So, for the last 3 seasons, lets look at how well home teams do in the very first game of series:
2007 5-2
2008 3-4
2009 5-2
I know its a small sample size, but I feel good about all the home teams, and i love Minni at home as a dog...I would take Phillie RL though...at -200 is a bit steep...but i feel TAM and SF are standout games BY far....these two take care of it at home IMO