UFC on FOX: Stephens vs. Emmett (February 24, 2018)

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  • JIBBBY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-10-09
    • 83686

    #211
    My picks.. Good luck people!!!


    Most bets are $100, no load ups or big bets with this event for me...


    1) Bermudez - Straight/ and ITD
    2) Sheldon - Straight/ and by Dec
    3) Yayha - Sub/and Rnd 1 finish (small)
    4) Alvey - ITD, hedge Prachinio by Dec
    5) Jouban - ITD
    6) Hill - Dec
    7) Mcmann - Dec
    8) Kelleher Straight
    9) Perry - KO/ Perry Rnd 1 and Round 2 finish props (small) also.
    10) Latifi ITD/ U2.5
    11) Torres by Dec (small) Don't like this fight..
    12) Emmet by dec/ Hedged Stephens by KO
    Comment
    • Hugo de Naranja
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-14-16
      • 14140

      #212
      Originally posted by JIBBBY
      My picks.. Good luck people!!! Most bets are $100, no load ups or big bets with this event for me...

      1) Bermudez - Straight/ and ITD
      2) Sheldon - Straight/ and by Dec
      3) Yayha - Sub/and Rnd 1 finish (small)
      4) Alvey - ITD, hedge Prachinio by Dec
      5) Jouban - ITD
      6) Hill - Dec
      7) Mcmann - Dec
      8) Kelleher Straight
      9) Perry - KO/ Perry Rnd 1 and Round 2 finish props (small) also.
      10) Latifi ITD/ U2.5
      11) Torres by Dec (small) Don't like this fight..
      12) Emmet by dec/ Hedged Stephens by KO
      Best of luck Jibs!
      Comment
      • JIBBBY
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-10-09
        • 83686

        #213
        Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
        Best of luck Jibs!
        Like wise Hugo, let's see if we both can stay hot and win another event..
        Comment
        • Shagdogy
          SBR MVP
          • 06-16-10
          • 3564

          #214
          Gonna have to add Lil Heathen cause I wanna.
          Comment
          • Hugo de Naranja
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-14-16
            • 14140

            #215
            Kelleher SNA went all the way from (+244) to (-117). Glad I loaded up on the opener.
            Comment
            • Hugo de Naranja
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-14-16
              • 14140

              #216
              UFC on Fox 28: Emmett vs. Stephens Picks:
              Manny Bermudez Round 1 Submission (Triangle Choke)
              Alex Perez Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
              Rani Yahya Round 1 Submission (Kimura)
              Marcin Prachnio Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
              Alan Jouban Round 2 TKO (Elbows and Punches)
              Angela Hill Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
              Sara McMann Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
              Brian Kelleher Round 3 TKO (Punches)
              Mike Perry Round 1 KO (Knee)
              Ilir Latifi Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
              Jessica Andrade Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
              Jeremy Stephens Round 3 TKO (Punches)
              Comment
              • Hugo de Naranja
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-14-16
                • 14140

                #217
                UFC on Fox 28: Emmett vs. Stephens

                Fight Pass Prelims:

                Fight #1: Bermudez (DEBUT) vs. Morales
                Bermudez+Morales Won’t Go Distance (+100) 1u
                Bermudez Submission (+265) 2u
                Bermudez Round 1 (+425) .5u

                Fight #2: Shelton vs. Perez
                Perez Submission (+500) .5u

                Hedge:
                Shelton Submission (+801) .5u

                Fight #3: Yahya vs. Doane
                Yahya ITD (+145) 2u

                Fight #4: Prachnio (DEBUT) vs. Alvey
                Alvey KO/TKO (+480) 1u

                Fox Sports 1 Prelims:


                Fight #5: Jouban vs. Saunders
                Jouban ITD (-113) 1.13u to win 1u
                Jouban Round 2 (+425) .75u

                Hedge:
                Saunders KO/TKO (+750) .5u

                Fight #6: Hill vs. Moroz
                Hill -3.5 (+240) 1u

                Hedge:
                Moroz Decision (+260) 1u

                Fight #7: McMann vs. Reneau
                Reneau ITD (+500) 2u
                Reneau Round 3 (+1800) .25u

                Fight #8: Kelleher vs. Barao
                Kelleher (+124) 3.5u
                Kelleher Scorecards = No Action (+244) 2.5u
                Kelleher ITD (+330) 1u
                Kelleher Decision (+378) .5u
                Kelleher Round 3 (+1400) .25u

                Hedge:
                Barao Submission (+403) 2u

                Main Card:


                Fight #9: Perry vs. Griffin
                Parlays

                Fight #10: Latifi vs. Saint Preux
                Latifi (+100) 2.5u
                Latifi KO/TKO (+735) .5u

                Hedge:
                Saint Preux KO/TKO (+250) 1u

                Fight #11: Andrade vs. Torres
                Torres (+253) 2u

                Hedge:
                Andrade Submission (+525) .5u

                Fight #12: Stephens vs. Emmett
                Stephens Decision (+433) .75u
                Stephens Round 2 (+650) .5u
                Stephens Round 3 (+850) .5u

