1. 03-24-08 08:54 PM #1
    Red_Sux
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    Red_Sux Fully Kelly Accuscore MLB Tracking Thread

    This is just a fun experiment. Starting with 10k imaginary bankroll, betting full kelly based on the accuscore simulation results. I'll try to use the opening lines from pinnacle as the official line.
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  2. 03-24-08 09:07 PM #2
    Red_Sux
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    $325 on A's

    +138 win% 43.9
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  3. 03-24-08 10:09 PM #3
    B1GER1C828
    Bostoneric
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    i was gna do that 2 was going to do it for like the first month of baseball and see what happend
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  4. 03-24-08 10:14 PM #4
    Arnold
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    Nice. I'd like to see the results. Keep it going.
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  5. 03-24-08 10:17 PM #5
    OLGC_Slayer
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    I'll be keeping a close eye on this.
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  6. 03-25-08 12:11 AM #6
    Santo
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    Some free advice, mean simulation is different from median, and full kelly is a really really bad idea. I don't have enough data to calculate it properly, but if you're betting it I doubt more than 1/4 to 1/6 is advisable.

    Also the accuscore simulation for tonight thinks the game is at McAfee.
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  7. 03-25-08 11:33 AM #7
    Red_Sux
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    Quote Originally Posted by Red_Sux View Post
    $325 on A's

    +138 win% 43.9
    lost balance: $9675
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  8. 03-25-08 02:06 PM #8
    Red_Sux
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    accuscore thinks the wed game is at macfee stadium as well. 48% for A's. Maybe this is why accuscore thinks there is an edge with the A's line on tuesday. I should listen to santos and start the tracking on the real opening day. the opening line is pretty even, there is an edge plus there is no home field advantage, so i'll skip this game for wednesday.

    plus sbrline doesn't load rightnow and i can't use the kelly calculator, i think sbr need to buy more servers.
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