1. 09-29-10 06:39 PM #1
    No coincidences
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    Twins/Royals

    Watch the line movement late.

    Twins have been going back and forth between being a dog and fave quite a bit in the last 20 minutes or so.

    Just keep an eye on it. I think MIN is the play and the line will reflect so late, but I've been wrong before.
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  2. 09-29-10 06:42 PM #2
    ahhlenn
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    really? i kinda like KC again here...
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  3. 09-29-10 06:45 PM #3
    jbhomerun
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    No co I think youre right. I cant see the royals sweeping the twins. A lot of royals hitters have poor career numbers against baker.
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  4. 09-29-10 06:46 PM #4
    HoulihansTX
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    Twin for me.

    Line movement is weapon that is to be used a compliment to your handicapping arsenal.

    Can not be relied upon 100%

    Just think about it... If every line movement was correct, and identified a winner then Pinnacle wouldn't be in business for long. I use line moment to identify value.

    So if piney is dealing 7.5 -130under, and another book is dealing 7.5 -115under. I grab the -115' and consider my play as one being full of value.
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  5. 09-29-10 06:47 PM #5
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    I'm not playing the "Twins are due" factor.

    I like the matchup for MIN, even without Mauer.
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  6. 09-29-10 06:48 PM #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    Twin for me.

    Line movement is weapon that is to be used a compliment to your handicapping arsenal.

    Can not be relied upon 100%

    Just think about it... If every line movement was correct, and identified a winner then Pinnacle wouldn't be in business for long. I use line moment to identify value.

    So if piney is dealing 7.5 -130under, and another book is dealing 7.5 -115under. I grab the -115' and consider my play as one being full of value.
    True, Houli.

    I wouldn't ignore line movement -- especially if it unveils RLM -- but I wouldn't just dismiss it either. It can be used to your advantage as long as you aren't following it blindly.
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  7. 09-29-10 06:49 PM #7
    Cappinpicks
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    Going to take a stap at the royals after reading this.
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  8. 09-29-10 06:51 PM #8
    No coincidences
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    Baker's 8-4 in his career vs. KC, and has given up just 5 ER in his last 20.2 IP.

    I just don't think taking Hochevar at virtually even money is a good bet. The value is with MIN IMHO.
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  9. 09-29-10 06:51 PM #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    Going to take a stap at the royals after reading this.
    I'm not the one to fade, moron.

    You are.
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  10. 09-29-10 06:53 PM #10
    HOT WINGS
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    What about the under? I like Twins as well though. GL
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  11. 09-29-10 06:56 PM #11
    Mikail
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I'm not the one to fade, moron.

    You are.
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  12. 09-29-10 06:56 PM #12
    815Sox
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    Hochevar isn't that good of a pitcher, I played the Twins (even though I hate them)
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  13. 09-29-10 06:58 PM #13
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    Under was the play at 9.

    I missed it, and don't like going with the 8.5 because it takes away the ability to push.
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  14. 09-29-10 06:59 PM #14
    Rixsaw
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    Quote Originally Posted by 815Sox View Post
    Hochevar isn't that good of a pitcher, I played the Twins (even though I hate them)
    you will be better off passing on this game.
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  15. 09-29-10 07:04 PM #15
    emat
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    Royals win again. Blackburn had good numbers vs. the Royals as well and that did not help. These are all new players for the Royals so saying the Royals have weak numbers vs. Baker is irrelevant. Mauer being out is not just a hitting issue. Him not being behind the plate is a big factor with pitching. Its like Peyton Manning not having Harrison a few years ago. Royals 5 Twins 2
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  16. 09-29-10 07:08 PM #16
    815Sox
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rixsaw View Post

    you will be better off passing on this game.
    Its a small one and I got them at -105... we will see.

    Just wondering What don't you like about this game? (I am always trying to learn more)
    Last edited by 815Sox; 09-29-10 at 07:16 PM.
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  17. 09-29-10 07:15 PM #17
    bhssoccer89
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    twins can take this one down
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  18. 09-29-10 07:15 PM #18
    Duff85
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    I got Royals at -101. Lets go KC!
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  19. 09-29-10 07:42 PM #19
    emat
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    Baker looks awful. Twins just look like they want to go home. There is no easy money in gambling, but this one was as easy as it gets.
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  20. 09-29-10 07:43 PM #20
    drfunkmaster
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    TWINS SUCK!!! how the hell they made it this far.. they gonna lose again to KC tonight??? what a joke of a team they are.
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  21. 09-29-10 07:59 PM #21
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    So glad I went with MIN instead of BAL.

