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It's true that the major run occurs after the halving but you can't go wrong buying a year in advance. The 2016 halving happened July 9, 2016. The price was $660. A year prior, July 9, 2015 it was $420.Originally Posted by bigtymer56
2020 a tad different since there were more ups and downs but jumping in any time a year before the halving to halving can add to profits.
I wasn't around prior to the 2012 halving but jumped in early 2013.
Last edited by raiders72001; 01-11-23 at 12:19 AM.
Gl to you too. I'm not really doing much right now. Just looking around trying to figure out the next tokens with 100x possibilities.
Right now on the heels of the FTX disaster, the term "bull market" and crypto or bitcoin just do not go together.
Not right now and very likely not for at least 6 to 9 more mos, perhaps longer.
Raider, I went back and watched the halving info. The trend appears to be that the price BOTTOMS one year b4 the halving. If true, the price would trough around 3/24/2023.
Raider, I'm convinced we're seeing history. I call this a 1st-semester economics problem. As the money printing continues, BTC price has to go up as an inflation-hedge.
The recent tick up of +8% has me very optimistic. I really think we're witnessing history.
Chucker,
History?
Please explain.
Maybe my comment is being overly dramatic. Just ties to my posts above.
*Think the Fiat money-printing by USA and other nations is unstoppable. Debt ratio out of control. Credit cycle is unwinding.
Maybe I've watched too many finance videos. But I don't think so.
By history, I mean BTC as an antidote to Fiat. If the inflation continues, I can only see the BTC price rising.
BTC to become a way to maintain your purchasing power? Because the USD ain't it.
macro factors in crypto outside BTC are the biggest headwinds the sector has seen since inception.
i'm talking FTX.
it scared the shitt out of too many people.
i am holding tens of thousands of bucks of BTC with a cost base $22K so i need the fugger to run but I am concerned the recent shitstorm will keep it tamed for a couple more years.
i hope to Gawd you are right and i am wrong.
The only thing im worried about because of FTX is regulation speeding up.
On the brightside Homie, people seem to have short memories when it comes to crypto. Give it a few months to year and an increase in prices, the FTX collapse will feel like it happened years ago. People don't seem to mention Celsius and few other lending platforms that went down earlier in the year.
Last edited by bigtymer56; 01-11-23 at 11:23 PM.
I hope you're right.
as long as we don't have to see that POS SBF's face ever again, we can recover.
the difference between FTX and the others who collapsed, is that it was perhaps the biggest whale (fake money we found out) in the industry.
also, i think some regulation will help make digital currency mainstream.
Ask someone who bought btc at its ATH and see if their memory is short. It isn't, the only short is their bankroll.
bitcoin was/is a fun experiment but it will NEVER become mainstream, it may live forever but only as a niche payment system.
You're right, BTC won't be a payment system, but it will be a long term store of value. Its value will only increase over time because there are enough people that believe the story and there are billions of people who have never heard of it yet.
Payment systems (there will be many) will be forged out of another project. Pick a car and get on the train
I made my first BTC buy last Jan at ~45K.
i kept averaging down all the way until my average dropped to 22K.
I am done now. I am still down on paper ~15% but i am done now.
so i understand what you are saying.
i have no appetite to add to my position even if it drops to 15K right now.
if it drops to 10K or so, i take a hard look at adding to the position to reduce my cost basis.
the appetite has to be very low for most folk right now.
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There are more whole coiners now than before, people are the wising up to the cycles
BTC up almost 25% in the past week
Wheels are in motion, Ed.BTC up almost 25% in the past week
Nice call.
Bitcoin will drop huge this weekend. It will be worth about 2 dollars by Tuesday at 10 a.m.
nice rally here
at 25k btc would really wake people up and get some FOMO back
Hope so, Mike. Of course, I'm bullish.
Happy 2023. Go, Bucks.
Most people out of the game they got flushed out
where you living these days chucky?
i'm down in the redneck riviera/new orleans for a while, then hawaii
Oh, wow. That sounds awesome.
Was just out in Vegas for first time in 3 years. Just for relaxation. I forgot how loud it gets there.
Would love to do Vegas/Hawaii in March. Everyone has their preference. I think Kauai is phenomenal.
some of the golf on kauai is unreal
Wow. I'm very jealous. Enjoy your trip.
BTC price challenging 21,000 right now.
a buddy of mine is a big crypto bull but he says be careful about this latest run.
he says if you look back at big runs early in the year, it is likely because of taxes due 03/15 and 04/15 and some whales sell so they can take the profits and pay the tax man.
this is his theory. he is a believer in bitcoin though.
let's watch this trend he is talking about.
yup it touched 21,011 and then the computers kicked in and sold it back down to 21,900 LOL
21,000 creased. To your point, yes, you have to wonder about certain marks triggering computer algorithms.
Think it's a good time for most posters to buy some BTC. At least get off zero.
I really think the FTX fallout is a trigger for the BTC price to go north. People should be waking up to this concept of self-custody.
Count up the exchanges that have crumbled. Celsius, BlockFi, FTX.
ftx has absolutely nothing to do with Bitcoin
i meant 20,900
Crypto is one of the most asymmetrical bets you can make right now. DYOR but get in the game and pay attention
Get some, Ram.
Raiders, chime in, pal.
Locked and loaded.
Salud, Raiders.
I've been enjoying the uptick. Small pullback in L24 hours.
These politicians are unbelievable. Then again, what else should we expect?
https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/20/polit...ntv/index.html
I hope it levels out a bit as this is the top of my planned buying range and I would still like to gather a bit more.
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