                Hedge:
                Emmett Decision (+475) 1u

                Straight Parlays:
                Jouban/Stephens (+123) 1u

                Prop Parlays:
                Jouban/Perry ITD (+110) 1u
                Perry ITD/Stephens (+153) 1u
                Bermudez/Perez/Yahya -3.5 (+473) .25u
                Prachnio Decision/Jouban -3.5/Hill (+618) .25u
                McMann Decision/Kelleher/Perry KO (+637) .25u
                Latifi/Andrade Decision/Stephens (+674) .25u

                Full Card Props:
                Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+133) 1.25u
                Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+347) .5u
                Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+999) .25u

                Multi-Event Parlays:

                None
                Comment
                • JIBBBY
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-10-09
                  • 83686

                  #218
                  Hugo I kinda like these two long shot props I highlighted below of yours.. I didn't play them but I still might.. Thanks..

                  You figure Barao can last a couple rounds but that 3rd round if he is gassing and getting beat up we could see a stoppage. I'm sure he had a hard weight cut anyways.. On the flip Barao is good enough to land a sub on the ground if it goes there also...

                  Copy and paste -


                  Fight #8: Kelleher vs. Barao
                  Kelleher (+124) 3.5u
                  Kelleher Scorecards = No Action (+244) 2.5u
                  Kelleher ITD (+330) 1u
                  Kelleher Decision (+378) .5u
                  Kelleher Round 3 (+1400) .25u


                  Hedge:
                  Barao Submission (+403) 2u
                  Comment
                  • Hugo de Naranja
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 04-14-16
                    • 14140

                    #219
                    Barao Sub is up at (+505) now too.
                    Comment
                    • PhoKing
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 07-04-16
                      • 247

                      #220
                      hey hugo do you have non-wmma fight you like that will most likely go to a decision?
                      Comment
                      • Hugo de Naranja
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-14-16
                        • 14140

                        #221
                        Originally posted by PhoKing
                        hey hugo do you have non-wmma fight you like that will most likely go to a decision?
                        I guess Alvey vs. Prachnio. I see a good amount of finishes tonight.
                        Comment
                        • JIBBBY
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-10-09
                          • 83686

                          #222
                          Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                          Barao Sub is up at (+505) now too.
                          Tailing as a hedge.. You convinced me.. IN... 42% of Barao's wins come by way of Submission..

                          FOX



                          Renan
                          Barao
                          "The Baron"
                          vs
                          Brian
                          Kelleher
                          "Boom"

                          BRAZIL
                          Country
                          UNITED STATES

                          36-5-0, 1NC
                          Record
                          18-8-0

                          22%
                          KO/TKO
                          39%

                          42%
                          SUB
                          44%

                          36%
                          DEC
                          17%

                          66 in
                          Height
                          66 in

                          135 lbs
                          Weight
                          135 lbs

                          70 in
                          Reach
                          66 in

                          39 in
                          Leg Reach
                          38 in
                          Comment
                          • Shagdogy
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-16-10
                            • 3564

                            #223
                            UFC on FOX 28 Picks

                            Morales UD
                            Shelton UD
                            Doane KO/TKO
                            Alvey KO/TKO
                            Jouban KO/TKO
                            Moroz dec.
                            McMann dec
                            Kelleher dec.
                            Perry KO/TKO
                            Latifi dec.
                            Andrade dec.
                            Stephens dec.
                            Comment
                            • Hugo de Naranja
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-14-16
                              • 14140

                              #224
                              A couple of those submission attempts were close. I'm interested to see how/if Bermudez' cardio holds up
                              Comment
                              • Shagdogy
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-16-10
                                • 3564

                                #225
                                UFC on FOX 28 Bets


                                Morales +140, .71u
                                Shelton -110, 1.1u
                                Doane +195, .51u
                                Alvey +195, .51u
                                Moroz +135, .74u
                                Kelleher +131, .76u
                                Latifi +131, .76u

                                Andrade + Barao/Kelleher 02.5, +134, 1.3u
                                Andrade + McMann + Hill/Moroz o2.5, +160, .63u
                                Shelton + Stephens/Emmett o3.5, +296, .34u
                                Stephens + Perry +114, 1u

                                Pretty sure that's it. Not my typical night of bets but lets see if I can sneak a profit. Good luck everyone! Good first round there in Bermudez/Morales.
                                Comment
                                • Hugo de Naranja
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-14-16
                                  • 14140

                                  #226
                                  Bermudez Sub boom!
                                  Comment
                                  • Shagdogy
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-16-10
                                    • 3564

                                    #227
                                    Looked like Morales was the one who gassed a bit uncharacteristically. If he had better gas in that 2nd round he should have been able to box the crap out of Bermudez. Bermudez not ready for another fighter with better gas.
                                    Comment
                                    • JIBBBY
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-10-09
                                      • 83686

                                      #228
                                      Bermudez sub and straight works!! .. Good start..

