UFC on ESPN 6: Reyes vs. Weidman (October 18, 2019)

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

ESPN2, 9:00 pm ET
Dominick Reyes vs Chris Weidman
Yair Rodriguez vs Jeremy Stephens
Greg Hardy vs Ben Sosoli
Joe Lauzon vs Jonathan Pearce
Maycee Barber vs Gillian Robertson
Darren Stewart vs Deron Winn

ESPN2 6:00 pm ET
Manny Bermudez vs Charles Rosa
Diana Belbita vs Molly McCann
Kyle Bochniak vs Sean Woodson
Randy Costa vs Boston Salmon
Sean Brady vs Court McGee
Brendan Allen vs Eric Spicely
Tanner Boser vs Daniel Spitz

[Hugo de Naranja]

Flying out to Boston to see this card live with some friends. Anyone else planning to go?

[unlearn]

Any reason to not fade the shit out of Weidman?

[mr.robot]

Weidman is washed up. Unload on Reyes.

[bjpenn85]

Weidman usually gets Koed, but he still is a round winner. Was in the lead in round 3 against romero and Jacare.

Washed up, in terms of chin, yes. In terms of winning rounds, no.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Weidman usually gets Koed, but he still is a round winner. Was in the lead in round 3 against romero and Jacare.

Washed up, in terms of chin, yes. In terms of winning rounds, no.

When was the last time he was able to go all five rounds win or lose? When was the last time he won a five round decision against a fighter that wasn’t way past their prime? With Weidman the problem is not only chin but also cardio.

[Pr0ph3t]

Reyes:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/480f5c2Z2k1dXUzRnN1RFhrcXhleTA0L0xVdz09/r/1530/

[bjpenn85]

When was the last time he was able to go all five rounds win or lose? When was the last time he won a five round decision against a fighter that wasn’t way past their prime? With Weidman the problem is not only chin but also cardio.

2min away from beating jacare 10 month ago, and Gastelum before that. Its enough for me to be hesitant in combination with Reyes actually loosing to Ozedemir. I had money on Reyes, and i was like...man im loosing this bet, i was awarded a faulty dec. First time btw i ever won an undeserved dec. But anyway, no hesitancy, major under performance from Reyes there.

I think Reyes will win, obviously, either by KO or by a dec, i think Weidman still can make it close if he doesnt get KTFO, and thats my fear if i have a bet on Reyes.

[Sanity Check]

Dominick Reyes landed many punches and strikes commentators ignored.

Then commentators blew up and exaggerated everything Oezdemir did.

Reyes won that fight imo but most wouldn't know it unless they had commentating muted.

[bjpenn85]

Dominick Reyes landed many punches and strikes commentators ignored.

Then commentators blew up and exaggerated everything Oezdemir did.

Reyes won that fight imo but most wouldn't know it unless they had commentating muted.

Very bad commenting. I muted the fight and i agree, Reyes won. But only slightly. It doesnt change my perception on Reyes as only slightly better than Weidman, most likely will he win, but fight may also easily be 2-2 before round 5 if it goes all rounds and he doesnt KO Weidman. Then were looking at another close fight with some horrible judges sitting cage side.

[magpie878]

Hardy by KO/TKO as usual?

[bjpenn85]

Hardy by KO/TKO as usual?

Hardy by TKO as usual

[agendaman]

my top plays-hardy-boser-bermudez best dogs-costa-robertson

[Hugo de Naranja]

Tell me more about the Costa pick. I think he could catch Salmon and finish him early but he seems like a one round fighter.

[Thrilla]

Event Background

UFC on ESPN: Reyes vs. Weidman (also known as UFC on ESPN 6) is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is planned to take place on October 18, 2019 at the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts.^[1][2][3]

A light heavyweight bout between Dominick Reyes and former UFC Middleweight Champion Chris Weidman has been slated to serve as the event headliner.^[4]

A featherweight bout between Zabit Magomedsharipov and Calvin Kattar was scheduled to take place at this event. However, in mid-September promotion officials elected to reschedule the pairing for undisclosed reasons and take place three weeks later at UFC on ESPN+ 21.^[5][6]

A middleweight bout between Brendan Allen and Eric Spicely was scheduled for the event.^[7] However, Spicely was forced to withdraw from the event for an undisclosed reason.^[8] He was replaced by Kevin Holland.^[9]

UFC President Dana White announced that Yair Rodriguez and Jeremy Stephens were re-booked as the co-main event to UFC on ESPN 6, after their fight in Mexico City ended in a no contest, due to an accidental eye poke rendered Stephens unable to continue.^[10]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_on_ESPN:_Reyes_vs._Weidman

[Pinoy-T-X]

Weidman not the same after USADA.

[jacharron17]

Reyes/Hardy parlay is my only play for this card.

