[R3Sports]

Thoughts on this game?

[Clueless_Norway]

On the hot Mets, but not the RL. Cook is a good pitcher so this one should stay close...

[R3Sports]

Your on the ML here? (-150)?

[chipski]

like rocks +1.5 on parlays ..

[R3Sports]

I see, interesting.

[BadBeatBodog]

I'm on Colorado and COL TT o3.5


Cook: 4.01 FIP; 55 PRC
His xFIP of 4.21 matches up with his LOB% of 73.2. His average LD% (17.4), HR/FB% (10.6), and BABIP (.294) and vastly increased IF/F% suggest his improved numbers are legit. Looking at his BABIP a little more closely he's been a little lucky at home (.275) and unlucky on the road (.325)

Perez: 5.53 FIP; 32 PRC
While Oliver's LD% is as much above the league average as Cook's is below it (22.7) and his HR/FB% is among the highest in the league, his 5.26 xFIP does not come close to matching up with his LOB% of 73.5 (it should be closer to 68.6%) and his K and IF/F rates are down. In addition, his BABIP of .264 is unsustainably low.

Offenses: While I know Colorado struggles away from Coors (5.35 hmR/G vs. 3.66 rdR/G) they feast on lefties with a team IsoP/SecA/OPS of .180/.308/.813 vs. .145/.262/.728 against righties. If the pitching matchup were equal or the Rockies were facing a righty the Mets would have the offensive advantage, no doubt, but Colorado has a HUGE SP advantage, and not only is Colorado facing a lefty but he stinks.