[LoveDaRush]

Current Bankroll: 413.56

Went all-in on Lim to have a total bankroll of over 1K

All signs point to Lim taking this--might I add, in a brutal fashion with Lim, first round KO.

-Saffiedine's last professional fight was in Jan. Huge layoff. Been riddled with several injuries (refuses to disclose). And he has had a difficult time with fighters that are 4-5 inches taller in the past.
-Lim won his last 6 or 7 fights in a brutal fashion. Momentum is a very real thing in this sport.

-Insane height and reach advantage, which causes Saffiedine's kicks to be ineffective (turning arguably his only advantage into a nonfactor)

Easy money boys

[ibetkellybro]

your betting skills are quite impressive

[Hannibal]

been going back and forth on this one
i think the most relevant fight to watch is the stinson fight
stinson is the most similar fighter tarec has fought, tall and long, and aggressive with fast punching combos
i think stinson is a bit of a poor mans version of lim. Lim looks stronger and might have a little better technique and power in his punches
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kgOAKCGjM7c

[Beelzebubzy]

What was your bet on weidman

[Jim_Gunn]

I hope you're right. I put 2u on a Lim victory and 1u on the U 2.5 rounds. I wish I would have waited until the current +170, but I'm locked in at only +130. Anyway, all my sharp friends are on Saffiedine. They say better cardio, more technical striker, has better wrestling training at Team Quest and that Lim will gas if he doesn't finish Tarec in round 1 or 2, especially in a five round fight. They got me real nervous, but I'm hoping for a quick Lim knockout victory! I will say this though, going all in on a fight like this is nuts!

[PunisherIND]

this guy is a true degen. how are you getting your fix between now and saturday, if your bankroll is all tied up?

[mmaed]

I cant find the tape on lim. If anyone could find the tape on the mar elo guimares fight and post it i would appreciate it. I read the play by play and it sounds like he was gassed in round two. If thats the case then i woukd arb out of that bet.

[LoveDaRush]

this guy is a true degen. how are you getting your fix between now and saturday, if your bankroll is all tied up?

it will be worth the wait with a payout of over 1K. I do have a little craving, I won't lie.

my only question at that point would be whether I should keep going all-in until I hit my goal of 3K

[Jim_Gunn]

it will be worth the wait with a payout of over 1K. I do have a little craving, I won't lie.
my only question at that point would be whether I should keep going all-in until I hit my goal of 3K

Just noticed this guy's user name. How appropriate!

[LoveDaRush]

Just noticed this guy's user name. How appropriate!

Jim, you're gonna regret not putting more down, at least ten units on Lim. This is an absolute gift. These kind of angles don't come around at all. 5'9'' injury-riddled guy fighting a 6'3'' beast lmao, give me a break

[latarianmilton]

On paper tarec's movement should be too much for lim too handle, but lim's got a puncher chance and i feel he will find the ko being in asia and all. im putting 100 on lim, i would bet more but i cant find tape on lim either so im not sure about him.

[ibetkellybro]

Lim is some low teir weight cutting f\*g with a couple of knockouts and people are hyping him over the strikeforce champ.

News flash, Marquardt was giant as f-ck too in that fight. Tarec handled his size well.

[mmaed]

Lim is some low teir weight cutting f\*g with a couple of knockouts and people are hyping him over the strikeforce champ.

News flash, Marquardt was giant as f-ck too in that fight. Tarec handled his size well.

Yeah tarec shoukd be able to handle this guy. If tarec can get him down and work top control for a round or two in the beginning then he shoukd be able to wear this guy out quite a bit. It depends how bad his lims cardio is. We really dont know. I assume it isnt great because of his size and the way he was dropping his hands in the guimares fight.

[mirinquads]

Lim has awful cardio, has had in the UFC and before that at least. Though he's fighting in Asia, thus no jetlag and possibly a smoother weight cut. Trains with Korean Top team. Too many intangibles for my taste on this, but Lim is the right side at this price.

Lim has a 9 Inch reach advantage as well, damn.

[ibetkellybro]

Lim has such bad cardio, not because he doesnt train or push himself. The dude cuts insane amount of weight almost dying once before. Cutting weight is killing your organs you will never have cardio trying to do what he does.

His stratagy is to be huge in the first 10 mins and get the other guy out of there. After that he has no plan.

[ibetkellybro]

Lim has awful cardio, has had in the UFC and before that at least. Though he's fighting in Asia, thus no jetlag and possibly a smoother weight cut. Dont know if he trains exclusively in Asia usually. Too many intangibles for my taste on this, but Lim is the right side at this price

Vaughany....i mean mirinquads I recommended a small kelly bet on the under for this reason. Kelly Criterion is the only way to gamble.

E(G) = (1 + (O - 1))^p × (0)^1-p - 1 = -100% Expected growth for a all in play is -100 percent. PM for details and discussion about Kelly.

[mirinquads]

Yep, you cant really "work" on cardio as such, like Lim says in interviews he will, with a weightcut like that. His gimick might just work, even though Saff is a huge step up, and he has good fight IQ, which will be key here.

Still too many intangibles.

