Originally Posted by
MMAbetMASTA
I capped eddson at -275, so anything higher than that is very 'iffy' to me and not worth it - there are better fights and better odds to play a high favorite on than edson.
It prob won't hit, but like you said at +400 range I'll take a small stab for a nice pay out, rather than risk 10x that amount for only a fraction of the payout... But if you don't like varner, and I can't blame oyu for not liking him in this fight because I understand and see the reasoning for backing edson, then def sit it out and enjoy the scrap!!!
And I was wrong, I think etim's base is actually jiu jitsu not a striking discipline (somone correct me if I'm wrong), so I guess you could say edson's last fight wasn't against a pure striker (although I don't recall etim really trying to take it down, he seemed content to kickbox)... But yes, on the feet varner will be completlely outclassed save for a hail mary punch, however, with the right game plan he could effectively strike to set up clinches/tds/scrambles whatever... fine kickboxing technique will go out the window when you have the constant threat of a td or clinch / dirty boxing..not that varner's some powerhouse wrestler, he's not one by any means but he's a very big LW, very experienced against all mma styles (not the first time he's faced an elite kickboxer), and has fought bettter overall comp imo...
Furthermore, its make or break time for him imo. He got lucky dunham pulled out and got the call to come back to zuffa, so hopefully this really motivates him and makes him hungry, because he knows if he beats barboza he's right back in the mix. Again, a mentally and physically prepared varner is a legit threat to anyone.