Unfortunately, I don't have a lot of time for thorough detail on these fights. However, the work was put in and I'm confident of the results. Then again, doesn't every fresh ticket look like a winner? Whatever the case, here goes..
UFC on FOX:
Nate Diaz, +165, 4 units to win 6.6
Gustafsson/Rua won't go the distance, -110, 16.5 units to win 15.
MacDonald wins inside the distance, +180. 5 units to win 8
Mike Swick -150, 7.5 units to win 5.
Yves Edwards, +175, 4 units to win 7.
Boxing:
Mercito Gesta, -105, 21 units to win 20.
Hugely marketable Filipino fighter that can be at the top tier of the lightweight division for a long time. He'll be Top Rank PPV filler bother pre and post Manny Pacquiao. Busy fighter that should win swing rounds based on activity alone. If he keeps this close, look for him to get the nod on the scorecards.
Farenas/Gamboa under 5.5 rounds, +160, 5 units to win 8.
Yet another softball for Gamboa. At -3200, it's not IF he'll win, it's a matter of WHEN he'll win.
Patrick Hyland, +1100, 2 units to win 22
Hyland/Fortuna over 7.5 rounds, +230, 3 units to win 6.9
Basically, people too high on Fortuna, too low on Hyland. I don't think Hyland will be blown away by Fortuna's athleticism or power. He should give honest work in there...
Juan Manuel Marquez, +200,
Marquez looks FANTASTIC. I'm starting to have a very hard time picturing him losing this fight, especially considering in reality he EASILY won the last fight. Also, he showed to be the larger man as far as I'm concerned. Let me ask you this.. who landed the harder, cleaner punches last fight? Marquez. Is that subjective? Nope, it's fact. Ask 10 boxing guys that question, you'll get that answer 10 times. Did Marquez show an increased ability to absorb Pacquiao's power? Once again, 100% yes. Was his inability to do that in their prior fights (read knockdowns) what ultimately cost him both of their first two fights? Once again 100% yes. Lastly, given those indisputable facts, why wouldn't Marquez win this fight?
In all reality, Marquez has morphed into a solid welterweight, regardless of the fact he weighed in at 143 lbs for this particular fight. Pacquiao's inability to bully Marquez anymore closes the gap between these two considerably. Basically, if Marquez can stay off the canvas and repeat his performance from their last fight, he wins 8-4, 7-5 much like he should have last time around.
Not off to a great start, going to take some large shots by adding: Gamboa under 5.5 rounds, +115, 20 units to win 23.
Marquez +180, 20 units to win 36.
Nate Diaz, +165, 4 units to win 6.6 LOSS
Gustafsson/Rua won't go the distance, -110, 16.5 units to win 15. LOSS
MacDonald wins inside the distance, +180. 5 units to win 8 LOSS
Mike Swick -150, 7.5 units to win 5. LOSS
Yves Edwards, +175, 4 units to win 7 WIN
Mercito Gesta, -105, 21 units to win 20 LOSS
Farenas/Gamboa under 5.5 rounds, +160, 5 units to win 8 LOSS
Patrick Hyland, +1100, 2 units to win 22 LOSS
Hyland/Fortuna over 7.5 rounds, +230, 3 units to win 6.9 WIN
Marquez is +200, 5 units to win 10 WIN
Gamboa under 5.5 rounds, +115, 20 units to win 23 LOSS
Marquez +180, 20 units to win 36 WIN
Marquez +180, 20 more units to win 36 WIN
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12/8 boxing, ufc
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Originally Posted by JoshB
