UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders (February 03, 2018)

[Thrilla]

Jibbbs My next pre-game bet is 4 hours from now.

Soccer Persian Gulf Pro League.
Zob Ahan - Esteghlal F.C.
Take Esteghlal pk/+0/DNB.

Meanwhile il probably bet live on other stuff. Win back asap!

[Thrilla]

Paper fade those who scored Anders.

[turbozed]

Card Total: 2-1, +1.39u

YTD: 14-6, +10.40u

Event Total: 3-1

Didn't expect much out of tonight. Got a little bit out of it. I'll take it. More than anything I'm pleased with my discipline tonight. Didn't bet a bunch of lines that I didn't particularly like, and I laid off looking for more on the main events when I was already up a little, knowing I didn't actually cap those fights. So far so good... meeting my 2u per card goal. For now. It's early.

Nice job Shagy! Very little profit for me this event but I'm happy I didn't force any bets in this one either. Saved some money by not firing on Green and possibly Soto.

[turbozed]

Congrats to you all that got +600 and better live on Machida. That's a terrible line. At no point should it have been that high. Not even close.

It was so off that I only hit it for small thinking that I had missed something

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 125: Machida vs. Anders Picks:
Deiveson Figueiredo Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Joe Soto Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Polyana Viana Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Alan Patrick Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Tim Means Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Thiago Santos Round 1 TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
Douglas Silva de Andrade Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Marcelo Golm Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Michel Prazeres Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Valentina Shevchenko Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Eryk Anders Round 1 KO (Punches)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 125: Machida vs. Anders

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Morales vs. Figueiredo
Figueiredo ITD (+276) +4.14u
Figueiredo KO/TKO (+525) +2.625u

Result: Deiveson Figueiredo Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Fight: +6.765u
Card: +6.765u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #2: Soto vs. Alcantara
No Bet

Result: Iuri Alcantara Round 1 TKO (Punches)

Fight #3: Viana (DEBUT) vs. Stevenson (DEBUT)
Viana+Stevenson Won’t Start Round 2 (+221) +2.21u
Stevenson Round 1 (+1450) -.25u

Result: Polyana Viana Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +1.96u
Card: +8.725u

Fight #4: Patrick vs. Hadzovic
Patrick Decision (+108) +1.08u
Patrick -3.5 (+145) +1.45u

Result: Alan Patrick Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 30-25)
Fight: +2.53u
Card: +11.255u

Fight #5: Means vs. Moraes
Means KO/TKO (+265) -2u

Hedge:
Moraes (+180) +1.8u

Result: Sergio Moraes Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -0.2u
Card: +11.055u

Main Card:

Fight #6: Santos vs. Smith
Santos (-150) +5u

Hedge(s):
Smith KO/TKO (+510) -.5u
Smith Round 3 (+1250) -.25u

Result: Thiago Santos Round 2 TKO (Body Kick and Punches)
Fight: +4.25u
Card: +15.305u

Fight #7: Silva de Andrade vs. Vera
Silva de Andrade (+140) +1.4u
Silva de Andrade Decision (+265) +2.65u

Hedge:
Vera Submission (+500) -.5u

Added:
Silva de Andrade (+165) +.825u

Result: Douglas Silva de Andrade Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: +4.375u
Card: +19.68u

Fight #8: Golm vs. Johnson
Golm Round 1 (+250) -1.5u
Golm Submission (+798) -.5u

Result: Timothy Johnson Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Fight: -2u
Card: +17.68u

Fight #9: Prazeres vs. Green
Prazeres (-120) +1u
Prazeres -3.5 (+165) +.825u
Prazeres Submission (+500) -.5u

Added:
Prazeres (-115) +1u

Result: Michel Prazeres Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Fight: +2.325u
Card: +20.005u

Fight #10: Shevchenko vs. Cachoeira
Shevchenko Decision (+230) -1u

Hedge:
Cachoeira KO/TKO (+2600) -.25u

Result: Valentina Shevchenko Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: -1.25u
Card: +18.755u

