on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units

[dlunc3]

will we be playing milw again? (i cant remember how we did it last yr).. I guess prob just add what we lost back into our lines and forget that series?

[swordsandtequila]

will we be playing milw again? (i cant remember how we did it last yr).. I guess prob just add what we lost back into our lines and forget that series?

Yep, MIL will be a (B) bet.

[WVU9494]

But is it moneyline or RL ?

[xgame]

But is it moneyline or RL ?

This time I think is ML

[WVU9494]

Thanks for the heads up on this system, did very well tonight.

Hey guys, if anyone is interested in supplementing their earnings with this system check out Dexter's 2012 MLB plays thread. I am going to be only playing his A3 bets which have been hitting over 70% for the past 2 years combined. I am personally playing this sytem, and system integrity as well.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-b...plays-p16.html

[alxsamsonov]

Thanks for the heads up on this system, did very well tonight.

it was never really in doubt as both pitchers came into the game with good stats in their previous few. that A3 saved my whole night.

[CrazyCarl]

Whoops. Accidentally played the ML.

Will probably hop on the B bet as well just because I'm greedy.

[redsox3g2]

Whoops. Accidentally played the ML.

Will probably hop on the B bet as well just because I'm greedy.

Haha same here

[CrazyCarl]

For anyone who likes to put in the bets overnight (like I usually do), looks like tomorrow's plays are:

Milwaukee (B)
Tampa Bay (A) o/u 8
Detroit (A) o/u 8.5 (raised a whole point from 7.5, very possible this could hit 9 so watch that for the filtered play)

Also, Cleveland should be a play if they go over 145 (they are 130 right now). Since this series is against my Royals, who have lost like 10 straight, I'm playing this regardless of what the line says.

Keep in mind this isn't an official post, just trying to help out anyone who likes to try to get in their bets early.

[moshi]

^Thanks Carl. I think you're spot on. My bookie has Cleveland as a play atm, and from what I can gather, play Detroit on the RL.

[darkmatter117]

Cleveland is still only -131 at 5dimes. It's probably a good play, but I don't think it will become an official one.

[thelimit0310]

Definately interested in seeing thelimits results and new ideas, as the.nba results are brilliant. On the other hand the jm NBA system was severely flawed and needed to be fixed, as thelimit was able to do. This system on the other hand is already brilliant and while we should all always be looking for ways to make more money, I hope the research and findings don't come off as a negative towards on3. This thread that he runs is in my opinion maybe the best thread on this site. The labby lines he runs provide an amazing way of making money at very low risk. It is perfect for this site as many people have a very hard time with money management. On3 lays things out.perfect and I give.him a ton of credit for that. Again, I am all for new ways to maximize profit, but by no means is this system flawed the way it is right now and regardless of the new findings by thelimit, I hope on3 continues the great thing.he has going here with this system and his labby lines.. thanks on3 and thelimit for the.research and work you both put in.

Couldn't agree more!

[on3]

im holding off on TB because it is sitting at -142 @ 5 dimes and an o/u of 8. my filter usually being the o/u 9 of making it official on borderline plays. if the line hits -150, i will update the post. until then, only 2 plays today.

System record 22-0-0; 6-0-0
Units +16
1 unit = $20

4/24

#23 -- houston @ MIL -138 (B)
#24 -- seattle @ DET -185 (A) -- o/u 8

Game 1 win = 13-10; 4-2
Game 2 win = 7-2; 2-0
Game 3 win = 2-0; 0-0

Labby Line (regular)

10-37-26-42
x-10-10-26
10-10-10-10

shuffle

15-22-21-22
20-10-10-41
10-10-10-10

Labby Line (filter)

x-10-15-x

MIL to win 61
DET to win 37

[Valand]

Is it ML on both?

[carlitosgarcia]

im holding off on TB because it is sitting at -142 @ 5 dimes and an o/u of 8. my filter usually being the o/u 9 of making it official on borderline plays. if the line hits -150, i will update the post. until then, only 2 plays today.

System record 22-0-0; 6-0-0
Units +16
1 unit = $20

4/24

#23 -- houston @ MIL -138 (B)
#24 -- seattle @ DET -185 (A) -- o/u 8

Game 1 win = 13-10; 4-2
Game 2 win = 7-2; 2-0
Game 3 win = 2-0; 0-0

Labby Line (regular)

10-37-26-42
x-10-10-26
10-10-10-10

shuffle

15-22-21-22
20-10-10-41
10-10-10-10

Labby Line (filter)

x-10-15-x

MIL to win 61
DET to win 37

tampa is -150... isnt it a play?

[oklahoma]

tampa is -150... isnt it a play?

Did you read his first sentence? And since that post was made the line has gone down even more to -140 at 5dimes.

[SkivChef]

Why not do -1rl on the large favs like yesterday?

[darkmatter117]

It's down to -140 at 5dimes. It just depends on your book. I played it last night because I thought it opened around -150, but Vegas Insider says it opened around -130.

[Nino7]

Is it ML on both?

yes its always ML unless its specified

[WVU9494]

Calm down clown. Someone posted that Tampa was a play. I bet on tampa thinking it was a play due to that post, hopefully it wins

QUOTE=oklahoma;14548970]Did you read his first sentence? And since that post was made the line has gone down even more to -140 at 5dimes.[/QUOTE]

[oklahoma]

Calm down clown. Someone posted that Tampa was a play. I bet on tampa thinking it was a play due to that post, hopefully it wins

Cool, betting plays based on random posters. Bet the Astros next week, theyre my super early advanced play.

