1. 05-25-13 12:13 AM #1
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    2 for 2, then the rest.

    Estevan Payan +180

    Not Stephens Inside Distance -140

    going 2 for 2 there,

    rest:

    Payan wins by TKO/KO +510

    Payan wins KOTN +2700



    Leans: Roop, Hunt, Te Huna, Noons, Trujillo, Story, Smith by Decision -116, Holloway by KO +50
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 05-25-13 12:14 AM #2
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    I like TJ Grant too, but so far my only play is gonna be Payan
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 05-25-13 12:15 AM #3
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    His boxing and kickboxing is far superior than Stephens' - Stephens' name is the only reason he is the favorite. Payan will use Stephens to make his name in the UFC. Expect it, boys and gentlemen.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 05-25-13 12:21 AM #4
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    If +180 is going to cash, why play -140?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 05-25-13 12:23 AM #5
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    If +180 is going to cash, why play -140?
    'cos the +180 is maxed, lil homie.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 05-25-13 12:35 AM #6
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    Dem locals Get on 5D bro, line moves 20 cents or so and you can bet it again.

    Thanks for posting your plays Gabe. Hope you do well this card. I'm big on Thompson.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 05-25-13 01:02 AM #7
    TheCalculator
    TheCalculator's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-10-11
    Posts: 1,683
    Betpoints: 5633

    I like this play too. Estevan's striking defence is very good -- his TDD is amazing. I think he keeps Stephen at bay and picks apart Stephens for the DEC win.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 05-25-13 01:15 AM #8
    hobbesITD
    hobbesITD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-06-13
    Posts: 284
    Betpoints: 0

    You aren't a Naudi fan, huh?

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 05-25-13 01:15 AM #9
    sideloaded
    staring into the abyss
    sideloaded's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-21-10
    Posts: 7,561
    Betpoints: 0

    respek
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 05-25-13 02:24 AM #10
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Also, to more so justify adding the Not Stephens Inside Distance -140 play, I think Stephens' best chance at winning is a robbery decision.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 05-25-13 02:30 AM #11
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    Dem locals Get on 5D bro, line moves 20 cents or so and you can bet it again.

    Thanks for posting your plays Gabe. Hope you do well this card. I'm big on Thompson.
    Thomson ruined me vs Brown. I was all in on a Njokuani + Thompson + Browne parlay and Thompson busted it.

    Aside from that, I've been right picking Burrell's past few fights. Not picking him to WIN here, though. Just lean him 'cos I capped him as slight fav.

    Still, Payan only bet for me. Makin $ and not gambling.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 05-25-13 02:31 AM #12
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Estevan Payan via KO (punch) 1:07 Round 1
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 05-25-13 02:39 AM #13
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    These are how I capped these guys over a month ago:

    Estevan Payan -225
    George Roop -110
    Nah-Shon Burrell -135
    Abel Trujillo +145
    Colton Smith -200
    Dennis Bermudez -200
    Rick Story -150
    KJ Noons +125
    TJ Grant +125
    Mark Hunt +285

    Not making value plays, though. fuccc a gamble yo, high percentage hitters only
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 05-25-13 02:57 AM #14
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    Quote Originally Posted by gabe View Post
    These are how I capped these guys over a month ago:

    Estevan Payan -225
    George Roop -110
    Nah-Shon Burrell -135
    Abel Trujillo +145
    Colton Smith -200
    Dennis Bermudez -200
    Rick Story -150
    KJ Noons +125
    TJ Grant +125
    Mark Hunt +285

    Not making value plays, though. fuccc a gamble yo, high percentage hitters only
    All plays are value plays bruhv.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 05-25-13 02:59 AM #15
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    Has Payan got some Armenian blood in him?!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 05-25-13 03:00 AM #16
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    All plays are value plays bruhv.
    i mean i wont play roop just 'cos i think he's a coin flip but at great odds. don't want a coinflip, wanna be confident in a win.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 05-25-13 03:00 AM #17
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Has Payan got some Armenian blood in him?!
    haha no but payan does sound like an armenian name

    pa(ris)yan
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 05-25-13 03:08 AM #18
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    Quote Originally Posted by gabe View Post
    i mean i wont play roop just 'cos i think he's a coin flip but at great odds. don't want a coinflip, wanna be confident in a win.
    You can make a lot more money on a coin flip at great odds, though. Think of it this way: if you take four +200 coin flips, there's a 6% chance that you lose all four, and you only need to win one​ to break even.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 05-25-13 03:22 AM #19
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    You can make a lot more money on a coin flip at great odds, though. Think of it this way: if you take four +200 coin flips, there's a 6% chance that you lose all four, and you only need to win one​ to break even.
    yeah and normally i would, but i'm being super conservative right now. folding everything except pocket aces and kings.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 05-25-13 03:24 AM #20
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    You can make a lot more money on a coin flip at great odds, though. Think of it this way: if you take four +200 coin flips, there's a 6% chance that you lose all four, and you only need to win one​ to break even.
    and...