[Pinoy-T-X]

Reyes/Hardy parlay is my only play for this card.

I have that too, but added Stephens for a three teamer.

[jacharron17]

I have that too, but added Stephens for a three teamer.

BOL to your three teamer. I also lean Stephens, but want him at plus odds to pull the trigger.

[Pinoy-T-X]

BOL to your three teamer. I also lean Stephens, but want him at plus odds to pull the trigger.

[bjpenn85]

I think Weidman can take Reyes down, and probably submit him as well. Reyes TDD from what i have seen is still questionable.

Dont bee fooled by the fightmetric static of 85%, met no wrestlers.

Reyes is this weeks i told you so.

Last wekeend i warned people about Gracie, how he had horrible TDD and blocked punches with his surname.

[Pinoy-T-X]

Last wekeend i warned people about Gracie, how he had horrible TDD and blocked punches with his surname.

Yeah, I think some guy on YouTube was preaching that all week - gambler diary something ...

[bjpenn85]

Yeah, I think some guy on YouTube was preaching that all week - gambler diary something ...

It was obvious. I will say this. When a guy has the chin of Weidman, there no way back. Can be a good play live, the longer the fight goes, the worse it gets for Weidman.

[Pinoy-T-X]

It was obvious. I will say this. When a guy has the chin of Weidman, there no way back. Can be a good play live, the longer the fight goes, the worse it gets for Weidman.

who is betting Weidman?

[bjpenn85]

who is betting Weidman?

Dont know, must be careful with Reyes, you saw glimps of Oezdemir having success with a couple of easy takedowns, if thats Weidman. Weidmans got dangerous jijutsu as well, may take Reyes down, may submit him even.

But the chins is tempting to bet against, that chin alone, is wandering catastrophe...

[Pinoy-T-X]

Dont know, must be careful with Reyes, you saw glimps of Oezdemir having success with a couple of easy takedowns, if thats Weidman. Weidmans got dangerous jijutsu as well, may take Reyes down, may submit him even.

But the chins is tempting to bet against, that chin alone, is wandering catastrophe...

yup, my friend from Poznań was telling it’s like the Rockhold rule, once your chin gets popped it goes downhill from there.

[bjpenn85]

yup, my friend from Poznań was telling it’s like the Rockhold rule, once your chin gets popped it goes downhill from there.

hes like Gandalf the grey, that wise mf from Poznan...

[Thrilla]

MMA Pros Pick

[unlearn]

A shot middleweight vs an undefeated bona fide LHW. Books giving us a gift here

Reyes ITD-115

[bjpenn85]

A shot middleweight vs an undefeated bona fide LHW. Books giving us a gift here

Reyes ITD-115

Do you think he has a better shot than 50% to get the KO?

[SmellMyFinger]

how about this scenario, reyes (who is not really the highest ranged volume struker) tries to pot shot wideman form distance not to overcomit and get tanken down, so won't really do enough on the feet to consistantly back cris away and make him use too much energy, therefore the so called cardio edge i see some people hiving reyes, wont be so much of a factor. added to the fact that the only fights cris's cardio looked questionable, were way more high paced and competitive than any we've seen reyes in. not going too big on it but, for now i'm not goin with the reyes hype and will gladly bed cris as a dog at anything over +125. reyes can definetly win and make me look like some clueless scrub, but i'm seeing a lot of people on reys and not too much constructive analysis, style weise i think cris should win a little over half of the matchupsand im not yet ready to say hes washed up (physically / chin speaking) ,there is little evidence for that. 3-4 unit play on cris, and may drop a little on a sub prop once it is out +400 shoudl be a steal even if you plan to use it as a hedge . gl to all, sorry for the bad spelling, second language

[SmellMyFinger]

sub odds on cris +445 on 5d
for a guy with pretty good sub credencials vs a guy with a pretty untested ground game..... ty i guess

[bjpenn85]

sub odds on cris +445 on 5d
for a guy with pretty good sub credencials vs a guy with a pretty untested ground game..... ty i guess

Some solid point there. Chris chin is hot though, but Reyes might be overrated, and the thing you said about cardio is correct, at 205, maybe hes cardio is a lot better, but it might that hes cardio just sucks regardless of weight class also. +150 starts to get interesting +170 +180 i might dive in

[JIBBBY]

A Friday night card I see.. That will work...

