Here are both my bets and predictions for the upcoming card. Feel free to post yours as well. I'm very interested in seeing what everyone thinks.
Penn/Diaz
- Prediction: Penn by TKO, Round 2 in a surprisingly one-sided fight. I like BJ better everywhere but I'm also a big Diaz fan.
- Bet: BJ Penn (Risk 260 to Win 200 @ -130, 230 to Win 200 @-115)
Meathead/CupCheick
- Prediction: Kongo by KO, Round 1. I like Mittrione A LOT and think he has much, much more upside than Kongo, but he leaves holes in his striking defense and relies more on two or three punch combos than one-hit power, making him potentially vulnerable to a Kongo/Barry-esque moment, although I would be surprised if he gets Kongo in that much trouble. Kongo also has the grappling edge and could win via GNP or UD if he goes that route.
- Bet: Kongo (Risk 100 to Win 110 @ +110)
CroCop/Nelson
- Prediction: Filipovic by TKO, Round 3.
- Bet: Crocop (Risk 100 to Win 220 @ +220)
Jorgenson/Curran
- Prediction: Jorgenson 30-27, but Curran will keep it from being embarrassingly one-sided.
- Bet: NONE
Hioki/Roop
-Prediction: Hioki wins a controversial split decision, forever erasing the notion that judges are anti-Asian and solidifying the theory that grappling and octagon control are often valued higher than effective striking.
-Bet: Roop (Risk 37 to Win 99 @ +275)
Cerrone/Siver
-Prediction: Cerrone by Submission in the first. Cowboy goes for and gets an early takedown and submits Siver within the first half of the round.
-Bet: Cerrone (Risk 120 to Win 50 @ -240)
Griffin/Bartimus
-Prediction: If I were forced to pick a winner and method, I'd say Griffin by UD.
-Bet: Palaszewski (Risk 50 to Win 97)
Vera/Marshall
-Prediction: Vera in an anticlimatic Round 3 stoppage.
-Bet: Marshall (Risk 50 to win 175). Vera would lose to a flagpole two out of ten fights, I see value here.
Nijem/Downes
-Prediction: Stripper Ramsey in a dominant but non-damage inflicting UD.
-Bet: Nijem (Risk 210 to win 100)
Carmont/Carmozzi
-Prediction: Camozzi by KO. I don't know. I should bet my neighbor a bag of potato chips to give me a reason to care (Chael insta-classic quote)
-Bet: One large bag of Sweet Chili Doritos on Camozzi.
Starks/Jacoby
- Prediction: Jacoby by TKO in the 2nd.
- Bet: NONE
I know one and that is that I'll have a hell of a time watching this event. Hope everyone else does too!!