UFC 196: McGregor vs. Diaz (March 05, 2016)

**JC2008** · 03-05-16, 03:16 PM

What a setup!

**brooks85** · 03-05-16, 04:45 PM

**JIBBBY** · 03-05-16, 04:55 PM

Well the first fight is -

I guess Erosa is the play.. Asian fade with this one.... Erosa ITD with the KO hedge for me.. Ishihara does have a 75% KO rate which makes me just a little nervous so I had to hedge.... If it goes to decision this all blows up in my face..

Ishihara seems tough to finish in his short MMA Pro career but he hasn't really fought anyone like Erosa as this will be his toughest test to date.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Teruto-Ishihara-78898

Erosa does have a high finishing rate though as he's finished ITD in 13 of his 15 pro wins...

$150.00

$351.00

Pending

3/5/16 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2109 Erosa wins inside distance +234* vs Not Erosa inside distance

$50.00

$262.50

Pending

3/5/16 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2129 Ishihara wins by TKO/KO +525* vs Any other result

Julian
Erosa
"Juicy J"
vs
Teruto
Ishihara
"Yashabo"

UNITED STATES
Country
JAPAN

15-3-0
Record
8-2-2

33%
KO/TKO
75%

53%
SUB
0%

13%
DEC
50%

**JoshKnows46** · 03-05-16, 05:00 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Well the first fight is -

I guess Erosa is the play.. Asian fade with this one.... Erosa ITD with the KO hedge for me.. Ishihara does have a 75% KO rate which makes me just a little nervous.... If it goes to decision this all blows up in my face..

Ishihara seems tough to finish in his short MMA Pro career but he hasn't really fought anyone like Erosa yet as this will be his toughest test yet.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Teruto-Ishihara-78898

$150.00

$351.00

Pending

3/5/16 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2109 Erosa wins inside distance +234* vs Not Erosa inside distance

$50.00

$262.50

Pending

3/5/16 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2129 Ishihara wins by TKO/KO +525* vs Any other result

Julian
Erosa
"Juicy J"
vs
Teruto
Ishihara
"Yashabo"

UNITED STATES
Country
JAPAN

15-3-0
Record
8-2-2

33%
KO/TKO
75%

53%
SUB
0%

13%
DEC
50%

Eww thats ugly prop selection, I don't like this at all, its teruto ko or dec victory, if Erosa wins it's by dec.Those Erosa itd and ko props are already dead in the water, u better hope teruto is able to get the ko. If teruto doesn't get the ko, it's going to the judges. Good luck though.

**JIBBBY** · 03-05-16, 05:03 PM

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

Eww I don't like this, its teruto ko or dec, if Erosa wins it's by dec. Those Erosa itd and ko props are already dead in the water, u better hope teruto is able to get the ko.

We'll see about that Joshster.. I obviously hope you're wrong about Erosa, but I'll take the Ishihara ko win and move on winning a benny.....

Erosa has finished in 13 of his 15 fight wins.. Ishihara still a bit raw. Not likely this goes to decision but I suppose it could by slight chance.. It's called gambling and I go with the percentages..

**JoshKnows46** · 03-05-16, 05:24 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

We'll see about that Joshster.. I obviously hope you're wrong about Erosa, but I'll take the Ishihara ko win and move on winning a benny.....

Erosa has finished in 13 of his 15 fight wins.. Ishihara still a bit raw. Not likely this goes to decision but I suppose it could by slight chance.. It's called gambling and I go with the percentages..

Just trying to help, maybe u change ur play?...that was against low level opps jibs, Erosa doesn't have the power to ko teruto, he's a point fighter, this fight goes the distance 80 percent of the time, teruto gets the ko 20 percent, Erosa will need to fight real conservative to not get kod, teruto will push the pace and win a dec, if Erosa is able to secure a couple takedowns he may be able to pull off a dec. Outside of dec, Erosa has no path to victory.

**JC2008** · 03-05-16, 05:44 PM

It may not mean anything but Erosa has dropped from -200 to -175 for what it's worth.

**shabang** · 03-05-16, 05:45 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

We'll see about that Joshster.. I obviously hope you're wrong about Erosa, but I'll take the Ishihara ko win and move on winning a benny.....

Erosa has finished in 13 of his 15 fight wins.. Ishihara still a bit raw. Not likely this goes to decision but I suppose it could by slight chance.. It's called gambling and I go with the percentages..

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

Just trying to help, maybe u change ur play?...that was against low level opps jibs, Erosa doesn't have the power to ko teruto, he's a point fighter, this fight goes the distance 80 percent of the time, teruto gets the ko 20 percent, Erosa will need to fight real conservative to not get kod, teruto will push the pace and win a dec, if Erosa is able to secure a couple takedowns he may be able to pull off a dec. Outside of dec, Erosa has no path to victory.

ishihara is only fighting to "get ladies" .. his passion isn't there like the rest of the fighters.. also, ishihara cares WAAAYYYY too much about his appearance, he'll be more conerned with looking good in the fight than actually performing good..these are my concerns.. Not sure who I'm going for yet as I don't really trust either of them..

**JIBBBY** · 03-05-16, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by JC2008

It may not mean anything but Erosa has dropped from -200 to -175 for what it's worth.

It could mean something as he'll be a massive 175er next to this little Asian dude.... Erosa may gas quickly in this fight if he had a hard first 175 weight cut on the flip side.. It just means the fight is more likely to end sooner then later either way IMO...

I noticed at weigh ins Erosa looked much larger...

