1. #1
    tool21
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    Tool's MLB 4.8 0-1 -1.25 units

    Oakland (Gaudin) @ Toronto (Burnett) -135

    Gaudin hasn't pitched this year but from last year as a primary starter you can see that his ERA is right around 4.5 with a sub-par 11-13 record. Burnett on the other hand has had an ERA below 4 the past 5 years. His only start this year was against the Yankees and he only gave up 5 hits and 2 runs in 6 innings. Pretty impressive. Toronto has begun this season with a great start at 4-2 with an even better 3-0 home record. The Bluejays have scored 32 runs in 7 games compared to Oaklands 24 runs in 7 games. Using last years pitching data and this years hitting data i came up with a line of Toronto -240 not looking at bullpens (spreadsheet doesn't do that yet) But Toronto's bullpen has also been phenominal as of late with a ERA below a run. Take that line with a grain of salt, the season is young and the database isn't close to being built to a good level. Toronto seems like a great pick at only -135!

    Best of luck!

  2. #2
    ChuteBoxe
    27+1 = 2011
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    Good luck today tool.

  3. #3
    dannyt76
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    Jays -135 is really good value since the early line on them yesterday was -140 and that was with Harden pitching. Now that Gaudin is in, I'm all over the Jays. GL.

  4. #4
    mofome
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    gl today Tool

  5. #5
    tool21
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    Looks like i beat this line move. Always a good thing. Posted at 10:42 and the line moves at 10:53 Someone must be watching my posts

    Betjamaica Odds (Line) Over/Under (Total)
    04/07/08 4:33:17 PM -136 (Open) OFF
    04/07/08 5:03:17 PM -136 7.5 -110 (Open)
    04/07/08 9:43:17 PM -130 7.5 -110
    04/08/08 10:33:23 AM -130 8.5o -120
    04/08/08 10:53:17 AM -164 8.5o -120
    04/08/08 11:23:17 AM -162 8.5o -120
    04/08/08 11:33:17 AM -163 8.5o -120
    04/08/08 12:03:17 PM -164 8.5o -120

  6. #6
    mofome
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    Harden was been replaced by Guadin (as u noted) and the line took off.

    well done.

  7. #7
    tool21
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    Thanks for the info MO. Bet is voided then it should have said Harden not Gaudin. When i posted on the forums i used covers for the pitching matchups. Didn't know it had changed.

    New line
    Oakland (Gaudin) @ Toronto (Burnett) -165

    Gotta keep it honest!
    Last edited by tool21; 04-08-08 at 11:55 AM.

  8. #8
    mofome
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    Quote Originally Posted by tool21 View Post
    Thanks for the info MO. Bet is voided then it should have said Harden not Gaudin. When i posted on the forums i used covers for the pitching matchups. Didn't know it had changed.

    New line
    Oakland (Gaudin) @ Toronto (Burnett) -165

    Gotta keep it honest!

    not a problem. who's surprised that Harden is already missing a start?


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