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  22. 09-29-10 08:02 PM #22
    ahhlenn
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    hey, it's still early in the game! (btw, i went with you on MIN instead of KC )

    so, LET'S GET YOUR SH!T TOGETHER AND SCORE SOME RUNS, TWINKIES!!!
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  23. 09-29-10 08:02 PM #23
    Rixsaw
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    Quote Originally Posted by 815Sox View Post
    Its a small one and I got them at -105... we will see. Just wondering What don't you like about this game? (I am always trying to learn more)
    Well, Twins don't care about winning this game. They are just kicking back waiting for the playoff. Bet tracker show 77% on the Twins. Twin ML is #1 on the money trend. If Twins wins, the Books stand to loose. The book rarely lose.
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  24. 09-29-10 08:04 PM #24
    Rixsaw
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    So glad I went with MIN instead of BAL.
    I take it that you haven't notice that lately both the Yanks and Rays lose on the same night. Since you like Jays to win, why not the O's too? I did play the Jays, but I pass on the O's game.
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  25. 09-29-10 08:09 PM #25
    emat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ahhlenn View Post
    hey, it's still early in the game! (btw, i went with you on MIN instead of KC )

    so, LET'S GET YOUR SH!T TOGETHER AND SCORE SOME RUNS, TWINKIES!!!
    Are you watching this game? Its a joke. The twins obviously did not show up to this series. The royals are kicking their butts with a bunch of minor leaguers. Foul outs, poor hitting with RISP, errors, etc. Easy money.
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  26. 09-29-10 08:12 PM #26
    drfunkmaster
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    baltimore is better than the twins.. at least they come out firing.. and they want to win.
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  27. 09-29-10 08:13 PM #27
    815Sox
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rixsaw View Post

    Well, Twins don't care about winning this game. They are just kicking back waiting for the playoff. Bet tracker show 77% on the Twins. Twin ML is #1 on the money trend. If Twins wins, the Books stand to loose. The book rarely lose.
    Alright that is what I figured.... I don't think the Twins want to get swept, but like I was saying yesterday... they tend to do this stuff at the end of the season.

    Twins just need to get into KCs pen, Hochevar is pitching better then expected, which he can do (I think he is around 500 this season)
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  28. 09-29-10 08:16 PM #28
    815Sox
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    Quote Originally Posted by drfunkmaster View Post
    baltimore is better than the twins.. at least they come out firing.. and they want to win.
    Everyone in the AL is looking really flat this year, combine that with home field advantage and I see a National League world champion...
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  29. 09-29-10 08:17 PM #29
    j_dunn2
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    but how many times are the twins gonna leave runners stranded in scoring position? 4 in 2 innings so far, once by the 4 hole. not good.
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  30. 09-29-10 08:18 PM #30
    brxbmbers42
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    1100.00 in baseball bets today. three sides. 1 run. three fukkin teams. my three fukkin sides one run total. mother fukker
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  31. 09-29-10 08:21 PM #31
    emat
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    Quote Originally Posted by j_dunn2 View Post
    but how many times are the twins gonna leave runners stranded in scoring position? 4 in 2 innings so far, once by the 4 hole. not good.
    Exactly. They mailed this one in 2 days ago.
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  32. 09-29-10 08:21 PM #32
    815Sox
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    Quote Originally Posted by brxbmbers42 View Post
    1100.00 in baseball bets today. three sides. 1 run. three fukkin teams. my three fukkin sides one run total. mother fukker
    Yikes... and I thought I was having a bad day... You will get them next time!
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  33. 09-29-10 08:22 PM #33
    ahhlenn
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    Quote Originally Posted by emat View Post

    Are you watching this game? Its a joke. The twins obviously did not show up to this series. The royals are kicking their butts with a bunch of minor leaguers. Foul outs, poor hitting with RISP, errors, etc. Easy money.
    i'm not watching it actually...
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  34. 09-29-10 08:22 PM #34
    brxbmbers42
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    Quote Originally Posted by 815Sox View Post
    Yikes... and I thought I was having a bad day... You will get them next time!
    bases are fukkin terrible. nothing to get down on with no football.
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  35. 09-29-10 08:30 PM #35
    815Sox
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    Quote Originally Posted by brxbmbers42 View Post
    bases are fukkin terrible. nothing to get down on with no football.
    Today is my last day with bases (and its not looking good) until the playoffs. I do way better with football even though I am a big Hockey and Baseball fan mainly (I love sports in general though).
    Last edited by 815Sox; 09-29-10 at 08:35 PM.
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