Fight #11: Anders vs. Machida
Anders Decision (+704) -.5u

Hedge:
Machida KO/TKO (+550) -.5u

Result: Lyoto Machida Split Decision (49-46, 48-47, 47-48)
Fight: -1u
Card: +17.755u

Straight Parlays:
Patrick/Anders (+102) -1u
Golm/Prazeres+Green Over 2.5 (+121) -2u
Figueiredo/Anders (+128) -1u
Figueiredo/Soto/Viana+Stevenson Under 2.5 (+468) -.25u

Added:
Golm/Prazeres/Cachoeira/Machida (+6581) -.5u

Results: See Above
Fights: -4.75u
Card: +13.005u

Prop Parlays:
Andrade/Golm -3.5 (+392) -.25u
Prazeres/Shevchenko+Cachoeira GD/Anders -5.5 (+572) -.25u
Means KO/Santos KO (+608) -.25u
Patrick -3.5/Means -3.5/Santos KO (+776) -.25u

Results: See Above
Fights: -1u
Card: +12.005u

Live-Betting:
Anders+Machida Goes Distance (+110) +.55u
Golm+Johnson Goes Distance (+145) +1.45u
Anders+Machida Goes Distance (+225) +1.125u
Johnson (+250) +2.5u
Johnson (+320) +3.2u
Smith (+400) -.5u
Santos+Smith Goes Distance (+600) -.5u
Machida (+600) +4.5u
Hadzovic (+700) -.5u
Vera (+700) -.5u

Results: See Above
Fights: +11.325u
Card: +23.33u

Full Card Props:
Over 5.5 Fights Go Distance (+148) +1.85u
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+409) -.5u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+1247) -.25u

FOTN: Santos+Smith
POTN: Shevchenko, Alcantara
Fastest Submission: Viana R1 (3:50)
Fastest KO: Alcantara R1(1:06)
Decisions: 6
Results: See Above
Fights: +1.1u
Final Card Total = +24.43u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Bektic -3.5/Anders (-101) -1u

Results: Anders Loses
Multi-Event Parlays: -1u
Multi-Event Parlays Total = -1u

[Thrilla]

It was so off that I only hit it for small thinking that I had missed something

SMH moment of the year.

[Thrilla]

Brasil 9-2 on the card. Local/home fighter factor proven once again.

[Shagdogy]

Nice job Shagy! Very little profit for me this event but I'm happy I didn't force any bets in this one either. Saved some money by not firing on Green and possibly Soto.

Yeah I liked Green and Soto both, but they were more like leans than plays. Same with de Andrade, so I would have lost a little overall if I had played those.

I also feel good about laying off Means who I felt was deserving of -200, but I just didn't like the spot. Been a strong run lately of hometown fighters over performing and getting extra love from judges. At this point you have to consider it in your capping regularly.

[Demonata]

UFC Fight Night 125: Machida vs. Anders

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Morales vs. Figueiredo
Figueiredo ITD (+276) +4.14u
Figueiredo KO/TKO (+525) +2.625u

Result: Deiveson Figueiredo Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Fight: +6.765u
Card: +6.765u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #2: Soto vs. Alcantara
No Bet

Result: Iuri Alcantara Round 1 TKO (Punches)

Fight #3: Viana (DEBUT) vs. Stevenson (DEBUT)
Viana+Stevenson Won’t Start Round 2 (+221) +2.21u
Stevenson Round 1 (+1450) -.25u

Result: Polyana Viana Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +1.96u
Card: +8.725u

Fight #4: Patrick vs. Hadzovic
Patrick Decision (+108) +1.08u
Patrick -3.5 (+145) +1.45u

Result: Alan Patrick Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 30-25)
Fight: +2.53u
Card: +11.255u