Write ups prelims -







135 lbs.: Randy Costa vs. Boston Salmon

Randy Costa (4-1) — representing Lauzon MMA — smashed his way through his first four professional opponents in a combined 2:50 before debuting against Brandon Davis at UFC 236. Though he started strong against “Killer B,” his cardio ultimately failed him en route to a second-round submission defeat.
“The Zohan” was perfect (3-0) as an amateur, winning all three bouts via (technical) knockout.
Following a 2017 victory on “Contender Series” that earned him a UFC contract, injuries to Boston Salmon (6-2) and others kept him out of the Octagon proper until this past April. His debut wasn’t quite as triumphant as he’d hoped, as Khalid Taha put him away in just 25 seconds.
Four of his professional victories have come via (technical) knockout.
Even with all his misfortunes, I’m not prepared to write off “Boom Boom” quite yet, especially not in this match up. Salmon is still a beast of a boxer, while Costa is a bruiser who’s yet to prove that his balls-out style can work on elite opponents. Hell, he hasn’t even proven that he can fight for more than five minutes before gassing himself out, which is a lot more damning than getting sparked by one of the bigger punchers in the division.
It’s admittedly risky to pick Salmon against a power-puncher after the way Taha sparked him, but Taha is a legitimately technically savvy striker. Costa’s got a nice head kick and heavy hands, but not the set ups needed to actually land them. Salmon survives the early onslaught to knockout the fading “Zohan” in the second stanza.
Prediction: Salmon via second-round technical knockout
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170 lbs.: Court McGee vs. Sean Brady

Court McGee (19-8) has had a rough go of things lately, losing four of his last six after starting his Welterweight run 3-1. After snapping a two-fight skid with a decision over Alex Garcia, “The Crusher” squared off with fellow TUF veteran Dhiego Lima, who took home the win by split decision.
He’ll enjoy two-inch height and three-inch reach advantages.
Sean Brady (10-0) — training out of Renzo Gracie Philadelphia — claimed the Cage Fury FC Welterweight title in 2017 with a guillotine finish of Tanner Saraceno. Since then, he’s scored two defenses, won an LFA main event, and defeated former TUF winner Colton Smith.
Three of his five stoppage victories have come via (technical) knockout.
McGee has been fighting in the Octagon for nine years now and has yet to add any real depth to his game. He’s the same technically mediocre cardio machine who choked out Kris McCray in 2010 and we’re rapidly running out of UFC-quality Welterweights who his style can still work on.
Brady doesn’t number among them. Though shorter than McGee, he’s got the speed advantage and more than enough wrestling and grappling chops to keep McGee from grinding the pace to a halt against the fence. Superior takedowns and crisp punching combinations should carry Brady to a successful Octagon debut.
Prediction: Brady via unanimous decision
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185 lbs.: Brendan Allen vs. Kevin Holland

Brendan Allen (12-3) fell short in his first two bids for LFA gold, dropping decisions to future UFC competitors Eryk Anders and Anthony Hernandez. He responded by embarking on a four-fight win streak that’s seen him choke out Tim Hiley for the title, defend it with a decision over Moses Murrieta, and submit Aaron Jeffery on “Contender Series” to get himself a UFC contract.
He has gone the distance just once in victory, submitting seven.
The decision win for Kevin Holland (16-5) over Will Santiago on “Contender Series” wasn’t enough to get him a contract, though he made do by answering the call when Thiago Santos needed a last-minute opponent. While he ultimately lost a decision to “Marreta,” he bounced back to win three straight.
He steps in for the injured Eric Spicely on around three weeks’ notice.
To be frank, Holland should be on a two-fight losing streak. The vast majority of mixed martial arts (MMA) media had him losing to both Gerald Meerschaert and Alessio Di Chirico thanks to his terrible takedown defense and generally lackadaisical style. He seems to approach every fight like it’s a sparring session, preferring to just toss out lackluster long-range strikes and oblige people on the ground no matter how inadvisable.
That’s just not going to work against a top-notch grappler like Allen, especially when the former LFA champ can also hold his own on the feet. Plus, Allen proved that he could go five hard rounds against Murrieta, so Holland can’t bank on him gassing like Meerschaert did. In short, Allen dominates on the mat for a wide decision win.
Prediction: Allen via unanimous decision
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265 lbs.: Daniel Spitz vs. Tanner Boser

Daniel Spitz (6-2) couldn’t out-slug Mark Godbeer in his Octagon debut, but rebounded with a brutal 24-second knockout of Anthony Hamilton his next time out. This set up a clash with Walt Harris, who knocked out Spitz in the waning seconds of the second round.
This will be his first fight in 16 months.
Canada’s Tanner Boser (16-5-1) joins the world’s largest MMA promotion in the midst of a 4-1-1 run, which includes three victories in the well-regarded ACB promotion. A leg kick finish of Jared Kilkenny had him poised to debut in July against Giacomo Lemos, only for the latter to fail a drug test shortly before fight night.
He stands five inches shorter than Spitz at 6’2.”
I have bad news: Boser is one of the most boring Heavyweights on the planet and I don’t think Spitz is good enough to squeeze a watchable fight out of him. If given the chance, Boser is happy to just dither at range throwing the bare minimum number of strikes. Spitz will be lumbering after him all night, lacking the speed or cage-cutting to make him stop and getting picked off along the way.
I will say that Spitz has a much better chance of beating Boser than Lemos did, though not enough of one to give this fight any intrigue. Boser plays the world’s slowest matador, plunking Spitz with just enough shots to claim a decision win.
Prediction: Boser via unanimous decision


