1. 07-29-11 09:28 PM #1
    rafini
    rafini's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-11
    Posts: 15
    Betpoints: 3134

    Rafini's MMA Picks

    Been lurking on the forums for awhile. Bet a lot of MMA so I figured I'd start posting my picks here.

    Strikeforce
    Fedor 3.94 units to win 1.75 units (Sportbook -225)
    Henderson by decision .5 units to win 2.43 units (5 Dimes +485)


    Upcoming cards already bet on:

    UFC 133
    Hallman .938 units to win 1.5 units (5 Dimes +160) - plan to hedge half a unit on Ebersole
    Hamill .917 units to win 1.5 units (5 Dimes +150, +200) - jumped on it too early, hope to hedge a little off
    Ortiz .75 units to win 2.25 units (Bookmaker +300)


    UFC 137
    Penn 2.19 units to win 1.75 units (Bookmaker -125)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 07-29-11 11:15 PM #2
    Hannibal
    Hannibal's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-15-11
    Posts: 1,055
    Betpoints: 15695

    I have a very similar play on the fedor fight, but got better prices
    Fedor to win at -201, and some of that hedged with hendo dec at +550
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 07-29-11 11:27 PM #3
    jesuseatsnubs
    jesuseatsnubs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-27-11
    Posts: 507
    Betpoints: 2305

    Quote Originally Posted by Hannibal View Post
    I have a very similar play on the fedor fight, but got better prices
    Fedor to win at -201, and some of that hedged with hendo dec at +550
    can I ask what sportsbook u use ?

    Pinnacle does not offer props for MMA .. damit lol

    but always fast payment within minutes .. fast email support .. they just need more betting options for MMA
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 07-29-11 11:43 PM #4
    Hannibal
    Hannibal's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-15-11
    Posts: 1,055
    Betpoints: 15695

    got fedor at that price on pinnacle
    and hendo decision was at 5dimes
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 07-29-11 11:45 PM #5
    rafini
    rafini's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-11
    Posts: 15
    Betpoints: 3134

    Quote Originally Posted by Hannibal View Post
    I have a very similar play on the fedor fight, but got better prices
    Fedor to win at -201, and some of that hedged with hendo dec at +550
    When I first started looking at that play Hendo was at +550, but he dropped by the time I finally pulled the trigger.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 07-30-11 10:51 PM #6
    rafini
    rafini's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-11
    Posts: 15
    Betpoints: 3134

    Live Betting
    Strikeforce
    Tate .6 units to win .5 units (Bookmaker, -120)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 07-31-11 12:02 AM #7
    Kaladarus
    Kaladarus's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-09
    Posts: 1,876
    Betpoints: 1

    Quote Originally Posted by jesuseatsnubs View Post
    can I ask what sportsbook u use ?

    Pinnacle does not offer props for MMA .. damit lol

    but always fast payment within minutes .. fast email support .. they just need more betting options for MMA
    Are you sure you know about cashing out? I don't think losing your money counts as getting paid out... Although I'm sure pinnacle appreciates your repeated donations.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 07-31-11 07:10 AM #8
    rafini
    rafini's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-11
    Posts: 15
    Betpoints: 3134

    RESULTS
    Strikeforce
    Fedor 3.94 units to win 1.75 units (Sportbook -225) - Loss
    Henderson by decision .5 units to win 2.43 units (5 Dimes +485) - Loss
    Tate .6 units to win .5 units (Bookmaker, -120) - Win

    Record: 1-1, -3.94 units
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 07-31-11 12:15 PM #9
    bjpenn85
    bjpenn85's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-11
    Posts: 5,059
    Betpoints: 16650

    rafini, in 50 50 fights do always go for the underdog. Good luck next time!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 07-31-11 12:44 PM #10
    Kaladarus
    Kaladarus's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-09
    Posts: 1,876
    Betpoints: 1

    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    rafini, in 50 50 fights do always go for the underdog. Good luck next time!
    Obviously he didn't handicap this fight at 50/50 and judging from the line movement there was practically nobody that did.

    This is awful advice if you think a fight is 50/50 and someone is +250 you should never "go for the underdog". You should pound the shit out of the underdog.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 08-01-11 02:38 PM #11
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    Quote Originally Posted by Kaladarus View Post
    Obviously he didn't handicap this fight at 50/50 and judging from the line movement there was practically nobody that did.

    This is awful advice if you think a fight is 50/50 and someone is +250 you should never "go for the underdog". You should pound the shit out of the underdog.
    If you think a fight is 50/50 and someone is +250 you should probably rethink your handicapping ability first.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 08-01-11 03:15 PM #12
    PunisherIND
    myles jewry
    PunisherIND's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-24-11
    Posts: 4,934
    Betpoints: 9625

    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    If you think a fight is 50/50 and someone is +250 you should probably rethink your handicapping ability first.
    not necessarily. recent examples:

    leben +210 vs wanderlei
    dan henderson +245 vs fedor
    dos anjos +200 vs sotiropolous
    javier vasquez +210 vs stevenson
    matt brown +220 vs john howard
    clay guida +210 vs pettis

    if you capped any of these fights at 50/50, i would say you are a smart man.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 08-01-11 06:42 PM #13
    bjpenn85
    bjpenn85's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-11
    Posts: 5,059
    Betpoints: 16650

    Punisher, thank you! MMA very different from other sports when it comes to betting!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 08-02-11 03:42 PM #14
    v1y
    v1y's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-02-11
    Posts: 1,138
    Betpoints: 1633

