1. 10-14-11 02:29 PM #71
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    I think the main reason to bet against Kampmann is he won his last two fights against grapplers and still lost. Story by undeserved decision.
    ha yeah, but I'd like to think that he is due a decision win just based on law of averages!
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  2. 10-14-11 03:39 PM #72
    Vitooch
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Yep you are right, he certainly could just grind Kampmann against the cage for 3 rounds. For Kampmann backers (such as me) you're basically counting on Kampmann using the Thiago Alves fight as a "how not to fight against Story" guide and to not let Story just keep pressing him against the cage. Unlike Thiago Alves, the Hitman has a much more aggressive submission game, so I expect him to be looking for guillotines as soon as Story puts his neck down to look for a takedown.
    I think story by decision or straight up with a Kampmann by submission hedge would be a solid play. If the fight goes to decision I def see story winning in the fashion mentioned. Also, I don't see kampmann winning by tko.
    Last edited by Vitooch; 10-15-11 at 02:03 PM.
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  3. 10-15-11 07:54 AM #73
    bjpenn85
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    I hope kampann comes inn with a gameplan like brenneman. Story might think kampmann uses his wrestling in reverse like he always do against grapplers and thats why a a gameplan that involve taking story down and basically make a grappling match would suit kampmann perfect. He is clearly the bettor grappler and should dominate story on the ground the way he did against thiago. If story ends up pushing kampmann egainst the fence or even take him down, i think kampmann should just be comfortable with it. Dont spend time and energy to avoid it. Kampmann often is the one that loses time and points even if his opponents doesnt achieve a takedown. He should go for sweeps and submissions and just facking dominate him.
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  4. 10-15-11 10:01 PM #74
    proposition joe
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    Quote Originally Posted by proposition joe View Post
    Added

    Bellator 54

    Vitor Vianna (Risk 25/Win 62)
    Brian Rogers (Risk 45/Win 141)

    M-1 Challenge 27

    Artur Guseinov (Risk 25/Win 38)
    Daniel Madrid (Risk 25/Win 33)
    Mikhail Zayats (Risk 25/Win 61)
    Weekend totals = +$63

    Not bad. Both Zayats and Rogers looked good in losses so I'm pretty happy with the bets in general.
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  5. 10-16-11 12:36 AM #75
    Vaughany
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    Good job, cant complain with 3 out of 5 doggies hitting
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  6. 10-16-11 01:27 PM #76
    proposition joe
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    Added

    UFC 137

    Mirko Crocop (Risk 25/Win 55)
    Donald Cerrone (Risk 120/Win 50)
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  7. 10-20-11 10:18 AM #77
    proposition joe
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    Added

    Bellator 55

    Alexis Vila (Risk 315/Win 100)

    Maybe not the best value but my gut is telling me to go with it.
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  8. 10-20-11 10:37 AM #78
    sirchadwick1
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    Vila is -130 inside the distance at Bodog. Really loving that one.
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  9. 10-20-11 11:53 AM #79
    proposition joe
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    Quote Originally Posted by sirchadwick1 View Post
    Vila is -130 inside the distance at Bodog. Really loving that one.

    Yeah, that's a great line. I'm still thinking about setting up an online account and lines like that tempt me even more.
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