[Grivas_Digeni]

I want +200 on Federer, +6000 on Thiem

I'll risk up to 4000 on Fed and up to 400 on Thiem.

[Grivas_Digeni]

current 5dimes odds +197 and +6000 respectively

[moojoo]

Grivas check pm.

[yisman]

I'll do it.

[Grivas_Digeni]

yisman, we have a bet

My sides are 4000 to win 8000 on Federer
400 to win 24000 on Thiem

sending points now

[yisman]

ok.

[cincinnatikid513]

i'm just curious if u took the 4000 and bet it all each federer match would it pay more than 2-1 over 7 matches

[yisman]

i'm just curious if u took the 4000 and bet it all each federer match would it pay more than 2-1 over 7 matches

it might

depends on Federer's opponents in the later rounds

[Optional]

it might

depends on Federer's opponents in the later rounds

v Bedene he is -10000
v Soon or Struff -2000
v Gasquet -500
v Roanic or Querrey -250
v Del Potro or Goffin -180
v Zverev or Djokovic -150
v Nadal in final -120


I think that would be about his highest paying run. If those odds are anywhere near close (which they may not be) it would be +747

[cincinnatikid513]

i think he's at least -1000 against gasquet

[yisman]

I'll try and keep track using Heritage odds.


first round:
#1) ATP Grand Slams Tennis
Selection : R. Federer 1/16/2018 0:00AM - (PST) Money Line -7000 for Game

[yisman]

round 2 against Struff:

#1) ATP Grand Slams Tennis
Selection : R. Federer 1/18/2018 1:30AM - (PST) Money Line -4000 for Game

[Grivas_Digeni]

Can you do Thiem too?

round 2 against Struff:

#1) ATP Grand Slams Tennis
Selection : R. Federer 1/18/2018 1:30AM - (PST) Money Line -4000 for Game

[yisman]

Can you do Thiem too?

I was doing Federer from the beginning. I didn't see Thiem's lines the first two rounds.

[Optional]

He won't be playing Raonic or Querrey in round of 16 now, so those odds probably end up being worse than -1000 too now

[yisman]

everything turning up roses for Federer

[cincinnatikid513]

might as well just put federer and nadal in the final no need play anymore matches

[yisman]

Thiem very fortunate to advance to the third round.

[yisman]

Thiem -285 third round

#1) ATP Grand Slams Tennis
Selection : R. Federer 1/19/2018 12:00PM - (PST) Money Line -1000 for Game

[Grivas_Digeni]

Thiem was -310 first round and -800 second round

Kudla got tired in the third set, had every chance to lose the +7.5 as Thiem was only growing stronger As the match went on.

I love how efficient Federer is. He has by far the most service games won in under 60 seconds each in the history of the sport, someone should round up this stat. Betting him on the spread however is an entirely different matter... his opponents don't get a chance to tire during return games (see previous sentence) and they serve just as well in third set as in the first. Watching his second round match I couldn't believe that A) Struff was getting +8.5 games and B) I paid a tipster who picked Fed -8.5 as his larger bet

[cincinnatikid513]

Thiem was -310 first round and -800 second round

Kudla got tired in the third set, had every chance to lose the +7.5 as Thiem was only growing stronger As the match went on.

I love how efficient Federer is. He has by far the most service games won in under 60 seconds each in the history of the sport, someone should round up this stat. Betting him on the spread however is an entirely different matter... his opponents don't get a chance to tire during return games (see previous sentence) and they serve just as well in third set as in the first. Watching his second round match I couldn't believe that A) Struff was getting +8.5 games and B) I paid a tipster who picked Fed -8.5 as his larger bet

love fed think one weakness i have seen over the years is roger not breaking opponents serves as often as a nadal or joker

[Optional]

i think he's at least -1000 against gasquet

#1) ATP Grand Slams Tennis
Selection : R. Federer 1/19/2018 12:00PM - (PST) Money Line -1000 for Game

[cincinnatikid513]

i see a 17-2 h2h record for fed with a set advantage of 40 sets to gasquets 6 sets yup business as usual for fed he will likely get the hungarian kid who has some game fucsovics but that will be another slaughter 3-0 then in the quarters winner of berd del potro berd feds owns del potro sometimes gives fed problems joker or zverev in the semis and if he gets thru that nadal rematch in the finals

will guess -1000 gasquet -2000 fucovics -500 del potro -200 joker -150 nadal

[cincinnatikid513]

just a little off fed -4000 5dimes hungarian kid

[yisman]

fourth round

Thiem -790

Federer -4495

[cincinnatikid513]

Federer -590 5dimes against berdych, i can actually see fed losing his first set in this match of the tournament,

[Optional]

+200 starting to look pretty good

[yisman]

Thiem took out my parlays. Have to hit six 6 teamers at Nitrogen during the AO and you were only allowed 2 wins during the first 3 rounds.

[cincinnatikid513]

+200 starting to look pretty good

i'm not good enough at math but if you started with 4000 and bet it all each match u telling me it won't equal up to +200 what's fed line vs chung in semi's -300 and in final against nadal or grigor -150 -200

[yisman]

I'll try and keep track using Heritage odds.


first round:
#1) ATP Grand Slams Tennis
Selection : R. Federer 1/16/2018 0:00AM - (PST) Money Line -7000 for Game

round 2 against Struff:

#1) ATP Grand Slams Tennis
Selection : R. Federer 1/18/2018 1:30AM - (PST) Money Line -4000 for Game

Thiem -285 third round

#1) ATP Grand Slams Tennis
Selection : R. Federer 1/19/2018 12:00PM - (PST) Money Line -1000 for Game

just a little off fed -4000 5dimes hungarian kid

So far if you parlayed these, you'd have roughly -580 (roughly 689 profit from the original 4k bet).

With Berdych, you'd have a 1483 profit, making it about -270 for Federer to reach the semifinals.

Ranked opponents left are Nadal, Cilic, and Dimitrov.

Federer would be over -1000 against the other three.

If he beats Berdych, he gets Sandgren or Chung, where he'd be well over -1000.

Then in the finals, it would be either Nadal, Cilic, Dimitrov, or Edmund.

[Grivas_Digeni]

Federer -590 5dimes against berdych, i can actually see fed losing his first set in this match of the tournament,

If you think that will happen, put 50% of your bankroll on Tie-Break YES

[yisman]

50% rather aggressive

[Optional]

If you think that will happen, put 50% of your bankroll on Tie-Break YES

50% rather aggressive

Like the bet though. Fed not the most prolific breaker and Berdych strength is serve.

-180 at a local book here.

or +225 if you pick the set it happens in. Means you can get -118 for a TB in either Set 1 or 2

Berdy +245 to win first set

[cincinnatikid513]

Like the bet though. Fed not the most prolific breaker and Berdych strength is serve.

-180 at a local book here.

or +225 if you pick the set it happens in. Means you can get -118 for a TB in either Set 1 or 2

Berdy +245 to win first set

yo optional mr australia what we looking at for ticket prices another federer nadal final ? i'm sure last years final wasn't cheap to attend

[cincinnatikid513]

fed -150 now to win tournament w 3 matches to go