    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    If you think a fight is 50/50 and someone is +250 you should probably rethink your handicapping ability first.
    And my consistent winnings tell me I'm right, and the market is way way off.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 08-04-11 10:24 PM #15
    rafini
    rafini's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-11
    Posts: 15
    Betpoints: 3134

    UFC 133
    Ortiz .75 units to win 2.25 units (Bookmaker +300)
    Hallman .938 units to win 1.5 units (5 Dimes +160) - plan to hedge half a unit on Ebersole
    Hamill .917 units to win 1.5 units (5 Dimes +150, +200)
    added Gustafsson .5 units to win .303 units (Sportsbook -165), now have .614 to win 1 unit on Hamill
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 08-05-11 02:33 AM #16
    bjpenn85
    bjpenn85's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-11
    Posts: 5,059
    Betpoints: 16650

    Big mistake not going big on gustafsson. I really dont understand where your head is at. and ortiz? jesus. youre not thread worthy at all.

    Get back to the classrom and learn, butt off course, good luck!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 08-05-11 02:09 PM #17
    rafini
    rafini's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-11
    Posts: 15
    Betpoints: 3134

    UFC 133
    Ortiz .75 units to win 2.25 units (Bookmaker +300)
    added Evans by decision .975 to win .75 units (Sportsbook -130)

    Hallman .938 to win 1.5 units (5 Dimes +160) - plan to hedge half a unit on Ebersole

    Hamill .917 to win 1.5 units (5 Dimes +150, +200)
    Gustafsson .5 to win .303 units (Sportsbook -165), now have .614 to win 1 unit on Hamill
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 08-06-11 11:44 AM #18
    rafini
    rafini's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-11
    Posts: 15
    Betpoints: 3134

    Ortiz .75 units to win 2.25 units (Bookmaker +300)
    Evans by decision .975 to win .75 units (Sportsbook -130)

    Hallman .938 to win 1.5 units (5 Dimes +160)
    added Ebersole .5 to win .515 unites (5 Dimes +103), now have .4225 to win 1 unit on Hallman

    Hamill .917 to win 1.5 units (5 Dimes +150, +200)
    Gustafsson .5 to win .303 units (Sportsbook -165), now have .614 to win 1 unit on Hamill
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 08-06-11 01:07 PM #19
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Big mistake not going big on gustafsson. I really dont understand where your head is at. and ortiz? jesus. youre not thread worthy at all.

    Get back to the classrom and learn, butt off course, good luck!
    I love it.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 08-06-11 01:11 PM #20
    rafini
    rafini's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-11
    Posts: 15
    Betpoints: 3134

    UFC 133
    Ortiz .75 units to win 2.25 units (Bookmaker +300)
    Evans by decision .975 to win .75 units (Sportsbook -130)

    Hallman .938 to win 1.5 units (5 Dimes +160)
    Ebersole .5 to win .515 unites (5 Dimes +103), now have .4225 to win 1 unit on Hallman

    Hamill .917 to win 1.5 units (5 Dimes +150, +200)
    Gustafsson .5 to win .303 units (Sportsbook -165), now have .614 to win 1 unit on Hamill

    added parley: Ortiz-Evans starts round 2/not Ebersole by sub/not Gustafsson by sub/not Yahya by KO/TKO 2.48 to win 1 unit (5 Dimes)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 08-07-11 03:08 PM #21
    bjpenn85
    bjpenn85's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-11
    Posts: 5,059
    Betpoints: 16650

    u should not have a thread at all man, youre a waste off time
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 08-07-11 07:15 PM #22
    jin2daj
    jin2daj's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-09
    Posts: 816
    Betpoints: 7

    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    u should not have a thread at all man, youre a waste off time
    haha thats mean dude.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 08-10-11 03:46 PM #23
    rafini
    rafini's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-11
    Posts: 15
    Betpoints: 3134

    UFC 133 Results: 1-3, -1.762 units
    Overall: 2-4, -5.702 units

    UFC on Versus
    Figueroa 2.55 to win 1 unit (-255, Bookmaker)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 08-13-11 01:37 PM #24
    rafini
    rafini's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-11
    Posts: 15
    Betpoints: 3134

    UFC on Versus
    Figueroa 2.55 to win 1 unit (-255, Bookmaker)

    added:
    Hardy 1 to win 1 unit (EV, Bodog)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 08-13-11 03:01 PM #25
    rafini
    rafini's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-11
    Posts: 15
    Betpoints: 3134

    UFC on Versus
    Figueroa 2.55 to win 1 unit (-255, Bookmaker)
    Hardy 1 to win 1 unit (EV, Bodog)

    added:
    parlay: Hettes / Henderson-Miller starts round 2 / not Lytle by KO or TKO - 1.98 to win 1 unit (5 Dimes)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 08-14-11 08:02 PM #26
    rafini
    rafini's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-11
    Posts: 15
    Betpoints: 3134

    UFC on Versus
    Figueroa 2.55 to win 1 unit (-255, Bookmaker)
    Hardy 1 to win 1 unit (EV, Bodog)
    parlay: Hettes / Henderson-Miller starts round 2 / not Lytle by KO or TKO - 1.98 to win 1 unit (5 Dimes)

    added:
    parlay: Sadollah / not Hardy by sub / not Henderson by sub / not Oliveria by TKO or KO - 2.47 to win 1 unit (5 Dimes)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Boxing, MMA & UFC Betting | Next Thread »