[darrendice]

Based on the original Rizz system Tampa is a play as that is based on the opening line -148. Are we placing our bets on the opening line or or if at some point it fits the required odds?

[J.M. Disciple]

I think I was the one that said TB. I seen it at -150 and thought it was going to be a play based on the opening lines. I am on it myself for a couple units. I guess we need to get it cleared up wether we are basing it on opening lines or not... Its probably in this thread some where.

System integrity is based off opening lines, so figure it should be the same here... all depends on how the back test was done from previous seasons. I think its more a judgement thing really.

I am not too worried when the labby makes all losses back anyways. I just think it will add more profit to the system.

GOOD LUCK
JMD

[moshi]

I asked this before but no one answered: which book are you guys using? As different bookies have different lines, this is making things confusing if we all use different books to find the plays.

[darkmatter117]

I originally backtested using closing lines of -150 or higher on home and road teams. I found I did not have the availability to follow the lines all day to see who ended up there so I then backtested against opening lines at pinnacle which yielded very similar results, so I just play based on opening lines now.

Translation: If you played Tampa, you're fine.

[CrazyCarl]

Calm down clown. Someone posted that Tampa was a play. I bet on tampa thinking it was a play due to that post, hopefully it wins

Did you read his first sentence? And since that post was made the line has gone down even more to -140 at 5dimes.

Cool, betting plays based on random posters. Bet the Astros next week, theyre my super early advanced play.

Based on the original Rizz system Tampa is a play as that is based on the opening line -148. Are we placing our bets on the opening line or or if at some point it fits the required odds?

Yeah, I was just posting that there for people that like to get the plays in early (and I even said it was not official at all). Note that getting the plays in early means it's less certain that they are official, since on3 likes to wait to see the line change if they are official.

Based on the opening, TB looked like a sure play.

[O]

I asked this before but no one answered: which book are you guys using? As different bookies have different lines, this is making things confusing if we all use different books to find the plays.

This is why we should wait for On3's plays and allow On3 to run HIS thread instead of every action junkie who can wait to hit the "wager" button post what they think. Prospective plays are fine but not posting plays specific to this system. I have seen On3 deviate from the system in very unique circumstances and it has paid off. Let the man do his thing people.

[J.M. Disciple]

I think on3 should post the plays as early as possible, so we can perhaps get the best line as possible.

[O]

I think on3 should post the plays as early as possible, so we can perhaps get the best line as possible.

Well, not sure what to say as now I am cluttering the thread, but this is kinda crazy. We all would LOVE to have a chance of getting the best odds but the reality is it shifts daily and most likely (I have no clue) evens out over the season in that some become larger favs and some become lesser favs.

In my eyes that is a moot point bc I, like 98% of the others on this thread, are doing nothing to help the case and just wanna say "what are the plays?" Some don't even take the time to learn the betting system or the system in general. "Are we betting the O/U because the line is 9.5?" "Do we lick azz because the lady on the subway put her but in my face?" Seriously. They see one thing .... 194-8 and say""I'm in, where do I send my money!"

lastly, I do not know On3 personally so for all I know he has 4 jobs, 9 kids and 6 alimony checks to meet each month and this is his only enjoyment. To rush a man that is doing us all a favor for my personal gain is a bit beyond me. My 2 euros.

[csavoia]

This is my first time on here following on3. What are the plays? The teams in caps?

[Gndias]

csavoia.....you just have 22 pages to read mate

[O]

This is my first time on here following on3. What are the plays? The teams in caps?

the teams all the way at the bottom.... Mil and Det.

[Gndias]

I think on3 should post the plays as early as possible, so we can perhaps get the best line as possible.

early doesn't mean better odds...took tampa when line opened and its gone way up on the last hour...

[moshi]

This is why we should wait for On3's plays and allow On3 to run HIS thread instead of every action junkie who can wait to hit the "wager" button post what they think. Prospective plays are fine but not posting plays specific to this system. I have seen On3 deviate from the system in very unique circumstances and it has paid off. Let the man do his thing people.

Isn't the point of sharing how the system works so ANYONE can figure out what the plays are? I think its good that on3 confirms the plays so there's a clear record but we don't all run on the same schedule. Some people like to get their plays early and, particularly in reference to the early games, different timezones mean that my bookie may have closed before on3 gets a chance to post the final plays.

[on3]

CLARIFYING POST:

everyone in this thread knows (or should know) the premise of the system. you know what triggers a play and what doesnt. if your book has tampa (or whatever team) as a -200 favorite, go ahead and play it, there is no harm chasing a good team at home when you consider the labby rules.

i explained how i decide on whether or not a borderline team becomes a play and that is based on the o/u 9 filter. to me, that is the best risk/reward method i have. if you want to take more risk, then do so, again, no harm in chasing a good team at home -- just manage your bank roll.

at the end of the day, the only thing i am doing is making that UNITS: +XX figure get bigger and bigger, week by week. and since i am posting the plays, running the labby, adjusting the rules, EVERYTHING is colored by my bias. i just hope that most of you respect my opinions and biases and trust that the units will keep growing.

if someone wants to open up an "opening favorite -130 favorite, super agressive system" thread -- go ahead. no one is stopping you. you all know the rules and can play the system however you wish, a few units one way or the other will not break this system. but if you trust me and my money management, then follow the thread and stop with the banter.