1. #1
    Utilted
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    UFC 8 On Fox Picks

    Today I think it's about betting value that's out there, My plays/Quick write-ups:

    I was on Weidman big last time because I thought his skill set allowed him a decent shot at an upset; thus the value of getting him at +250 when I bet him was the worth the risk of taking the dog. The same thinking is at play for my plays today.

    Moraga +375 (2 Units) Mighty Mouse is crazy fast & been tremendous; but the opportunity to get a genuine fight finisher both via KOs & submission who has a significant size advantage I think is too good to pass up. I think the true odds should be closer to +175 to +225 but due to the public knowing/betting mighty mouse it's inflated imo.
    Mac Danzig +100 (2 Units) If Danzig gets out of the first round I think he rolls Melvin who has had cardio issues his entire career. He's great in round 1 but if he survive his barrage as I believe Danzig can; he is very beatable.
    Means +175 (1 Unit) Strictly a value bet here, I think this fight is a coin-flip so I'll take almost getting double my money for a 50/50 bet.

    Good luck everyone.

  2. #2
    JustinOpinion
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    Last time Guillard's UFC spot was on the line he took down and lay'n'prayed 3rd degree black belt Camoes. Wouldn't bank on him trying to storm Danzig.

  3. #3
    Utilted
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    Good point but Guillard also knows Dana keeps him because of his exciting frenetic attack; just winning these days isn't enough for the lower rung guys who aren't legit title contenders. I just think Guillard loses regardless if he doesn't get to Danzig in that first round.

  4. #4
    DSSCA
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    I'm on the other side of all your bets. BOL though.

  5. #5
    MD
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    Quote Originally Posted by DSSCA View Post
    I'm on the other side of all your bets. BOL though.
    You and me both, buddy.

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