1. #1
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    UFC 178: Johnson vs. Cariaso (September 27, 2014)



    Pay-per-view, 10 p.m. ET
    Demetrious Johnson vs. Chris Cariaso
    Eddie Alvarez vs. Donald Cerrone
    Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier
    Tim Kennedy vs. Yoel Romero
    Amanda Nunes vs. Cat Zingano

    FOX Sports 1, 8 p.m. ET
    Dominick Cruz vs. Takeya Mizugaki
    James Krause vs. Jorge Masvidal
    Patrick Cote vs. Stephen Thompson
    Brian Ebersole vs. John Howard

    UFC Fight Pass, 7 p.m. ET
    Kevin Lee vs. Jon Tuck
    Manny Gamburyan vs. Cody Gibson

    Points Awarded:

    JIBBBY gave THE_LOCKSMITH 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    Lick496
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    debating going to this event live... tickets are a bit high

  3. #3
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    Interesting, Kennedy opened at -130 now up to +117. How the impression of Romero changes from fight to fight

  4. #4
    Wilbo86
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    I'll ride him until he gets popped for juicing

    Edit: referring to Romero, but the former would be hilarious
    Last edited by Wilbo86; 09-04-14 at 11:07 PM.

  5. #5
    Sacrelicious
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    Kennedy +117....lol

  6. #6
    MD
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    I feel as if that fight depends on whether Romero chooses​ to win or not. The guy can do pretty much anything in MMA, he just has really shitty gameplanning.

  7. #7
    Bava
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    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    I feel as if that fight depends on whether Romero chooses​ to win or not. The guy can do pretty much anything in MMA, he just has really shitty gameplanning.
    Haha shitty gameplanning

  8. #8
    Wilbo86
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    Are you referring to his penchant for Cuban Steamers?

  9. #9
    Vaughany
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    Why is the GOAT not headlining this


  10. #10
    Sacrelicious
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    I like John Dodson by KO in the main event.

  11. #11
    mmaed
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    Interesting. I thought kennedy would open as a bigger favorite.

  12. #12
    getlucky2win
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    got mcgregor as a dog. lmao. probly take alot of dogs. all favs seem lil overpriced. leanin eddie but gots 2 watch more tape on all these fuckers

  13. #13
    Sacrelicious
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    Who is Eddie Alvarez?

  14. #14
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by getlucky2win View Post
    got mcgregor as a dog. lmao. probly take alot of dogs. all favs seem lil overpriced. leanin eddie but gots 2 watch more tape on all these fuckers
    Do tell?

  15. #15
    MD
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Do tell?
    Opened +190.

  16. #16
    Vaughany
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    oh yeah, on Bookmaker?! since when have they started releasing lines first again

  17. #17
    marzwoody
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    Alvarez is gonna get starched

  18. #18
    Crassus
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    Mizugaki at +310 is a joke.

  19. #19
    TheCalculator
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    Quote Originally Posted by Crassus View Post
    Mizugaki at +310 is a joke.
    Especially with Cruz's decade long layoff.

  20. #20
    Sacrelicious
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    Who is Eddie Alvarez?

  21. #21
    Beelzebubzy
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    Am I the only one who thinks that Cruz should be -700?

  22. #22
    mirinquads
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy View Post
    Am I the only one who thinks that Cruz should be -700?
    I agree. Perfect style to beat Miz, and Cruz isn't the type to go in there knowing he isn't 100 %, or close to it.

  23. #23
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    next...

  24. #24
    Skel
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  25. #25
    Skel
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy View Post
    Am I the only one who thinks that Cruz should be -700?
    No. I can only assume that people are giving the layoff/injuries a lot of weight. We still might see a lot of steam on him this week, though.

  26. #26
    JIBBBY
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    This should be an easy card to win for all of us.. Just glancing at the line up and I can tell already whom I'm gonna play that's up on the board.... Not gonna be alot of capping from me in this event.. Gonna keep this one simple..

    -Mighty Mouse Johnson (no play because of the odds)
    -Cowboy Cerrone
    -Conor McGregor
    -Tim Kennedy
    -Cat Zingano
    -Dominique Cruz

    Probably gonna hit these guys below also.. Just need to cap these 5 fights a little more just in case..

    -Jorge Masvidal
    -Stephan Thompson
    -John Howard
    -John Tuck
    -Cody Gibson
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 09-20-14 at 07:13 PM.

  27. #27
    Bava
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    This should be an easy card to win for all of us.. Just glancing at the line up and I can tell already whom I'm gonna play that's up on the board.... Not gonna be alot of capping from me in this event.. Gonna keep this one simple..

    -Mighty Mouse Johnson (no play because of the odds)
    -Cowboy Cerrone
    -Conor McGregor
    -Tim Kennedy
    -Cat Zingano
    -Dominique Cruz

    Probably gonna hit these guys below also.. Just need to cap these 5 fights a little more just in case..

    -Jorge Masvidal
    -Stephan Thompson
    -John Howard
    -John Tuck
    -Cody Gibson

    I can't find any info on Dominique Cruz, but she sounds super hot. I hope you go heavy on Kennedy, can't wait to hear your breakdown on this

  28. #28
    Bava
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    It is heartwarming to picture you searching the keyboard for the letter q, so you can spell the name "Dominick". You are not an MMA writer.