    $100 to win $200 lose
    $100 to win $200 lose
    $100 to win $200 lose
    $100 to win $200 win

    -$100, not even
    Points Awarded:

    MD gave gabe 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Beelzebubzy
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote 1
  21. 05-25-13 03:37 AM #21
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    Quote Originally Posted by gabe View Post
    and...

    $100 to win $200 lose
    $100 to win $200 lose
    $100 to win $200 lose
    $100 to win $200 win

    -$100, not even
    LOL. Awful, awful stuff on my part. In my defence it's early in the morning and I haven't slept in ages. My bad.

    Also, no, I was right, one of those was a flier.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 05-25-13 03:39 AM #22
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    Quote Originally Posted by gabe View Post
    yeah and normally i would, but i'm being super conservative right now. folding everything except pocket aces and kings.
    What's put you in that sort of mindset? Value is value and it makes you money in the long (and short) term.

    Hope you go back to your value-betting ways soon brother. Hopefully your Payan play puts you in the green enough to start playing value more.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 05-25-13 08:03 AM #23
    Beelzebubzy
    Beelzebubzy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-11
    Posts: 6,995
    Betpoints: 5104

    Gabe out Mathed Someone

    nunya shed a tear

    Gabe why aren't you playing roop or grant if you can get them at a better price
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 05-25-13 08:21 AM #24
    Rubber Guard
    Rubber Guard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-22-11
    Posts: 1,550
    Betpoints: 5152

    Good luck gabe, don't know much of anything about Payan, but maybe i'll tail for some early utube/fbook live action.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 05-25-13 08:50 AM #25
    pouyasophy
    pouyasophy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-11-13
    Posts: 1,665
    Betpoints: 60

    can you just post ALL your plays straight up instead of your leans? that way i'll have some fade material. No offense.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 05-25-13 09:42 AM #26
    Rubber Guard
    Rubber Guard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-22-11
    Posts: 1,550
    Betpoints: 5152

    Quote Originally Posted by pouyasophy View Post
    can you just post ALL your plays straight up instead of your leans? that way i'll have some fade material. No offense.
    Your goofy over-confident Rockhold play was a nice fade.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 05-25-13 09:55 AM #27
    getlucky2win
    faded
    getlucky2win's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-12
    Posts: 1,104
    Betpoints: 1796

    Quote Originally Posted by Rubber Guard View Post
    Your goofy over-confident Rockhold play was a nice fade.
    this guy is the best fade material. his picks suck. no offense but I hope he keeps postin losers
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 05-25-13 10:19 AM #28
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    Quote Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy View Post
    Gabe out Mathed Someone

    nunya shed a tear
    Smiling from ear to ear.

    He showed his work too!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 05-25-13 12:04 PM #29
    sideloaded
    staring into the abyss
    sideloaded's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-21-10
    Posts: 7,561
    Betpoints: 0

    omg wtf is this thread Twilight zone? ROFLMAO
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 05-25-13 12:31 PM #30
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    What's put you in that sort of mindset? Value is value and it makes you money in the long (and short) term.

    Hope you go back to your value-betting ways soon brother. Hopefully your Payan play puts you in the green enough to start playing value more.
    I'm low on $, can't afford to make bets I'm not confident will cash.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 05-25-13 12:31 PM #31
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Quote Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy View Post
    Gabe out Mathed Someone

    nunya shed a tear

    Gabe why aren't you playing roop or grant if you can get them at a better price
    No $
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 05-25-13 12:32 PM #32
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Quote Originally Posted by pouyasophy View Post
    can you just post ALL your plays straight up instead of your leans? that way i'll have some fade material. No offense.
    If you wanna fade me, all you need to do is go ALL IN on Jeremy Stephens
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 05-25-13 12:32 PM #33
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Quote Originally Posted by Rubber Guard View Post
    Your goofy over-confident Rockhold play was a nice fade.
    To be fair, I was on Rockhold, too. =/ ha
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 05-25-13 12:33 PM #34
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    Smiling from ear to ear.

    He showed his work too!
    lmao
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 05-25-13 01:01 PM #35
    pouyasophy
    pouyasophy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-11-13
    Posts: 1,665
    Betpoints: 60

    Quote Originally Posted by getlucky2win View Post
    this guy is the best fade material. his picks suck. no offense but I hope he keeps postin losers
    my dikk wants to laugh...after my vegas winners and monster winners you gotta be kidding
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
1234 Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Boxing, MMA & UFC Betting | Next Thread »