I am going to be betting spring training and keeping my records here. Basicly I am just looking at the lineups and going from there if I think the price is off.
Today I have:
Pirates -105
Rangers -125
Royals +120
White Sox +108
My favorite play would definitly be the white sox. White sox going with pretty much their opening day lineup today with Edwin Jackson while the Reds trot out their D lineup. Actualy I like all of them. Good luck if you tail even though its dumb spring training im fairly certain I will beat all closing lines.
Good luck today. I was just trying to see if these exhibition games are much more erratic/violatile as far as lines are concerned compared to the reg season.
Well started out 2-2 for a profit of .15 units. I'm also going to recap the line which I bet and the pinnacle closing line. I'm betting 5 cent lines on each side with a local, so i'm paying a little bit less juice than pinny but it will be close. Also the lines move very quickly on this site so its not like im betting stale lines.
So it looks like between my 4 bets I gained 43 cents of line value, pretty good. I will continue to post here daily, and hopefuly get something profitable going.
Orioles -110. Twins traveling 140 miles to Fort Lauderdale and Kubel played yesterday, no way Thome makes this trip, this lineup is going to be UGLY I think. While Orioles have their opening day lineup pretty much with their best pitcher pitching. This line should be more like 125-130 imo.
Pirates +125....About as big of a dog as you can be in ST, and I have no idea why. Blue Jays starting Eric Thames David Cooper J Mcdonald Ryan Budde and J Diaz. Pirates brought along a lot of their decent players, I think Pirates should be about +110 here.
Astros +111. This line opened Astros -125 on Bookmaker. No idea why its +111 now. The Astros lineup is pretty bad. The list of pitchers pitching for the Astros today is pretty bad. But the Marlins are hitting Ozzie Martinez 2 Scott Cousins 3 and Joe Thurston 5. Not to mention their 6-9 hitters. This is a coinflip, and I'll take the +111.
So we lost 11 cents of value on the Astros, that line was baffling to me, FLA and Astros both had subpar lineups and subpar pitchers. This was a coinflip game if there ever was one. Orioles was my favorite play. And was the only one that really steamed in my favor so the -110 line was off like I thought. They got 22 ab's from their top 8 hitters who are all everyday players come april. They just didnt get any hits, while the Twins had 3 regulars and 2 of those were light hitting middle infielders. Definitly was on the right side of this one even though it lost. I'll be back tommorrow.
Only one play today Seattle +105. I put the play in a couple hours ago, it looks like its -103 now id prolly play it still but just barely. I def wouldnt be playing it at -120 if you dont have cheap juice.
0-1 today to bring the YTD to 4-5 for -.59 units. But once again I was right, Seattle +105 was a super bad line, and it closed at seattle -110. The lines were a lot tighter today I found 5 plays the first 2 days but only once today. But I feel confident in saying tail me, because I think I have something here, beating the closing line consistently.
We split on our last 2 plays, to bring the YTD to 5-6 for -.03 units. 4 plays today so far
Pirates +144 (I like this one the most, the Pirates lineup is way better than the twins lineup.)
Dodgers +120
Tigers -115
Reds +116
To answer a question from above, all I do is in the morning, look at all the lineups and all the probable pitchers and go from there. Like in the Pirates game the Pirates are starting a very decent lineup (for them) and the Twins are starting 3 everyday players and 2 of them are middle infielders. No way the Pirates should be getting +144 here should be more like +115.
3-1 today for a profit of 2.65 units to bring the YTD to 8-7 for a profit of 2.62 units. We beat the closing line on 3/4 games today, for some reason the Dodgers line went up a bit, and then they won 7-1.
1 play so far today, Brewers +120. Havent seen the pitchers yet, but the lineups are about equaly as bad. Not in love with this one but I think the Brewers are 50/50 here. Looks like a slow day this might be the only play.
One play so far today, Indians +115. Indians have a better lineup then the cubs, although the Indians pitchers today scare me. Not in love with it but I think the Indians are almost 50/50 to win game.
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Spring Training (YTD 0-0)
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