.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 06-12-15 12:43 AM #83
    Heyeverybody99
    Heyeverybody99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-15
    Posts: 584
    Betpoints: 3245

    Pendred +140 is the bet of the millennium.
















    Even better than KJ Noons
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 06-12-15 12:45 AM #84
    Squareguy
    Squareguy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-10
    Posts: 481
    Betpoints: 674

    Quote Originally Posted by UncleChael View Post
    If you think Velasquez will lose get your head checked.

    werdum or no play. Cain has been sitting for two years and Werdum will have an edge in striking. Cain can take this to the ground, but it's not ideal. Cain by TKO if you have to be on him.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 06-12-15 04:14 AM #85
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    Quote Originally Posted by Squareguy View Post
    werdum or no play. Cain has been sitting for two years and Werdum will have an edge in striking. Cain can take this to the ground, but it's not ideal. Cain by TKO if you have to be on him.
    What?!! son. Home work is done. Read the forum again. Velasquez round 1 +350 is the play.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 06-12-15 06:50 AM #86
    bjpenn85
    bjpenn85's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-11
    Posts: 5,059
    Betpoints: 16650

    There isnt a fighter in the ufc that has caused cain prolems, but i know werdum had huge problems with mark hunt. Anyway, try youre muay thai against cains takedown, GOOD F LUCK! You do know that mma-striking is severely negated by takedowns. Thats why boxers dont have success in the ufc! Only x-factor is the layoff, and thats it, thats the only x-factor here.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 06-12-15 08:29 AM #87
    brooks85
    brooks85's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-05-09
    Posts: 44,709
    Betpoints: 6881

    some shit, tumenov was going to destroy him. Easiest play on the card

    http://www.sherdog.com/news/news/Tod...Canceled-87537
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 06-12-15 09:05 AM #88
    BELM0NT
    BELM0NT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-19-15
    Posts: 1,132
    Betpoints: 104

    Don't forget about Werdum getting beat by Dos Santos first round byTKO either. CAIN ALL DAY.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 06-12-15 09:46 AM #89
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,072
    Betpoints: 11850

    Quote Originally Posted by brooks85 View Post
    some shit, tumenov was going to destroy him. Easiest play on the card

    http://www.sherdog.com/news/news/Tod...Canceled-87537

    Well, that was probably going to be a no play for me anyways because of the odds... Tumenov would have destroyed this medically unfit clown... Too bad for Tumenov as he could have racked up another UFC win...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 06-12-15 09:59 AM #90
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,072
    Betpoints: 11850

    Fun fact to consider going into this event.. http://mmajunkie.com/2015/06/ufc-188...ude-adjustment

    This event is held in Mexico City at 7,200 ft above sea level.. Just a comparison, Mile High Stadium in Denver, Colorado is 5,130 above sea level...

    Got oxygen bottle? Maybe the under round bets as well?


    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 06-12-15 10:55 AM #91
    nanderson1134
    nanderson1134's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-07-11
    Posts: 554
    Betpoints: 6285

    bear doom won't last five roundslol I am using tap to speak and it came out bear doom.

    Kevin will destroy nate the Great.Melendez by decision
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 06-12-15 11:18 AM #92
    mirinquads
    Eat my enormous ballsack boys
    mirinquads's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-22-13
    Posts: 3,927
    Betpoints: 7742

    Quote Originally Posted by Heyeverybody99 View Post
    Pendred +140 is the bet of the millennium.
















    Even better than KJ Noons
    Line should be closer, but Pendred penetrating sucks. I'm actually disgusted watching him fight
    Points Awarded:

    Heyeverybody99 gave mirinquads 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 06-12-15 11:40 AM #93
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,072
    Betpoints: 11850

    ^^^The Mexico City trained fighters will have the acclimation, home town crowd and judging advantage going into these fights for sure... In the Pendred fight this could make a difference as it probably will go the distance????

    Still on Pendred but for small... I also hate watching Pendred fight but that won't stop me from betting on him..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 06-12-15 01:41 PM #94
    plekz
    plekz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-28-13
    Posts: 1,491
    Betpoints: 5746

    Quote Originally Posted by Squareguy View Post
    werdum or no play. Cain has been sitting for two years and Werdum will have an edge in striking. Cain can take this to the ground, but it's not ideal. Cain by TKO if you have to be on him.
    on what planet is werdum a better striker then cain? more so the real x-factor in this fight is going to be just how much faster and athleticly gifted cain is than werdum.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 06-12-15 02:29 PM #95
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,072
    Betpoints: 11850

    The Cain/Werdum fight not going the distance prop sure jumped up in the last 2 days..

    I guess my original post at that bet being the best safe bet on the card hit the gambling world in a big way....lol.. Went from -195 to -260 now..

