1. 02-15-13 07:08 AM #1
    v1y
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    Quick check to see if your play is +EV

    Step 1: Are you betting a +money Russian in Bellator?
    Step 2: Your bet is +EV

    Shlemenko at around +400 against Hess and Baker
    Shamhalaev at +170 against Martinez at +200 against Richman
    Khasbulaev at +200 against Guerrero
    Volkov opened +money against Rogers
    Aliev opened at like +200 against Parlo.
    Koreshkov closed +130 against Good

    some dogs have lost too obviously... tsarev, machaev, stepanyan, but you're massively ahead if you've bet every russian dog.
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  2. 02-15-13 07:13 AM #2
    Beelzebubzy
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    Or
    Or did your bet get his hand raised after the fight? If so your bet is +ev cause winnerzzzzz are +ev
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  3. 02-15-13 07:47 AM #3
    sideloaded
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    i always go with hawg size
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  4. 02-15-13 02:19 PM #4
    omalley21
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    Kicking myself for not betting aliev +200.
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  5. 02-15-13 06:45 PM #5
    Sacrelicious
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    I have noticed that Russians seem to be the logical bet in Bellator, regardless of who they are fighting. Hog size is also a huge factor though.
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  6. 02-15-13 06:50 PM #6
    Grabaka
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    Problem with the Russians is that hog size analysis doesnt really work. Cold has them all shrink but as soon as they come to America or any other place with semi hot weather the hog releases his full potential, so you never really know.
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  7. 02-15-13 06:56 PM #7
    Sacrelicious
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grabaka View Post
    Problem with the Russians is that hog size analysis doesnt really work. Cold has them all shrink but as soon as they come to America or any other place with semi hot weather the hog releases his full potential, so you never really know.
    There are some valuable nuggets of wisdom in these words that we would all benefit from deeply reflecting upon.
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