1. 07-22-12 10:49 AM #36
    DirtyX
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    Quote Originally Posted by MMAbetMASTA View Post
    shut the fuckkk up dirty cockk slice, everyone and their mother here and the entire facebook world knows you're on barao's nutz.... We get it, why don't you double down if you're so confident you vajjjj...? DAMNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN!!!

    Feeling the shut downs a comin' tonight... 'Just like that diaz gut feeling'.... lol..

    Where you at now, you giant rooster in ass..?
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  2. 07-22-12 10:53 AM #37
    Vaughany
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    lol
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  3. 07-22-12 11:03 AM #38
    JoeyMMA
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    UFC: 149 Recap

    Straight bets 4-1 (+$260)
    Parlays 0-1 (-$230)
    Props 3-1 (+$560)

    7-3 (+$590)
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Beelzebubzy
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  4. 07-22-12 11:21 AM #39
    Vaughany
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    Good job playa
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  5. 07-22-12 01:21 PM #40
    JoeyMMA
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    Thanks, that Lombard loss really stings though. Don't see how Boetsch won that fight, but that is the state of judging in MMA.
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  6. 07-22-12 01:32 PM #41
    gabe
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    Way to go, Joey G.

    I lost big on a Caraway + Lombard parlay, too.
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  7. 07-22-12 09:14 PM #42
    DirtyX
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    Nice man. Good job. And Lombard won that fight regardless of how bad I wanted Tim to upset him. That was a robbery imo, and I wanted Hector to lose.
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  8. 07-31-12 01:00 AM #43
    JoeyMMA
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    Ok, it's almost that time again. UFC on FOX this Saturday, been looking forward to this event got awhile. Still waiting on some lines to drop, but as far as picks are concerned, I like Shogun, Machida, Lauzon, and Davis so far. Any thoughts?
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  9. 07-31-12 11:08 AM #44
    DirtyX
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeyMMA View Post
    Ok, it's almost that time again. UFC on FOX this Saturday, been looking forward to this event got awhile. Still waiting on some lines to drop, but as far as picks are concerned, I like Shogun, Machida, Lauzon, and Davis so far. Any thoughts?

    I honestly didn't see anything that I really liked on this card Saturday, betting wise. The lines are too high for me to lay action. I guess I like Machida, but I can't lay $$$ on a -300 favorite. Lauzon is prob. the best line out of the ones you listed, but Varner is live imo. GL.
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  10. 07-31-12 08:49 PM #45
    Hannibal
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    Quote Originally Posted by DirtyX View Post
    I honestly didn't see anything that I really liked on this card Saturday, betting wise. The lines are too high for me to lay action. I guess I like Machida, but I can't lay $$$ on a -300 favorite. Lauzon is prob. the best line out of the ones you listed, but Varner is live imo. GL.
    I'm waiting for Machida points handicap ...anywhere from evens to -150 would be great
    If machida wins like he is supposed to win...it wont even be close. Bader wont even touch him.
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  11. 08-01-12 10:48 PM #46
    JoeyMMA
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    Quote Originally Posted by DirtyX View Post
    I honestly didn't see anything that I really liked on this card Saturday, betting wise. The lines are too high for me to lay action. I guess I like Machida, but I can't lay $$$ on a -300 favorite. Lauzon is prob. the best line out of the ones you listed, but Varner is live imo. GL.
    Varner is definitely "live", but I just think he is a little overvalued on the heels of his upset of Barboza. Fight should be close, but I see Lauzon ending it by submission.
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  12. 08-01-12 11:41 PM #47
    DirtyX
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeyMMA View Post
    Varner is definitely "live", but I just think he is a little overvalued on the heels of his upset of Barboza. Fight should be close, but I see Lauzon ending it by submission.