    1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance -260


    Alternative prop plays now to consider for better value -

    1052 Fight won't start round 5 -195

    or even better

    1054 Fight won't start round 4 -136

    Or just hit the standard under round bet at +100 -

    UFC 188 - Heavyweight 5 rounds - Arena Cuidad de Mexico - Mexico City, Mexico - PPV
    Sat 6/13 1001 Fabricio Werdum +415 o2½ -120
    11:59PM 1002 Cain Velasquez -525 u2½ +100

    Feeling greedy try this for positive odds-

    1056 Fight won't start round 3 +123
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-12-15 at 02:39 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 06-12-15 02:52 PM #96
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,072
    Betpoints: 11850

    Weigh ins - Live video feed in 3 hours if anyone is interested in checking it out online...

    http://www.mmafighting.com/2015/6/12...weigh-in-video
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 06-12-15 02:53 PM #97
    brooks85
    brooks85's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-05-09
    Posts: 44,709
    Betpoints: 6881

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Well, that was probably going to be a no play for me anyways because of the odds... Tumenov would have destroyed this medically unfit clown... Too bad for Tumenov as he could have racked up another UFC win...
    oh the odds were a delicacy to me, after the fight it would have looked like he should have been -1000
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 06-12-15 03:45 PM #98
    Heyeverybody99
    Heyeverybody99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-15
    Posts: 584
    Betpoints: 3245

    Quote Originally Posted by mirinquads View Post
    Line should be closer, but Pendred penetrating sucks. I'm actually disgusted watching him fight

    The only thing more disgusting than watching him fight, is betting on him.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 06-12-15 04:12 PM #99
    mirinquads
    Eat my enormous ballsack boys
    mirinquads's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-22-13
    Posts: 3,927
    Betpoints: 7742

    Yep, I'm on him my self, and by decision +410.

    Feel quite dirty.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 06-12-15 04:40 PM #100
    BELM0NT
    BELM0NT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-19-15
    Posts: 1,132
    Betpoints: 104

    Cain wins inside the distance -155 is still decent
    Points Awarded:

    JIBBBY gave BELM0NT 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 06-12-15 04:55 PM #101
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,072
    Betpoints: 11850

    Quote Originally Posted by mirinquads View Post
    Yep, I'm on him my self, and by decision +410.
    Smart play... Should go the distance.. I'm just not that confident he'll get the nod though with all the factors involved, like altitude and home town judging.. Pendred has been lucky though in the past winning decisions... Good luck Miri!!!

    I decided to play it safe and go with the Over round bet myself.. I'm paying to play this at $150 to win $100 though...

    UFC 188 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Arena Cuidad de Mexico - Mexico City, Mexico - UFC.TV
    Sat 6/13 1901 Augusto Montano -150 o1½ -150
    7:30PM 1902 Cathal Pendred +130 u1½ +130
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-12-15 at 05:00 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 06-12-15 06:34 PM #102
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,072
    Betpoints: 11850

    Everyone made weight didn't see anything out of the norm.... It's on and popping!!


    The UFC 188 weigh-in results are below. Copy and paste -

    Main card (PPV at 10 p.m. ET)
    Cain Velasquez (232) vs. Fabricio Werdum (236)
    Gilbert Melendez (156) vs. Eddie Alvarez (156)
    Kelvin Gastelum (185) vs. Nate Marquardt (184)
    Yair Rodriguez (145) vs. Charles Rosa (145)
    Tecia Torres (114) vs. Angela Hill (115)

    Undercard (FX at 8 p.m. ET)
    Chico Camus (126) vs. Henry Cejudo (125)
    Efrain Escudero (156) vs. Drew Dober (155)
    Alejandro Perez (136) vs. Patrick Williams (136)
    Francisco Trevino (154) vs. Johnny Case (155)

    Undercard (UFC Fight Pass at 7 p.m. ET)
    Augusto Montano (170) vs. Cathal Pendred (170)
    Gabriel Benitez (145) vs. Clay Collard (146)
    Albert Turnenov vs. Andrew Todhunter called off
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 06-12-15 06:44 PM #103
    Heyeverybody99
    Heyeverybody99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-15
    Posts: 584
    Betpoints: 3245

    Is Camus worth a play at +900? I threw $50 on it.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 06-12-15 06:51 PM #104
    Killer_Demo
    209 Street-Tough
    Killer_Demo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-15-08
    Posts: 8,409
    Betpoints: 4201

    Fukkin Joe Rogan right besides Dana waiting for drama to unfold at the weigh-in for Cain vs Verdum. That was great

    Look at Rogans face at 1:16 to 1:18

    Last edited by Killer_Demo; 06-12-15 at 07:00 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 06-12-15 09:34 PM #105
    UncleChael
    Tell 'em UncleChael sent ya
    UncleChael's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 3,979
    Betpoints: 1125

    Quote Originally Posted by Heyeverybody99 View Post
    Is Camus worth a play at +900? I threw $50 on it.
    I think I'll bite.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
First 123456 ... Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Boxing, MMA & UFC Betting | Next Thread »