1. #1
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    Warning, only locks here!

    Hi!

    I'm Pabst, huge mma fan for over 10 years now, been betting for about 11/2 year and I'm having quite a bit of success! Here, on this very thread, I will post every single LOCK there is in an event.

    UFN 39

    Not a very good betting card IMO. I only see one lock ;
    UFC Fighting 1101 Clay Guida/Tatsuya Kawajiri Over 2½ -275

    There is NO WAY this fight isnt going to a decision, tail me on that.

    5.5UNIT on Guida/Kawajiri Over 2 1/2

  2. #2
    leetreaper
    leetreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-10
    Posts: 34,841
    Betpoints: 2140

    -275

  3. #3
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    -275
    Not that high.

  4. #4
    leetreaper
    leetreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-10
    Posts: 34,841
    Betpoints: 2140

    Quote Originally Posted by Pabst View Post
    Not that high.
    really? gl

  5. #5
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    Not a lock, just a good bet :

    Guida wins by 3 round decision +140

    1U to win 1.40U

  6. #6
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    Why are you only risking 5u if there's no way the fight doesn't go to decision and it's a lock? I'd be risking more in this spot if I were you. Like 100u.

  7. #7
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    For me, 5U is big money. ;-)

  8. #8
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    Don't need to know how much a unit is for someone to tell them if they're underbetting or not.

  9. #9
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,050
    Betpoints: 11762

    I think Clay Guida winning the fight is a solid lock or bet.. You guys are too hung up on going the distance or not bets.. Clay is a grinder and Kawajiri has that warrior spirit.. Chances are this fight should go to a decision if we are talking duration of fight.

    I've been following MMA since UFC #1... Trained in Boxing and Jits... I'm a sports writer today at age 46 and I live and breath MMA still.. Even with all that said - I still can't lock down bets in this sport.. It's a tough sport to bet on..

    Clay Guida winning the fight period is the best bet on this card in my mind for value!!!... Guida is hard to finish, relentless with his pressure, very solid with his wrestling and take downs, very hard to submit, and lastly and most importantly he is a cardio machine.. In my mind that is all gonna be too much for Kawajiri to handle as the fight goes on.. Guida is gonna wear him down and probably win by decision...

    Kawajiri does have a striker and punchers chance though on a long shot.. One good shot and the fight changes as we have seen Guida rocked a few times in his UFC career and then sub'd shortly after.. Nothing is a lock...

    Still love Guida in this fight.. Almost a must win for him too...
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 04-09-14 at 09:12 PM.

  10. #10
    Dwil125
    Cormier Itd
    Dwil125's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-12
    Posts: 2,048
    Betpoints: 84

    If I tail your locks and they lose can I get a refund?

  11. #11
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    No.

  12. #12
    Dwil125
    Cormier Itd
    Dwil125's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-12
    Posts: 2,048
    Betpoints: 84

    Oh okay just making sure, I thought you wouldn't mind since they are locks anyway.

  13. #13
    agendaman
    agendaman's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-01-11
    Posts: 3,659
    Betpoints: 14150

    is this a lock of the millenium-need to know

  14. #14
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    Quote Originally Posted by agendaman View Post
    is this a lock of the millenium-need to know
    Travis Browne not by Submission @ -69959595 is lock of the millennium cuz

  15. #15
    Beelzebubzy
    Beelzebubzy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-11
    Posts: 6,995
    Betpoints: 5104

    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Travis Browne not by Submission @ -69959595 is lock of the millennium cuz
    Parlayed it with not rumble by sub at -4000000 and Undertaker wins at WM -170000000

    I would have hit it again but its not chalky enough for me

  16. #16
    Ron_Paul_2012
    Ron_Paul_2012's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-13
    Posts: 3,953
    Betpoints: 3985

    Quote Originally Posted by Pabst View Post
    Hi!