    I agree Lauzon by sub. Prob good odds on that prop bet on 5 dimes if you have an account. My book only allows straight bets unfortunately. GL on Saturday player.
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  13. 08-02-12 12:25 PM #48
    JoeyMMA
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    After some more work, I like Ulysses Gomez a lot. My book hasn't released numbers yet for the prelims (outside of Davis), so I won't be posting anything official til that happens obviously.
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  14. 08-03-12 12:26 AM #49
    JoeyMMA
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    Finalized a few plays so far:

    Johnson/Swick goes the distance (+200) $100 to win $200
    Nam Phan (+115) $100 to win $115


    That's it for the moment, waiting for a better number on Gamburyan and Lauzon. Also figuring out how I want to parlay Machida/Davis. I've backed off of Shogun, not fond of the price and it's not getting better.

    More plays to come, hit me up with any thoughts.
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  15. 08-03-12 04:01 AM #50
    Vaughany
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    Swick fight going distance is interesting play. DaMarques is one of the most "anti-decision" guys in MMA, always banging on about not letting his fights go the distance and Swick has enough power and the Swickitine to finish it. Guess it's worth a stab though at +200
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  16. 08-03-12 04:43 PM #51
    DirtyX
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Swick fight going distance is interesting play. DaMarques is one of the most "anti-decision" guys in MMA, always banging on about not letting his fights go the distance and Swick has enough power and the Swickitine to finish it. Guess it's worth a stab though at +200
    I am just curious, as my book hasn't released the over/under lines yet. You are betting the "fight goes the distance" at +200? If I just bet the fight goes "over 2.5 rounds", would it usually be significantly less of a payout than +200? I am trying to gauge the difference in odds between the fight going the full distance vs the fight going over 2.5 rounds...
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  17. 08-03-12 04:48 PM #52
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by DirtyX View Post
    I am just curious, as my book hasn't released the over/under lines yet. You are betting the "fight goes the distance" at +200? If I just bet the fight goes "over 2.5 rounds", would it usually be significantly less of a payout than +200? I am trying to gauge the difference in odds between the fight going the full distance vs the fight going over 2.5 rounds...
    Im not betting it personally, but yes if you bet over 2.5 the odds will probably be closer to +150 to +175 range
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  18. 08-03-12 05:15 PM #53
    NunyaBidness
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    Quote Originally Posted by DirtyX View Post
    I am just curious, as my book hasn't released the over/under lines yet. You are betting the "fight goes the distance" at +200? If I just bet the fight goes "over 2.5 rounds", would it usually be significantly less of a payout than +200? I am trying to gauge the difference in odds between the fight going the full distance vs the fight going over 2.5 rounds...
    Someone should run that data on how many fights end after 2:30 of round 3 by weightclass. Probably something exploitable there.
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  19. 08-03-12 08:19 PM #54
    DirtyX
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Im not betting it personally, but yes if you bet over 2.5 the odds will probably be closer to +150 to +175 range

    Cool, thanks man. I was assuming the difference would be around that area.
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  20. 08-03-12 08:29 PM #55
    PunisherIND
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    they are using 1.5 rounds

    Sat 8/4 1301 DaMarques Johnson +175 o1½ -145
    7:00PM 1302 Mike Swick -210 u1½ +105
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  21. 08-04-12 11:10 AM #56
    JoeyMMA
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    Sorry for my absence. Been super busy with work.
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  22. 08-04-12 11:13 AM #57
    JoeyMMA
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Swick fight going distance is interesting play. DaMarques is one of the most "anti-decision" guys in MMA, always banging on about not letting his fights go the distance and Swick has enough power and the Swickitine to finish it. Guess it's worth a stab though at +200
    It's a bit risky, but I like value. I tend to bet the decision prop on a lot of fights where it nears +200 particularly in smaller weight classes. I'm actually going to bet the same with Thonpson/DeVries too however. Just looking for max value. Everyone wants to see a finish, but you get disappointed more often than not.

