In terms of this matchup, Ellenberger doesn't strike me as the type that would likely win by decision over Hieron. Jay is a good wrestler with good BJJ. Ellenberger isn't too likely to have much of an advantage anywhere to take this by decision IMO. His decision wins in the UFC were matchups against BJJ guys where he was able to reverse-wrestle close decisions on his feet, although he was not very impressive in either. He's either gonna lay Hieron out with his dynamite power or he could lose in a number of manners. That's why I'm really liking Ellenberger NOT by decision in parlays. Certainly, Ellenberger inside the distance is good too, but I could see Hieron winning. Realistically, Ellenberger's skillset is limited.