1. #1
    ryanXL977
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    bad beat

    is haren slowing down? is there evidence of this? is webb?
    i tend to think haren is, he has before

  2. #2
    fifawcs
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    i dunno, but if I had to choose a side, it would be dodgers

  3. #3
    BadBeatBodog
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    Well we had a short discussion on Haren a couple weeks ago I believe. Haren has shown somewhat of a history of slowing down but in every case his BAbip blew up. And it's happening again this year. I can't really say if the inflated BAbip is part of him slowing down or partly the reason. I can say that this would be more of a trend, and more alarming, if his BAbip did not rise so much.

    As for Webb, the guy has pitched lights out all year. Even the best pitchers, in their best years, have off games. I would imagine it's impossible to have your best, or above-average stuff, every fifth day.

  4. #4
    ryanXL977
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    webb will be fine, i agree
    but i think its becoming clear that haren is slowing down
    i still think he is no worse then lowe
    and, at his best, better than lowe

  5. #5
    ryanXL977
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    for some reason haren is allowing about 10 hits per start, he walks nobody, allows no homers, but the hits are falling
    now, i know your stats show this is random and lucky, but is it possible its not random?

  6. #6
    BadBeatBodog
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    That's what I'm saying. It's hard for me to know if the high BAbip (hits falling in) is because his stuff isn't as good (arm fatigue?), or he's going through an unlucky patch. When I have more time I will look up his recent games and see if his fastball speed is down and his secondary pitches are not moving as much with PitchFX.

  7. #7
    ryanXL977
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    i think he is tiring, and i watch most dbacks games, probably my 2nd fave natl league team after the phils

    and i am worried about that team, if webb is tiring, and i dont think he is, then we have trouble
    cant lose 2 cy young type sps and be ok right?

    so is lad the play or no play?

  8. #8
    Dashwood Clipper
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    I would say that hes either wearing down a little or his delivery is out of whack. He has a funky delivery that is deceptive when he is on. I havent watched his last few outings, so just throwing it out there.

  9. #9
    BadBeatBodog
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    I'm staying away from the game because I don't know what to think of Haren right now. Normally I would be playing the DBacks because I think they are the better team with the better SP, if only slightly. And the DBacks feast on finesse ground ball pitchers, although Lowe is no ordinary pitcher. And the fact that I believe Lowe is underrated based on his surface stats further makes this a no play for me. Last week when it was Lowe @ Haren I played on Haren and lost badly.

  10. #10
    BadBeatBodog
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    It's possible to look up if his arm slot has been inconsistent, pitch speeds down, and pitch movement less, but I am lazy and short on time right now

  11. #11
    ryanXL977
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    i agree with everything you said

    but lowe was vs webb last week, not haren

  12. #12
    BadBeatBodog
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    Woops. Yeah that was it

  13. #13
    ryanXL977
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    i think this is the exact spot that bettors need to do haren
    everyone in the world is paying attn to his last 3 starts
    well, how many times have we seen good sps bounce back
    i am a big fan of az and i think they are better than lad
    pen, defense, all around.

    well, pen

    not sure on defense

    f inglett

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