    I'm Pabst, huge mma fan for over 10 years now, been betting for about 11/2 year and I'm having quite a bit of success! Here, on this very thread, I will post every single LOCK there is in an event.

    UFN 39

    Not a very good betting card IMO. I only see one lock ;
    UFC Fighting 1101 Clay Guida/Tatsuya Kawajiri Over 2½ -275

    There is NO WAY this fight isnt going to a decision, tail me on that.

    5.5UNIT on Guida/Kawajiri Over 2 1/2
    Just curious. Does your diet consist of a daily regimen of Ramen noodles?

  17. #17
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    Quote Originally Posted by Ron_Paul_2012 View Post
    Just curious. Does your diet consist of a daily regimen of Ramen noodles?
    I ain't a degen either

  18. #18
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    BET DARIUSH NOW! HE'S FIGHTING IN 20 MINS AND HES A LOCK (fail)
    Last edited by Pabst; 04-11-14 at 02:02 PM.

  19. #19
    Beelzebubzy
    Beelzebubzy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-11
    Posts: 6,995
    Betpoints: 5104

    Quote Originally Posted by Pabst View Post
    Alright, lets do money here!
    You edited the post?

    Is that cause you picked Daruish and didnt want anyone to know?

    It took you two picks before you became the standard "Im the best capper alive, then I failed" capper
    Points Awarded:

    Pabst gave Beelzebubzy 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  20. #20
    Skel
    Skel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-04-14
    Posts: 1,284

    Quote Originally Posted by Pabst View Post
    Alright, lets do money here!
    Don't edit your posts like that dude. I remember exactly what it said.

  21. #21
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    I did picked Dariush, and I will stop this thread because it failed, but Guida is going 3rounds I can guarantee it and put my left nut on the line.
    Quote Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy View Post
    You edited the post?

    Is that cause you picked Daruish and didnt want anyone to know?

    It took you two picks before you became the standard "Im the best capper alive, then I failed" capper

  22. #22
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    Yeah, what the penetrate. I saw that post too. Something about "Dariush is fighting in 20 minutes, he's a lock, bet him now".

    0-1 on Locks, you oyster.

  23. #23
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    Editing the post was kind of a joke I'm aware a lot of people saw it. I locked Dariush and it failed

  24. #24
    Beelzebubzy
    Beelzebubzy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-11
    Posts: 6,995
    Betpoints: 5104

    Give me, Nunya, and Skel two points each and we will let you stay without being bashed for 10 minutes

  25. #25
    Thor4140
    Thor4140's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-09-08
    Posts: 22,285
    Betpoints: 22119

    Quote Originally Posted by Pabst View Post
    Editing the post was kind of a joke I'm aware a lot of people saw it. I locked Dariush and it failed
    Yeah okay whatever u say. Not even sure Ron Paul has been caught doing that.

  26. #26
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    My apology gift is coming and is called O2 1/2 ON GUIDA MATCH

  27. #27
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    You're on soft ban.

  28. #28
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    I edited it back to its original state, stop crying now

  29. #29
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    You will sweat for your money.

  30. #30
    Beelzebubzy
    Beelzebubzy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-11
    Posts: 6,995
    Betpoints: 5104

    Quote Originally Posted by Pabst View Post
    I edited it back to its original state, stop crying now
    Pay the fine.

  31. #31
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    1st round 10-9 Guida

  32. #32
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    You will sweat for your money.
    ahahah maybe

  33. #33
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    Confident Guida will grind this to a UD

  34. #34
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    Quote Originally Posted by Pabst View Post
    ahahah maybe
    Definitely. First round was mind-blowing, been predictable ever since though. F-cking Guida. He's like featherweight Jake Shields, always know what you're getting. He's terrible to watch (generally), but exactly the kind of guy I like to bet on.

  35. #35
    Pabst
    Pabst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-13
    Posts: 199
    Betpoints: 317

    Guida/Kawajiri O 2 1/2 LOCK cash!

    LOCK reccord : 1-1

12 Last
Top