1. #1
    Semt3x
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    Semt3x's MMA Plays

    Instead of making a new thread for each event, I've decided to make one thread to house all my plays.

    UFC on VS6


    A. Johnson (-185)
    P. Sass (+155)
    Cruz wins by decision (-155)
    Barry/Struve go distance (+245)
    Cruz (-465) + Easton (-370)
    Cruz (-465) + Wiman (-220) + Roller (-205)
    A. Johnson (-185) +
    Guillard (-300)
    Wiman (-220) + Aldo (-280)
    A. Johnson (-185) + Cruz by decision (-155) + Guillard (-300) + Aldo (-280)

    Good luck to everybody
    Points Awarded:

    gabe gave Semt3x 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    Semt3x
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    may have a few more props come fight time

  3. #3
    The HOFF
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    Are you betting all the same on these, as in to win 1u on favorites and 1u on underdogs?

  4. #4
    Kaladarus
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    I got a lot of similar plays. Only thing I don't really like is the Barry/Struve decision bet. What's your reasoning on that one? Barry's got the power to finish Struve easily and if Struve is able to get a game plan going and take Barry to the ground I think he will be submitted fairly easily.

    Good luck with your plays though I think you will have a very profitable night.

  5. #5
    Semt3x
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    Quote Originally Posted by The HOFF View Post
    Are you betting all the same on these, as in to win 1u on favorites and 1u on underdogs?
    No, all bets are different amounts. For example i have around around 8u on A. Johnson. Next time ill post betting amounts,
    but i just didn't find it necessary

  6. #6
    Semt3x
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kaladarus View Post
    I got a lot of similar plays. Only thing I don't really like is the Barry/Struve decision bet. What's your reasoning on that one? Barry's got the power to finish Struve easily and if Struve is able to get a game plan going and take Barry to the ground I think he will be submitted fairly easily.

    Good luck with your plays though I think you will have a very profitable night.
    I see it as a good value at that price.
    Both guys are definitely going to be much more tentative

  7. #7
    Semt3x
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    Thinking of adding another straight bet on Yves

    added Cruz/Johnson FOTN (+100)
    Last edited by Semt3x; 10-01-11 at 05:09 PM.

  8. #8
    Semt3x
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    Quote Originally Posted by Semt3x View Post
    UFC on VS6
    A. Johnson (-185)

    P. Sass (+155)
    Cruz wins by decision (-155)

    Barry/Struve go distance (+245)

    Cruz (-465) + Easton (-370)

    Cruz (-465) + Wiman (-220) + Roller (-205)

    A. Johnson (-185)
    +
    Guillard (-300)
    Wiman (-220)
    +
    Aldo (-280)
    A. Johnson (-185) + Cruz by decision (-155)
    +
    Guillard (-300) + Aldo (-280)
    Came out +9.4u, and all my multi event parlays are still alive
    So all and all a good night for me. How'd everyone else fare?

  9. #9
    Kaladarus
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    Nice work Semtex. Seems like many made some decent money on this card.

  10. #10
    JuicedUp
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    great night

  11. #11
    gabe
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    props

  12. #12
    Semt3x
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    Liking Aldo, Guillard, Simpson, Stephens, Maynard, and Santiago so far for next week

  13. #13
    SATERSTYLE
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    Nice job. I ended up doing well with Anthony Johnson. Only other bet was Barry which was very small so it didn't matter to me too much.

    For next week I think I am going to go with Maia and Guillard

  14. #14
    Vaughany
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    Good stuff bruva, especially on Sass

  15. #15
    Semt3x
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    So far I've placed

    Maynard (+130) 3u to win 3.9u
    Stephens (+240) 1.5u to win 3.6u
    Maynard/Edgar starts round 3 (-650) + Aldo/Florian starts round 2 (-306) + Stann/Sonnen starts round 2 (-620)
    5u to win 3.9u
    Last edited by Semt3x; 10-04-11 at 08:40 PM.