    Seriously though, Kennedy is a complete douche (it does make a significant difference when judging talent), and his offense is undeniably grappling/wrestling-based: Romero keeps his freestyle silver medal in a bigger and cleaner box than the one he trained in when he won it, and he has proven that he will literally shit himself before he relents. If he wrestles half as competently as he did in the Tavares fight, this should be easy and very, very satisfying. I'm surprised that the odds are so close, and shocked to read that Yoel opened as the underdog.

    Other notes: Cruz still has value at -370. Connor was great when I got him at -170, but -265 is stupid against Poirier. Cerrone is an absolute steal at close numbers. As far as the main card goes, Cerrone and Romero feel like the best bets. Emoticon
    Last edited by Bava; 09-21-14 at 02:41 AM.

  29. #29
    Jim_Gunn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy View Post
    Am I the only one who thinks that Cruz should be -700?
    That's crazy talk after his repeated injuries and almost three years off and coming back against a good fighter like Mizugaki. -700 would be unbettable anyway even if it made sense.

  30. #30
    MD
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jim_Gunn View Post
    That's crazy talk after his repeated injuries and almost three years off and coming back against a good fighter like Mizugaki. -700 would be unbettable anyway even if it made sense.
    JIB_Gunn has spoken.

    Quote Originally Posted by Bava View Post
    It is heartwarming to picture you searching the keyboard for the letter q, so you can spell the name "Dominick". You are not an MMA writer.

    Seriously though, Kennedy is a complete douche (it does make a significant difference when judging talent), and his offense is undeniably grappling/wrestling-based: Romero keeps his freestyle silver medal in a bigger and cleaner box than the one he trained in when he won it, and he has proven that he will literally shit himself before he relents. If he wrestles half as competently as he did in the Tavares fight, this should be easy and very, very satisfying. I'm surprised that the odds are so close, and shocked to read that Yoel opened as the underdog.

    Other notes: Cruz still has value at -370. Connor was great when I got him at -170, but -265 is stupid against Poirier. Cerrone is an absolute steal at close numbers. As far as the main card goes, Cerrone and Romero feel like the best bets. Emoticon
    Disagree with you a bit. Romero's ability to double-leg Tavares has very little to do with his ability to stop Kennedy from bodylocking him. If Kennedy gets someone down, they're probably not getting back up, but Romero is excellent in this area, so who knows. I'm not necessarily saying that there isn't value on Romero, though. Still watching tape on that one.

    Conor should be -500; Poirier will look silly in this fight.

  31. #31
    Ron_Paul_2012
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    This should be an easy card to win for all of us.. Just glancing at the line up and I can tell already whom I'm gonna play that's up on the board.... Not gonna be alot of capping from me in this event.. Gonna keep this one simple..

    -Mighty Mouse Johnson (no play because of the odds)
    -Cowboy Cerrone
    -Conor McGregor
    -Tim Kennedy
    -Cat Zingano
    -Dominick Cruz

    Probably gonna hit these guys below also.. Just need to cap these 5 fights a little more just in case..

    -Jorge Masvidal ?
    -Stephan Thompson
    -John Howard
    -John Tuck Kevin Lee
    -Cody Gibson ?
    Fixed it for ya Jibster.
    Last edited by Ron_Paul_2012; 09-21-14 at 11:04 AM.

  32. #32
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bava View Post
    I can't find any info on Dominique Cruz, but she sounds super hot. I hope you go heavy on Kennedy, can't wait to hear your breakdown on this
    LOL.. Dominique is a pretty hot brunette, cute and loving in the clinch, very aggressive in the top position though, likes to keep it standing in the shower, bit of freak at times she is.

    Bava I can always count on you with a spell check.. Thanks man..

    Dominick Cruz it is!!!! Dude hasn't fought in so long I forgot how to spell her name...
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 09-21-14 at 12:04 PM.

  33. #33
    marzwoody
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    Alvarez is a can. surprised if he makes it to the third round. Romero winning depends on what Romero shows up. Dominick is no where near a lock. his fighting dancing abilities might be hindered by all his injuries.

  34. #34
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ron_Paul_2012 View Post
    Fixed it for ya Jibster.
    Good call on Mark Hunt Ronny by the way... I should have listened to ya in the PM's as you were calling that fight from the very start!!!. Keep up the hot winning steak....

  35. #35
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    JIB_Gunn has spoken.



    Disagree with you a bit. Romero's ability to double-leg Tavares has very little to do with his ability to stop Kennedy from bodylocking him. If Kennedy gets someone down, they're probably not getting back up, but Romero is excellent in this area, so who knows. I'm not necessarily saying that there isn't value on Romero, though. Still watching tape on that one.
    My thoughts are that Kennedy wears down Romero as the fight continues with his pace and cardio and just basically beats Romero on points standing... Avoids the take downs after the 1st round... It should be a competitive fight regardless.. With that being said - I really like this fight to go the distance more then anything else to be honest..

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