1. #1
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Friday - Pair of 5's Sir

    Yesterday there were a few close games. Nevertheless, a profitable day. Let's recap yesterday's selections.

    SFO +180 (W)
    ATL +195 (L)
    SEA -106 (L)
    MIN +155 (W)

    +1.29 units for the day
    Risked 4.06 units to win 6.30

    Overall 13-10 56.52 % +6.76 units

    Favorites 5-1 83.33% +3.94 units

    Dogs 8-9 47.06% +2.82 units

    Thanks for following the thread.
    Last edited by Pair of 5s Sir; 08-22-08 at 03:23 AM.

  2. #2
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Contrarian Look

    I hope everyone had a profitable day yesterday. As you can see, I am pleased with yesterday's results.

    At this time of the day, I am starting to cap games. LAD/PHI gets a look. Statistics are pointing in the direction of Maddux and the Dodgers. Public is going to see PHI slumping, as of late, beating up on SDG and WAS. Additionally, they will be pounding the obvious on the recent heads up roadtrip.

    PHI 3-12 at home as the small favorite.

    Slight confirmation on the line, waiting as the day gets closer to gametime.

    PHI on the radar (metaphor Mr. Lock)
    Last edited by Pair of 5s Sir; 08-22-08 at 01:53 PM.

  3. #3
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Contrarian Look II

    Let's look at PIT/MIL and the huge prices. PIT is getting +240 on the road. MIL is on top statistically - pitching, team record, and heads up. No wonder they set the line in outer space, watch this one carefully. Early line confirmation is established. Will continue to watch as gametime approaches.

    Just remember fellas, my explanations of the contrarian selection is not all inclusive, but I can assure you that other contrarian indicators are being reviewed. I just don't feel like writing a novel on this stuff.

    I recently had a one on one conversation with TheLock regarding my selections. Have a look at PIT. We will talk later.
    Last edited by Pair of 5s Sir; 08-22-08 at 01:54 PM.

  4. #4
    I LUV (.) (.)
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    remember brewers bush is from pittsburg


  5. #5
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Quote Originally Posted by I LUV (.) (.) View Post
    With all due respect, how should that impact anyones decision.

  6. #6
    ryanXL977
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    how about the royals pair of 5s

  7. #7
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Quote Originally Posted by ryanXL977 View Post
    how about the royals pair of 5s
    Some contrarian indicators, not exclusive as is required to make a play. I pass on the game. Thanks for asking.

  8. #8
    ryanXL977
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    certainly contrarian indicators alone cant determine who wins a baseball game? i assume you are betting on if the line is simply too large given the odds? is this correct?

  9. #9
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Quote Originally Posted by ryanXL977 View Post
    certainly contrarian indicators alone cant determine who wins a baseball game? i assume you are betting on if the line is simply too large given the odds? is this correct?
    Absolutely, as I mentioned previously, my criteria in a nutshell would be contrarian indicators matched against value. Does that help?
    Last edited by Pair of 5s Sir; 08-22-08 at 04:31 PM.

  10. #10
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Line Confirmation

    Still looking at PHI and PIT. Line confirmation is established. Stay tuned to the thread fellas for final selection.

  11. #11
    Kingctb27
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    Interested to see your picks...

    Got a question though... I know your picks are on the contrary to public opinion, but You don't think there is value in Oswalt vs the Mets tonight at +190?

  12. #12
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kingctb27 View Post
    Interested to see your picks...

    Got a question though... I know your picks are on the contrary to public opinion, but You don't think there is value in Oswalt vs the Mets tonight at +190?
    The contrarian indicators do not line up. Oswalt shows some positive leading statistics compared to Santana. The indicators line up on "both sides" of the selection, thus no pick.

  13. #13
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Selection

    Money pouring in on Maddux, take PHI -108.

  14. #14
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Selection II

    Here we go boys, the dog play of the night. The contrarian indicators trigger with line confirmation, enabling a play on PIT

    PIT +230

  15. #15
    TheLock
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    I really like Pitt as the tremendo dog. Good luck.

    I'm sorry that the Nats/Cubs didn't cause a big enough blip on the contrarian radar.

    Hopefully you gave that game a long look after our discussion this morning.

    Lets go Phillies/Pirates!

  16. #16
    TheLock
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    Pitt swallowing a giant bottle of suck in the 4th inning.

  17. #17
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    PIT

    At least they did not blow it wide open.

  18. #18
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Selection III

    Lay the dough on LAA. MIN is on the 3 streak, go contrarian, take LAA -the big price.

  19. #19
    ryanXL977
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    that i cannot do. i just cant. go twins

  20. #20
    sickness
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    laa losing to 2 in a row @ home?

    unlikely...

  21. #21
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Quote Originally Posted by ryanXL977 View Post
    that i cannot do. i just cant. go twins
    good luck to you. Perhaps the contrarian will be wrong.

  22. #22
    TheLock
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    Pirates move to within 1

    4-3 Brew Crew

  23. #23
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheLock View Post
    Pirates move to within 1

    4-3 Brew Crew
    They're giving us a nice ride for +230.

  24. #24
    ryanXL977
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    Quote Originally Posted by sickness View Post
    laa losing to 2 in a row @ home?

    unlikely...
    they only have to lose one, today
    the fact that they are consecutive only adds to the value on the twins

  25. #25
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Quote Originally Posted by ryanXL977 View Post
    they only have to lose one, today
    the fact that they are consecutive only adds to the value on the twins
    Ryan, that's one of the criteria for contrarian plays. It appears to the public that a major value exists. Let's give it a whirl and see. I wish you luck.

  26. #26
    ryanXL977
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    i am not saying twins win or lose, i am merely saying twins+170 is value to me, no matter who they play, no matter where
    angels may well win, they probably will, but at +170, its not a bad risk
    you are on fire so i aint ripping you, i just like the twinkies tonites

  27. #27
    TheLock
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  28. #28
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    It's Official

    PHI romps for the win.

    PHI -108

    In a tight one with PIT +230. They are keeping it close.

    Stay threaded boys, 1-0 so far this evening.

  29. #29
    TheLock
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    I still like the pick but Pitt just finished off the giant glass of suck in Milwaukee

    7-3 Brew Crew in the 8th

  30. #30
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheLock View Post
    I still like the pick but Pitt just finished off the giant glass of suck in Milwaukee

    7-3 Brew Crew in the 8th
    What are your thoughts on LAA

  31. #31
    TheLock
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pair of 5s Sir View Post
    What are your thoughts on LAA

    Really didn't look at this game too much but as a previous poster mentioned, LAA has a pitching edge at home so I don't hate it.

    But LAA having a pitching edge at home is not exactly the contrarian angle so take it for what it's worth.

  32. #32
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    It's Official

    The day resulted in 1-2 for the day.

    PHI -108 (W)
    PIT +230 (L)
    LAA -175 (L)

    -1.75 units, Risked 3.83 units, to win 4.30 units

    Overall
    14-12 53.85% +5.01 units

    Favorites
    6-2 75.00% +3.19 units

    Dogs
    8-10 44.44% +1.82 units

    Let's getem tomorrow.

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