  16. #16
    bjpenn85
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    Seems like solid plays

  17. #17
    Semt3x
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    UFC 136

    Maynard (+130) 3u to win 3.9u
    Stephens (+240) 1.5u to win 3.6u
    Simpson (-325) + Aldo/Florian starts round 2 (-306) 6u to win 4.4u
    Maynard/Edgar starts round 3 (-650) + Aldo/Florian starts round 2 (-306) + Stann/Sonnen starts round 2 (-620)
    5u to win 3.9
    Guillard by KO/TKO (-152) 3u to win 2u
    A. Johnson (-185) + Guillard (-300) 3.25u to win 3.95u
    Wiman (-220)
    + Aldo (-280)
    3.25 u to win 3.7u
    A. Johnson (-185) + Cruz by decision (-155)
    + Guillard (-300) + Aldo (-280) 3u to win 10.8u

    Also will add Simpson by decision when the line is released

  18. #18
    Vitooch
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    Very solid picks. Crossing my fingers on Stephens to pull off the upset.

  19. #19
    Semt3x
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    Bellator 53

    Saunders (-175) + Mann (-350) 3.25u to win 3.8u

  20. #20
    Semt3x
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    Simpson/Schafer completes 2 is +160 on bodog, that's a steal.
    Hopefully 5D will be similar when it's put up
    Points Awarded:

    THE_LOCKSMITH gave Semt3x 10 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  21. #21
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by Semt3x View Post
    Simpson/Schafer completes 2 is +160 on bodog, that's a steal.
    Hopefully 5D will be similar when it's put up
    yeah great odds

  22. #22
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    Quote Originally Posted by Semt3x View Post
    Simpson/Schafer completes 2 is +160 on bodog, that's a steal. Hopefully 5D will be similar when it's put up
    thanks for the heads up, i also like this play

  23. #23
    sirchadwick1
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    Bodog's "completes 2 rounds" props are usually great. +160 on Simpson/Schafer is money.

  24. #24
    Semt3x
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    5D still hasn't put it up yet. I hope its just as nice

  25. #25
    Semt3x
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    Added

    Aldo/Florian FOTN 1.5u to win 3u


  26. #26
    Semt3x
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    Good start with Simpson's win

  27. #27
    Vaughany
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    Tht double parlay with Aldo/Florian starting Rnd 2 is looking very strong...need that as well

  28. #28
    Semt3x
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    UFC 136
    Maynard (+130) 3u to win 3.9u
    Stephens (+240) 1.5u to win 3.6u
    Simpson (-325) + Aldo/Florian starts round 2 (-306) 6u to win 4.4u
    Maynard/Edgar starts round 3 (-650) + Aldo/Florian starts round 2 (-306) + Stann/Sonnen starts round 2 (-620) 5u to win 3.9
    Guillard by KO/TKO (-152) 3u to win 2u

    A. Johnson (-185) + Guillard (-300) 3.25u to win 3.95u
    Wiman (-220) + Aldo (-280)
    3.25 u to win 3.7u
    A. Johnson (-185) + Cruz by decision (-155)
    + Guillard (-300) + Aldo (-280) 3u to win 10.8u


    Bellator 53
    Saunders (-175) + Mann (-350) 3.25u to win 3.8u

    Guillard losing really put a damper on my night,
    but i was still able to come ahead +2.05u.


  29. #29
    Semt3x
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    Edgar is definitely a true champ. I don't think i can bet against him ever again

  30. #30
    Semt3x
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    How'd everyone do yesterday?

  31. #31
    JoshB
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    i had a play on maynard-edgar starting the 3rd round also, looking back it was kind of a close call considering Edgar finished him in the very next rd.

  32. #32
    Semt3x
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    So far for UFC 137

    Penn (-120) 3u to win 2.5u
    Hioki (-350) + St. Pierre by decision (-190) 3.1u to win 3u
    Cerrone (-230) + St. Pierre (-440) 7.5u to win 5.7u

  33. #33
    Semt3x
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    Bellator 54
    Nazare + Shlemenko + Baker 4u to win 3.9u

  34. #34
    Semt3x
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    Added
    Cro Cop/Nelson goes distance (+115) 2.5u to win 2.63u

  35. #35
    TheCalculator
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    Quote Originally Posted by Semt3x View Post
    Added
    Cro Cop/Nelson goes distance (+115) 2.5u to win 2.63u
    I've got this one also (plus I threw in a bunch of parlays).

    Both of these guys are tough as nails.

    Another great value for "distance" is Cerrone/Siver.
    Got that one in a bunch.

    I don't think Cerrone will take Siver down. Siver's TDD is one of the best.
    Plus the height difference makes it 4X harder. I can't see a TKO either,
    unless Siver catches Cerrone flush. And I see Cerrone using his reach
    to keep Siver away.

    They will be fighting for points.

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