145 lbs.: Charles Rosa vs. Manny Bermudez

Charles Rosa (11-3) opened his UFC career even (2-2), beating Sean Soriano and Kyle Bochniak among losses to Dennis Siver and Yair Rodriguez. After a nearly 15-month layoff, he squared off with fast-rising Shane Burgos, who knocked him out in the third round of a “Fight of the Night”-winning brawl.
This will be his first fight in 30 months because of a neck injury.
Manny Bermudez (14-1) showed off his submission chops by choking out Albert Morales, Davey Grant and Benito Lopez in his first three Octagon appearances, taking home “Performance of the Night” for his 59-second triangle finish of Grant. A difficult weight cut turned his UFC 241 bout with Casey Kenney into a Catchweight fight, and after dropping a decision to the former LFA champ, “The Bermudez Triangle” is set to make his first appearance at 145 pounds since 2016.
Ten of his 11 submission wins have come in the first round.
Rosa’s scrappy as hell, but just seems like someone who’ll struggle against specialists. He’s not a sufficiently savvy wrestler to take down high-level strikers or stay on his feet against high-level grapplers. Unfortunately for him, Bermudez fits that second bill nicely. I don’t even think Rosa will have much of a size advantage, if any, because Bermudez is gigantic.
“Boston Strong” might be skilled enough to survive Bermudez’s ground onslaught; however, he’s just not skilled enough to really do anything beyond that. Bermudez muscles him to the mat and controls a scramble-heavy battle on his way to a gritty decision.
Prediction: Bermudez via unanimous decision
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125 lbs.: Molly McCann vs. Diana Belbita

Molly McCann (9-2) had a rather ignominious start to her Octagon debut, missing weight ahead of a submission loss to Gillian Robertson. She has since bounced back with decisions over Priscila Cachoeira and Ariane Lipski, the latter despite entering the fight as more than a 2:1 underdog.
“Meatball” will give up three inches of height and more than a half-foot of reach to “Warrior Princess.”
Romania’s Diana Belbita (13-4) enters the Octagon 8-2 in her last 10 and in the midst of a four-fight win streak, all coming by way of stoppage. Said streak includes a knockout victory in just 17 seconds,
She has knocked out six professional opponents and submitted another four.
Belbita is not the shot in the arm the Flyweight division needs. Her record is massively padded, she has poor takedown defense, and she’d not even all that good a striker despite that being her area of expertise. “Meatball” is the sharper boxer to such an extent that even that massive reach disadvantage doesn’t figure to pose a problem.
I’ll need to see McCann against takedown-savvy Flyweights before I’m ready to get all the way back on the train again, but this should be easy work for her. She boxes up the “Warrior Princess” for a wide victory.
Prediction: McCann via unanimous decision
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145 lbs.: Kyle Bochniak vs. Sean Woodson

Kyle Bochniak (8-4) put in a solid effort in his Octagon debut, but ultimately fell short against Charles Rosa in the latter’s hometown of Boston. “Crash” has since lost three of five, including decision defeats to Zabit Magomedsharipov and Hakeen Dawodu in his most recent efforts.
He’s scored two wins apiece via (technical) knockout and submission.
Sean Woodson (6-0) entered his “Contender Series” bout with Terrance McKinney as a decent-sized underdog, and things seemed poised to play out as expected after he spent a round with McKinney attached to his back. Partway through the second, however, “The Sniper” caught McKinney with a flying knee as the latter ducked in, knocking him out cold and securing Woodson a spot in the UFC.
He’ll have seven inches of height and nine inches of reach on Bochniak.
Woodson’s definitely one of the more unique “Contender Series” products. Standing an insane 6’2” with a 79-inch reach, he fights almost like a diet Diaz, constantly pressuring with off-speed boxing and remarkable cardio for a guy whose weight cut can’t be any fun. The McKinney fight showed that he shares the stereotypical Diaz takedown defense issue, but he’s certainly memorable.
Bochniak really isn’t. He’d be 1-5 in the Octagon if the judges in his fight with Enrique Barzola had actually been watching and his sole career highlight was giving an injured Magomedsharipov a tough third round. He doesn’t look to have the wrestling to keep Woodson on his back or the striking skills to make up for that gigantic reach disparity. Woodson outworks him on the feet for the full 15 minutes.
Prediction: Woodson via unanimous decision

[PaperTrail07]

LOL tell me this is not funny.....go to last 2:20 of episode lol had to post...

https://www.watchcartoononline.io/the-simpsons-season-24-episode-2-treehouse-of-horror-xxiii-2