[Q]

liking them a lot, just seeing if anyone else had any input...

[fox sixers]

if i had to.. would lean rays.. do think they will get the win.. but i would stay away.

[Q]

why would you stay away

[fox sixers]

the value sucks on the rays though.. and i do see a few solid trends against them.. milwood is awful..

• Rays are 1-4 in Garzas last 5 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• Rays are 1-4 in Garzas last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Rays are 0-5 in Garzas last 5 Friday starts.
• Rays are 0-5 in Garzas last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

• Orioles are 1-4 in Millwoods last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• Orioles are 2-8 in Millwoods last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Orioles are 1-5 in Millwoods last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Orioles are 1-6 in Millwoods last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Orioles are 1-7 in Millwoods last 8 starts as an underdog.
• Orioles are 1-8 in Millwoods last 9 starts.
• Orioles are 1-8 in Millwoods last 9 starts on grass.
• Orioles are 1-10 in Millwoods last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Orioles are 0-5 in Millwoods last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Orioles are 0-4 in Millwoods last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
• Orioles are 0-4 in Millwoods last 4 starts vs. American League East.
• Orioles are 0-4 in Millwoods last 4 home starts

Some good trends on tampa:

• Rays are 12-2 in Garzas last 14 starts with 5 days of rest.
• Rays are 4-1 in Garzas last 5 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200
• Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
• Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
• Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
• Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
• Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Like I said, would def lean Rays. think they win.. but over -180... that line is not worth it to me... maybe small play on rl or -1 rl.

[hawley]

rays rl for me if i do end up playing it

[fox sixers]

you def make me think though haha.. garza did lose a tough one in baltimore last time.. but career numbers against bartimore are sick...

GARZA is 8-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.172.His team's record is 8-3 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-8. (-6.5 units)..

Anybody elses feedback?

[NardVa]

Baltimore has been playing better as of late. Garza owns Baltimore but the last time he played at Baltimore he got destroyed. Tampa caught the L but he didn't catch the L on his record. I think he gets L this time.

[jagaf22]

I think the value is in Baltimore. They have been competing everyday since Showalter took over for Trembley.

[goallinebob]

***************************POD *********************************
*********************Garza in 5 and RL 9******************
Garza 5 past

0-5-0-,4-0-1-1-1-0-1-1
inn 6-9
4-0-0-,7-0-3-1-2-1-1-1
game
4-5-0-11-0-4-2-3-1-2-2
________________________________________ ___________________________________
Millwood 5 past
3-4-6-10-4-6-4-1-3-1-6-0
Inn 6-9
1-1-0-,2-1-2-1-3-1-3-0-0
Game
4-5-6-12-5-8-5-4-4-4-6-0,,one good Start,,,,,,