                                      $100.00 $165.00 Win 2/24/18 4:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2209 Bermudez wins inside distance +165* vs Not Bermudez inside distance
                                      $160.00 $103.20 Win 2/24/18 4:00pm UFC Fighting 2202 Manny Bermudez -155* vs Albert Morales
                                      Comment
                                      • JIBBBY
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-10-09
                                        • 83686

                                        #229
                                        Sheldon Straight and by Dec next..
                                        Comment
                                        • Hugo de Naranja
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-14-16
                                          • 14140

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                          Bermudez sub and straight works!! .. Good start..

                                          $100.00 $165.00 Win 2/24/18 4:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2209 Bermudez wins inside distance +165* vs Not Bermudez inside distance
                                          $160.00 $103.20 Win 2/24/18 4:00pm UFC Fighting 2202 Manny Bermudez -155* vs Albert Morales
                                          Glad we both hit that one. Bermudez is a LEGIT Submission Artist. Looked pretty vulnerable on the feet though.
                                          Comment
                                          • the1yankee
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-29-16
                                            • 1203

                                            #231
                                            So burmudez won?

                                            5d graded it a loss?
                                            Comment
                                            • JIBBBY
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-10-09
                                              • 83686

                                              #232
                                              Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                              Glad we both hit that one. Bermudez is a LEGIT Submission Artist. Looked pretty vulnerable on the feet though.
                                              I saw that.. Nice to get off with a good start and win to this event..

                                              We bet a bunch of the same on this card!!! Let's get it HUGO!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • the1yankee
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-29-16
                                                • 1203

                                                #233
                                                Smh, gotta fukin call wagering
                                                Comment
                                                • Hugo de Naranja
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 04-14-16
                                                  • 14140

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by the1yankee
                                                  So burmudez won?

                                                  5d graded it a loss?
                                                  He did. They graded it wrong. I'll get in touch with them on live help.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • the1yankee
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-29-16
                                                    • 1203

                                                    #235
                                                    Thanks hugo

                                                    Had it straight in a 3tm.

                                                    Like u said JIBBS, NEED TO STAY AWAY FROM PARLAYS!

                                                    Having a real bad stretch, but I love 5d n how much different shat u can parlay!

                                                    Probably a disadvantage in some aspects for me, lol
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                      • 83686

                                                      #236
                                                      Originally posted by the1yankee
                                                      So burmudez won?

                                                      5d graded it a loss?
                                                      They did grade it as a loss, they'll correct it.. I saw that..

                                                      I copy and pasted my posted bets pending and changed the word pending to win in my above post.. Bovada and all my other books graded it as a win.. I just checked now... 5D is the only book that graded it as a loss.. They'll correct it!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kobejoshy
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 01-04-16
                                                        • 64

                                                        #237
                                                        They fixed it!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Shagdogy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-16-10
                                                          • 3564

                                                          #238
                                                          Perez looks a LOT bigger than Shelton and it seems to be playing a bit of a role here so far. If Perez's gas is up to par then he looks good here.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JIBBBY
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-10-09
                                                            • 83686

                                                            #239
                                                            Shelton lost that first round ... Perez much bigger better wrestler..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • the1yankee
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-29-16
                                                              • 1203

                                                              #240
                                                              Smart thing to do.....would be.......MIRROR HUGO!!!!!

                                                              IVE SEEN SOME BEASTS IN THA CAGE

                                                              But this year........GODDANG HUGO

                                                              UFC HANDICAPPING BEAST!!!!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-14-16
                                                                • 14140

                                                                #241
                                                                Originally posted by the1yankee
                                                                Smart thing to do.....would be.......MIRROR HUGO!!!!!

                                                                IVE SEEN SOME BEASTS IN THA CAGE

                                                                But this year........GODDANG HUGO

                                                                UFC HANDICAPPING BEAST!!!!!
                                                                Thank you sir. I'm glad the hard work has been paying off lately.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Shagdogy
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-16-10
                                                                  • 3564

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Miss weight, win fights. Ugggg.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 04-14-16
                                                                    • 14140

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Excellent performance by Perez. He may be someone to watch in this division.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 04-14-16
                                                                      • 14140

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                                                      Miss weight, win fights. Ugggg.
                                                                      I don't think 0.5 Pounds or whatever made the difference here. Still it's strange to see that trend continue
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JIBBBY
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-10-09
                                                                        • 83686

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                        Sheldon Straight and by Dec next..
                                                                        Lost this fight.. Still up a little bit from the first fight.. Too bad ... Hit and miss now...

                                                                        $120.00 $10.00 Loss 2/24/18 4:30pm UFC Fighting 2101 Eric Shelton -120* vs Alex Perez
                                                                        $50.00 $107.50 Loss 2/24/18 4:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2107 Shelton wins by 3 round decision +215* vs Not Shelton by 3 round decision
                                                                        Comment
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