**JoshKnows46** · 03-05-16, 06:09 PM

Added:
Thatch wins fastest ko +800 $25 to win $200
Nunes wins fastest sub +1200 $25 to win $300

**JC2008** · 03-05-16, 06:09 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

It could mean something as he'll be a massive 175er next to this little Asian dude.... Erosa may gas quickly in this fight if he had a hard first 175 weight cut on the flip side.. It just means the fight is more likely to end sooner then later either way IMO...

I noticed at weigh ins Erosa looked much larger...

I'm not sure about this fight. I think I'll just say f uck it and pass. What are you guys doing for Sanchez/Miller? Miller decision? What about the Salas fight?

**JIBBBY** · 03-05-16, 06:19 PM

Originally posted by JC2008

I'm not sure about this fight. I think I'll just say f uck it and pass. What are you guys doing for Sanchez/Miller? Miller decision? What about the Salas fight?

Miller by decision is probably the right call and that's the way I played it.

$120.00

$186.00

Pending

3/5/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1907 Miller wins by 3 round decision +155* vs Not Miller by 3 round decision

Also took Miller by sub for small just because he called for it in his interviews.. This is probably money pissed away but I figured why not..

$40.00

$274.00

Pending

3/5/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1927 Miller wins by submission +685* vs Any other result

Diego does look jacked and amp'd up for this fight.. Not real confident with Miller but I do think he is the better fighter all around at this point in their MMA careers.. Gotta go with the better fighter..

**JC2008** · 03-05-16, 06:20 PM

Holllleeee SHIT Miller is now at -188 from -163. I definitely lean Miller decision but I think Miller decision +188 and Sanchez decision +250 is how I will go about it. Just hope that one hits.

**JIBBBY** · 03-05-16, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

Added:
Thatch wins fastest ko +800 $25 to win $200
Nunes wins fastest sub +1200 $25 to win $300

If Thatch does win it's gonna be quick and by KO for sure.. I agree.. GL... I'm on the first round Thatch finish as a hedge for profit myself..

Nunes is a tough bet I believe.. She could get out worked in this fight in the 2nd and 3rd rounds if she doesn't finish early.. I know you played Nunes kinda big so I hope that doesn't bite ya in the arse today Joshy.. Nunes is very tough early on though so we'll see..

**JIBBBY** · 03-05-16, 06:26 PM

Originally posted by JC2008

Holllleeee SHIT Miller is now at -188 from -163. I definitely lean Miller decision but I think Miller decision +188 and Sanchez decision +250 is how I will go about it. Just hope that one hits.

Miller's cardio is the only concern for me if the fight drags on.. Diego should have the better gas tank.. Probably will be a closely contested fight if that's the case..

**JC2008** · 03-05-16, 06:26 PM

I noticed the dude fighting Thatch hasn't fought since 2013 either... I believe I may have to take a poke on a round 1 finish.

**slikec** · 03-05-16, 06:28 PM

What the deal with SBR Book? O/U lines odds are same as at bookmarker but moneyline lines are lower mhm. Very strange i must say.

**JIBBBY** · 03-05-16, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by JC2008

I noticed the dude fighting Thatch hasn't fought since 2013 either... I believe I may have to take a poke on a round 1 finish.

Yeah, I just hate betting on Thatch as that dude has lost me money in the past. He's very talented early on though in fights..

**JIBBBY** · 03-05-16, 06:34 PM

Ok here we go!!!!

**slayer14** · 03-05-16, 06:35 PM

Ishihara is rated very highly

**spurginobili** · 03-05-16, 06:39 PM

Seriously, Goldy sounds more and more like Homer Simpson to me. Goddamn

**slayer14** · 03-05-16, 06:44 PM

Ishihara won round 1

**slayer14** · 03-05-16, 06:46 PM

boooooooommmmmm

**slayer14** · 03-05-16, 06:46 PM

next world champion this guy

**brooks85** · 03-05-16, 06:46 PM

good start to the show!

**JIBBBY** · 03-05-16, 06:47 PM

Well it didn't go the distance.. I'll take the KO for Ishi.. Dude was sharp with his striking... Cashed $110 with that..

**spurginobili** · 03-05-16, 06:47 PM

That was nice. Have Ishihara in a DraftKings lineup

**JIBBBY** · 03-05-16, 06:48 PM

I love you my biitches.. Lol.. Crazy Asian dude.. lol..

**JIBBBY** · 03-05-16, 06:49 PM

Originally posted by spurginobili

That was nice. Have Ishihara in a DraftKings lineup

Nice Spurg..

**slayer14** · 03-05-16, 06:50 PM

Sanchez vs miller who wins guys

**shabang** · 03-05-16, 06:50 PM

on saggo next

**JIBBBY** · 03-05-16, 06:50 PM

Saggo ITD in this next fight for me.. No hedge..

**spurginobili** · 03-05-16, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Nice Spurg..

Thanks man, long way to go though

Really need Saggo next. I have him straight ITD & to win in 3 parlays

**plekz** · 03-05-16, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by slayer14

Sanchez vs miller who wins guys

Fk knows, Miller will slow down, Sanchez will not, most of the time it's going to the judges so all depends really if Miller can score enough points before he starts to slow down. I passed on the fight simply because none of them can be trusted.

Sanchez will fight like a moron and Miller will slow down.

**JIBBBY** · 03-05-16, 06:53 PM

Originally posted by spurginobili

Thanks man, long way to go though

Really need Saggo next. I have him straight ITD & to win in 3 parlays

Tell me about it.. Always nice to start off the card with a win to get the ball rolling though..