Originally Posted by
Wanna Bet On It?
Edgar should be -150 to -200.
Bendo has porous striking defense. He has very crisp leg kicks but leaves his hands down for the counter and also throws brute force punches which aren't technical, dangerous against a fast-footed boxer like Edgar. He usually gets outboxed on the feet and looks for a smooth transition to the ground.
Now in his past three UFC fights he's fought three grapplers who all embrace going to the ground: Bocek, Miller & Guida. Frankie Edgar likes to box first and foremost. His TDD is top-notch and he scrambles very well from the bottom. His gameplan will be keep it upright versus Bendo - he knows from Cerrone I, Pettis, Miller, Guida, etc. that he can't submit Benson so he won't expend energy on the ground trying to do so frivolously like so many guys before him.
Watch the Pettis-Bendo fight for a stylistic comparison of someone who wants to keep the fight on the feet and how Bendo fares in the fight like that. Pettis outstruck Bendo in all five rounds. Pettis was outgrappled in rounds 1 & 4 by Bendo, enough for two judges to give him 2 rounds.
Frankie's coaching staff is second to none for gameplanning and adjusting mid-fight. Frankie will sprawl & brawl to victory.