Bet kelly breh?, pls xplain

[ibetkellybro]

Yep, you cant really "work" on cardio as such, like Lim says in interviews he will, with a weightcut like that. His gimick might just work, even though Saff is a huge step up, and he has good fight IQ, which will be key here.

Still too many intangibles.

Bet kelly breh?, pls xplain

I feel the thread starter is overlooking his opportunity cost if the money lost. His +EV wagers are going to cause him to go bankrupt if he doesnt use kelly.

Bank roll growth should be number one in any bettor's mind. If he loses this wager he not only loses the money but also future earnings from this money.

It's a dangerous game. That is why I. ALWAYS. BET. KELLY. BRO.

[LoveDaRush]

Vaughany....i mean mirinquads I recommended a small kelly bet on the under for this reason. Kelly Criterion is the only way to gamble.

E(G) = (1 + (O - 1))^p × (0)^1-p - 1 = -100% Expected growth for a all in play is -100 percent. PM for details and discussion about Kelly.

You're a fking joke, you aren't welcome in my thread

[LoveDaRush]

Lim has such bad cardio, not because he doesnt train or push himself. The dude cuts insane amount of weight almost dying once before. Cutting weight is killing your organs you will never have cardio trying to do what he does.

His stratagy is to be huge in the first 10 mins and get the other guy out of there. After that he has no plan.

You're one of the dumbest people on these forums--and that's saying a lot. I wish you the worst.

[ibetkellybro]

You're a fking joke, you aren't welcome in my thread

Edge / (Odds – 1)

What is your edge young padawan? I will calculate the perfect stake for you. Follow me. For i have reached ascension through mma betting. Follow me to valhalla.

[PunisherIND]

You're one of the dumbest people on these forums--and that's saying a lot. I wish you the worst.

lol you realize how easy it is to search your old posts? for example your tennis lock and your nba lock from yesterday. both of which lost.

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/tennis-bet...nnis-lock.html

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basket...sday-lock.html



today's lock is the bobcats. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basket...sday-lock.html

how did you 'bet the house' when you're 'all in' on lim?

[LoveDaRush]

lol you realize how easy it is to search your old posts? for example your tennis lock and your nba lock from yesterday. both of which lost.

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/tennis-bet...nnis-lock.html

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basket...sday-lock.html



today's lock is the bobcats. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basket...sday-lock.html

how did you 'bet the house' when you're 'all in' on lim?

Are you legit retarded? They are my suggestions. My real money goes into MMA. And I really don't give a chit if you don't believe me. As long as Lim wins, I get my 1K. And I wish you the worst too.

[Beelzebubzy]

Are you legit retarded? They are my suggestions. My real money goes into MMA. And I really don't give a chit if you don't believe me. As long as Lim wins, I get my 1K. And I wish you the worst too.

Gaberz?

[PunisherIND]

Harrison beats Groth. Lock it up.

Betting the house on it

Rockets are looking to crush the Kings. ... And with home court fans for Houston, this is a lock. Bet the house on it. I could write more but I am tired.

Bobcats beat the Clippers in an upset at home.

Bet the house on it.

how many houses you got, brah?

[Beelzebubzy]

8 mortgages

[LoveDaRush]

I basically give you guys a late Christmas gift and I get no thanks or nothing.

Ungrateful phaggots you are. I am doubling ur bankrolls and not an iota of gratefulness is there. This is the last time I give you guys a free guaranteed pick

[LoveDaRush]

how many houses you got, brah?

Like I said, they are suggestions. My real money goes in only MMA. This is where I excel and where I take my picks very seriously. This is the last time I am giving u guys a free guaranteed pick. Bye.

[Beelzebubzy]

Give me a lock for football today

[ibetkellybro]

Like I said, they are suggestions. My real money goes in only MMA. This is where I excel and where I take my picks very seriously. This is the last time I am giving u guys a free guaranteed pick. Bye.

We understand you have an edge. You are a very good capper. A young talent. But you are raw and need to be groomed. Please understand what you are doing to your bankroll. It's all about Expected growth. You are only thinking about +EV.

Remember edge / (odds-1)

[LoveDaRush]

Give me a lock for football today

I can give you a suggestion, but if I were you, I would just bet my entire roll on this guaranteed pick with Lim. He's at +170 now. That's amazing. Free money if you see it. When Lim wins, you're gonna look back on this post and regret how much monies you could have made. Free money is very real.

[mmaed]

Like I said, they are suggestions. My real money goes in only MMA. This is where I excel and where I take my picks very seriously. This is the last time I am giving u guys a free guaranteed pick. Bye.

What the hell is guaranteed about it?

[LoveDaRush]

We understand you have an edge. You are a very good capper. A young talent. But you are raw and need to be groomed. Please understand what you are doing to your bankroll. It's all about Expected growth. You are only thinking about +EV.

Remember edge / (odds-1)

It's all about picking your spots. In this case, at +170 and with huge edge here, this is the perfect play. I have never been so confident with a pick, and these kind of spots rarely ever do come up. Sort of reminiscent of the weidman vs. silva scenario.

[LoveDaRush]

What the hell is guaranteed about it?

Too pissed off to go into further analysis.

Just know that when Lim wins this Saturday, my bankroll will be over 1K.

Bye.

[v1y]

wouldn't call betting lim square, but going all in on lim is squarely retarded.