I like the Reds/Brewers Over 8.5 today! Homer Bailey is the injury replacement starter called up from AAA today for the Reds vs CC Sabathia. Bailey hasn't won a game at any level since April and sports a 8.76 ERA. Sabathia typically owns the Reds but they just faced him 2 weeks ago and Baker has said he will stack the lineup w/righties today and they've generally hit lefties decent this year. The Reds are 18-13 Over vs lefties and 7-4 in July. The Brewers are 9-3 Over in July and 8-4 Over at home w/totals of 8-8.5! The Brewers lousy bullpen makes it interesting late but the Brewers avoid the sweep by beating up Mr. Bailey today!
Looks good on paper. I want to play the Brewers with this pitching match-up but I'm a little hesitant on the Run Line for some reason. I may end up parlaying Brewers and the over and TB FF.