Fight #5: Means vs. Moraes
Means KO/TKO (+265) -2u

Hedge:
Moraes (+180) +1.8u

Result: Sergio Moraes Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -0.2u
Card: +11.055u

Main Card:

Fight #6: Santos vs. Smith
Santos (-150) +5u

Hedge(s):
Smith KO/TKO (+510) -.5u
Smith Round 3 (+1250) -.25u

Result: Thiago Santos Round 2 TKO (Body Kick and Punches)
Fight: +4.25u
Card: +15.305u

Fight #7: Silva de Andrade vs. Vera
Silva de Andrade (+140) +1.4u
Silva de Andrade Decision (+265) +2.65u

Hedge:
Vera Submission (+500) -.5u

Added:
Silva de Andrade (+165) +.825u

Result: Douglas Silva de Andrade Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: +4.375u
Card: +19.68u

Fight #8: Golm vs. Johnson
Golm Round 1 (+250) -1.5u
Golm Submission (+798) -.5u

Result: Timothy Johnson Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Fight: -2u
Card: +17.68u

Fight #9: Prazeres vs. Green
Prazeres (-120) +1u
Prazeres -3.5 (+165) +.825u
Prazeres Submission (+500) -.5u

Added:
Prazeres (-115) +1u

Result: Michel Prazeres Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Fight: +2.325u
Card: +20.005u

Fight #10: Shevchenko vs. Cachoeira
Shevchenko Decision (+230) -1u

Hedge:
Cachoeira KO/TKO (+2600) -.25u

Result: Valentina Shevchenko Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: -1.25u
Card: +18.755u

Fight #11: Anders vs. Machida
Anders Decision (+704) -.5u

Hedge:
Machida KO/TKO (+550) -.5u

Result: Lyoto Machida Split Decision (49-46, 48-47, 47-48)
Fight: -1u
Card: +17.755u

Straight Parlays:
Patrick/Anders (+102) -1u
Golm/Prazeres+Green Over 2.5 (+121) -2u
Figueiredo/Anders (+128) -1u
Figueiredo/Soto/Viana+Stevenson Under 2.5 (+468) -.25u

Added:
Golm/Prazeres/Cachoeira/Machida (+6581) -.5u

Results: See Above
Fights: -4.75u
Card: +13.005u

Prop Parlays:
Andrade/Golm -3.5 (+392) -.25u
Prazeres/Shevchenko+Cachoeira GD/Anders -5.5 (+572) -.25u
Means KO/Santos KO (+608) -.25u
Patrick -3.5/Means -3.5/Santos KO (+776) -.25u

Results: See Above
Fights: -1u
Card: +12.005u

Live-Betting:
Anders+Machida Goes Distance (+110) +.55u
Golm+Johnson Goes Distance (+145) +1.45u
Anders+Machida Goes Distance (+225) +1.125u
Johnson (+250) +2.5u
Johnson (+320) +3.2u
Smith (+400) -.5u
Santos+Smith Goes Distance (+600) -.5u
Machida (+600) +4.5u
Hadzovic (+700) -.5u
Vera (+700) -.5u

Results: See Above
Fights: +11.325u
Card: +23.33u

Full Card Props:
Over 5.5 Fights Go Distance (+148) +1.85u
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+409) -.5u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+1247) -.25u

FOTN: Santos+Smith
POTN: Shevchenko, Alcantara
Fastest Submission: Viana R1 (3:50)
Fastest KO: Alcantara R1(1:06)
Decisions: 6
Results: See Above
Fights: +1.1u
Final Card Total = +24.43u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Bektic -3.5/Anders (-101) -1u

Results: Anders Loses
Multi-Event Parlays: -1u
Multi-Event Parlays Total = -1u

I'm impressed!!! I am tempted just to copy your bets next card but then i will curse it so not sure lol

[Thrilla]

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[Hugo de Naranja]

I'm impressed!!! I am tempted just to copy your bets next card but then i will curse it so not sure lol

Probably