    I liken my decision bets to betting the draw in soccer. Gotta pick your spots!
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  23. 08-04-12 11:36 AM #58
    JoeyMMA
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    Adding these today:

    Davis/Prado won't go distance///Lyoto Machida (-115) $460 to win $400
    Ulysses Gomez (-130) $130 to win $100
    Manny Gamburyan (-165) $165 to win $100
    Joe Lauzon (-105) $105 to win 100
    Thompson/DeVries Over 2.5 Rounds (+180) $100 to win $180
    Shogun Rua by decision (+552) $50 to win $275.10
    Joe Lauzon wins in Rd1 (+300) $50 to win $150
    Last edited by JoeyMMA; 08-04-12 at 01:24 PM.
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  24. 08-05-12 01:41 AM #59
    JoeyMMA
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    Results from UFC on FOX 4:

    Straight plays: 3-1 (+$215)
    Parlays: *1-0 (+135.29)
    Props: 0-4 (-$300)

    Total: 4-5 (+50.29)

    Very small + night, but I'll take it. More coming next week for UFC 150.
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  25. 08-05-12 11:08 AM #60
    JoeyMMA
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    *Davis was graded as a cancelled wager, so my "Parlay" ended up just being a straight bet on Machida, $460 to win $135.29 :/
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  26. 08-05-12 11:10 AM #61
    Beelzebubzy
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    Congrats Joey
    good to see a newbie survive here for more than 1 event

    Hope you cash big at 150
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  27. 08-05-12 07:39 PM #62
    gabe
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy View Post
    Congrats Joey
    good to see a newbie survive here for more than 1 event

    Hope you cash big at 150
    I was a newbie not too long ago....... have only had maybe 6 (at most) losing nights since being here.
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  28. 08-05-12 07:45 PM #63
    gabe
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    I have a feeling you will have a good week coming up...

    It will make up for the failures of Ross and Chandlerblades
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  29. 08-05-12 07:46 PM #64
    Beelzebubzy
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    Congrats to you gabe for surviving her for the past 11 months stoned and profiting

    Here is some green rated action for celebration

    Little Boxes
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  30. 08-05-12 07:50 PM #65
    gabe
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy View Post
    Congrats to you gabe for surviving her for the past 11 months stoned and profiting

    Here is some green rated action for celebration

    Little Boxes
    that show was so good for three seasons...
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  31. 08-05-12 08:06 PM #66
    Beelzebubzy
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    Quote Originally Posted by gabe View Post
    that show was so good for three seasons...
    I concur, I watched until half way through season 7 but it was just to follow through
    Up to season 3 was great
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  32. 08-06-12 03:40 AM #67
    JoeyMMA
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    We missed the boat on Okami. Opened -320, now up to -530.
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  33. 08-11-12 01:37 PM #68
    JoeyMMA
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    UFC 150:

    Erik Perez (-140) $140 to win $100
    Michael Kuiper (-120) $120 to win $100
    Max Holloway (-115) $230 to win $200

    I don't like to play more than 2 guys in a parlay, and I'm pissed that I've been busy yet again this week and missed a lot of good numbers...
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  34. 08-11-12 02:00 PM #69
    JoeyMMA
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    Ben Henderson by 5 round decision (+120) $200 to win $240
    Guillard/Cerrone goes 3 round distance (+215) $100 to win $215
    Cerrone by Submission (+110) $100 to win $110
    Okami wins inside the distance (+117) $100 to win $117
    Okami wins in Round 1 (+335) $50 to win $167.50
    FOTN Winner Guillard/Cerrone (+300) $50 to win $150

    Okami -3.5 points handicap/Lentz/Cerrone parlay (-108) $216 to win $200
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  35. 08-12-12 12:33 AM #70
    JoeyMMA
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    UFC 150 Recap:

    Straight bets 3-0 (+$400)
    Props 3-3 (+$257)
    Parlay 1-0 (+$200)

    Total 7-3 (+$857)



    Great night guys, hope you tailed!
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